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     Wed. Dec. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $90.1100 (0.68%) ($89.0000 - $91.3600) on Wed. Dec. 10, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.6% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $90.1100(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(88%)    EWG(82%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -2.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(17%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.3% (StdDev 4.6%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $88.77(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average  $87.82(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average  $86.12(4.63%)
To recent high  -28.5%
To recent low  19.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 4.6%) daily (68% of days).

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