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     Fri. Apr. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $86.6600 (1.51%) ($85.6900 - $87.3100) on Fri. Apr. 24, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.47% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $86.6600(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(6%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $85.01(1.94%)
10 Day Moving Average  $85.41(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $83.93(3.25%)
To recent high  -0.8%
To recent low  27.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.2
One Month Target Price  > $86.66
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $75.96
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.8% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.5% away from the target price of 86.66.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.72% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

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