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     Tue. Jul. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $126.6600 (0.36%) ($125.7200 - $127.3000) on Tue. Jul. 25, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.9% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $126.6600(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-13%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $125.47(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average  $124.85(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average  $125.7(0.76%)
To recent high  -4.5%
To recent low  3.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

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