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     Fri. Aug. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $148.3300 (1.24%) ($146.2800 - $148.3300) on Fri. Aug. 24, 2007.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.08% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $148.3300(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-36%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(19%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $146.21(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $144.81(2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average  $145.57(1.9%)
To recent high  -4.3%
To recent low  5.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

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