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     Tue. Feb. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $146.0400 (0.21%) ($144.0600 - $146.2000) on Tue. Feb. 20, 2007.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.49% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $146.0400(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-36%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(18%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $145.57(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average  $145.06(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average  $144.28(1.22%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.4
One Month Target Price  > $146.04
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $142.46
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.6% away from the target price of 146.04.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

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