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     Fri. Nov. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $123.7600 (0.34%) ($122.4300 - $123.8400) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2005.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.71% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $123.7600(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    IWM(90%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(83%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $122.79(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average  $122.13(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average  $120.61(2.61%)
To recent high  -0.7%
To recent low  5.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.7
One Month Target Price  > $125.86
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $121.39
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.7% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.7% away from the target price of 125.86.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

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