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     Mon. Aug. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $130.7100 (1.04%) ($129.2300 - $131.5100) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.24% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $130.7100(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(88%)    EWG(84%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(22%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $128.88(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average  $127.78(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average  $126.58(3.26%)
To recent high  -8.6%
To recent low  8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

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