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     Sun. Jul. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)

SDY latest price $86.3200 (0.64%) ($85.7700 - $86.3300) on Sun. Jul. 24, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Breakdown
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.85 (2.19% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.75% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 0.75%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.22%
Trend Strength  1.7%
RSI   74
Momentum  2.9
Latest Price  $86.3200(0.64%)
Forecasted Low Price  86.15(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  86.67(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  0.5% (85.93)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.9%
Hourly Trend   0% [$85.94(0.03), $85.93(0.02)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SDY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SDY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SDY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)  
Factors Impacting SDY price  SDY will advance at least -0% in a week (0% probabilities).
  (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.9
 
Relative Volatility   1.4 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $86.32(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $86(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average  $85.9(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average  $84.49(2.17%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  8.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SDY price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 0.75%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SDY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160824

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jul_22_201684.49 (0.2%)85.9 (0.2%)86 (0.1%) 85.93 85.94(0%)86.32(0.64%)85.77-86.331(1)0 %0.2%0%0.22%1.7%742.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)71.90Uptrend 87.01(0.8%)85.99-87.450.67   0%-8.3% 
2Jul_21_201684.34 (0.2%)85.75 (0.2%)85.94 (-0.1%) 85.91 85.94(0%)85.77(-0.29%)85.55-86.061.1(0.8)0 %0.2%0%0.24%1.7%722.9 Correction  Range(0.3%)71.80Uptrend 86.46(0.8%)85.49-86.870.68   -0.3%-7.6% 
3Jul_20_201684.17 (0.2%)85.56 (0.2%)85.99 (0%) 85.98 85.91(0%)86.02(0.13%)85.81-86.111.2(1)0 %0.2%0%0.26%1.6%832.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)71.80Uptrend 86.83(0.94%)85.7-87.310.9   -0%-7.9% 
4Jul_19_201683.99 (0.2%)85.36 (0.4%)85.96 (0.1%) 85.98 85.92(0%)85.91(-0.07%)85.64-85.931.4(1.1)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.32%1.6%862.8 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)81.80Relative Overbought 86.62(0.83%)84.82-88.090.56   -0.2%-7.7% 
5Jul_18_201683.82 (0.2%)85.14 (0.4%)85.92 (0.2%) 86 86.04(0%)85.97(-0.08%)85.84-86.181.5(1.2)0 %0.2%0%0.38%1.6%892.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)91.80Relative Overbought 86.83(1%)84.76-88.530.69   -0.1%-7.8% 
 
6Jul_15_201683.61 (0.2%)84.95 (0.4%)85.77 (0.3%) 85.91 86.09(0%)86.04(0.05%)85.8-86.271.7(1.4)0 0.2%0.2%0%0.4%1.6%762.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)91.90Uptrend 87.14(1.28%)85.6-87.81.19   0%-7.9% 
7Jul_14_201683.42 (0.2%)84.73 (0.4%)85.53 (0.6%) 85.68 85.97(0%)86(0.12%)85.87-86.291.8(1.6)0 0.4%0.4%0%0.38%1.6%592.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)91.80Growing Uptrend 87.26(1.46%)85.58-87.670.76   0%-7.9% 
8Jul_13_201683.22 (0.2%)84.37 (0.4%)85.05 (0.5%) 85.26 85.73(0%)85.9(0.22%)85.63-85.931.7(1.8)0 0.5%0.4%0%0.34%1.4%632.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)91.90Growing Uptrend 86.88(1.14%)85.47-87.230.47   0%-7.7% 
9Jul_12_201683.03 (0.2%)83.91 (0.4%)84.67 (0.5%) 84.75 85.38(0%)85.71(0.57%)85.38-85.91.7(1.9)0 0.6%0.5%0%0.28%1.1%622.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)81.90Growing Uptrend 86.48(0.9%)85.28-86.792.93   0%-7.5% 
10Jul_11_201682.84 (0%)83.36 (0.2%)84.25 (0.3%) 84.25 84.79(0%)85.22(0.45%)84.91-85.371.5(1.9)0 0.6%0.4%0%0.2%0.6%611.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)71.90Growing Uptrend 85.65(0.51%)84.83-85.860.96   0%-7.4% 
 
11Jul_8_201682.71 (0%)82.95 (0.2%)84.01 (0.2%) 83.88 84.11(0%)84.84(1.51%)84.04-84.871.4(1.9)0 0.3%0.2%0%0.16%0.3%621.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)61.90Uptrend 85.04(0.24%)84.44-85.30.76   0%-6.9% 
12Jul_7_201682.62 (0%)82.79 (0.2%)83.82 (0.3%) 83.76 83.72(0%)83.58(-0.51%)83.33-84.161.3(0.9)0 0.2%0.1%0%0.16%0.2%551.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)61.90Growing Uptrend 83.91(0.4%)83.4-84.041.01   -0.5%-5.8% 
13Jul_6_201682.6 (0%)82.66 (0.2%)83.57 (0.7%) 83.61 83.64(0%)84.01(0.49%)83.16-84.011.2(1.4)0 0.2%0.2%0%0.14%0.1%581.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)71.90Growing Uptrend 84.34(0.39%)83.78-84.470.54   0%-6.4% 
14Jul_5_201682.54 (0%)82.5 (0.2%)83.01 (0.9%) 83.19 83.8(0%)83.6(-0.49%)83.33-83.850.8(1.1)0 0.6%0.1%0%0.08%-0%561.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.9%)71.90Relative Overbought 83.61(0.01%)83.09-84.040.56   -0.5%-5.8% 
15Jul_1_201682.49 (0%)82.37 (0%)82.3 (0.7%) 82.51 83.57(0%)84.01(0.11%)83.78-84.190.1(1.7)0 1.1%0.2%0%0.02%-0.1%581.4 N/A  Higher(1.3%)61.90Rebound 83.32(-0.82%)84.1-82.991.16   0%-6.4% 
 
16Jun_30_201682.4 (-0%)82.15 (-0%)81.73 (0.1%) 81.56 82.58(0%)83.92(1.97%)82.34-83.93-0.7(1.8)0 0.9%0.2%0%-0.06%-0.3%531.3 N/A  Higher(1.1%)51.90Downtrend 83.74(-0.21%)83.79-83.641.27   0%-6.2% 
17Jun_29_201682.32 (-0%)81.98 (-0.2%)81.64 (-0%) 81.11 81.44(0%)82.3(1.33%)81.64-82.38-1(-0)0 0.4%0%0%-0.08%-0.4%431.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.4%)41.80After Bottom 82.19(-0.13%)82.07-82.30.85   -1.4%-4.2% 
18Jun_28_201682.3 (-0%)81.97 (-0.2%)81.67 (-0.3%) 81.41 80.54(0%)81.22(1.47%)80.39-81.22-1.1(-1.4)0 -0.4%-0.1%0%-0.1%-0.4%371.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.5%)31.90Downtrend 81.11(-0.13%)80.99-81.411.49   -2.7%-2.8% 
19Jun_27_201682.34 (0%)82.07 (-0.2%)81.93 (-0.6%) 81.82 80.78(0%)80.04(-1.42%)79.48-80.62-0.8(-3)0 -1.3%-0.2%0%-0.08%-0.3%331.3 Breakdown  Lower(-0.8%)31.90Correction 79.42(-0.78%)79.3-79.861.9   -4.1%-1.3% 
20Jun_24_201682.45 (0%)82.31 (-0%)82.42 (-0.2%) 82.42 82.29(0%)81.19(-2.73%)80.97-82.34-0(-2.3)0 -0.5%-0.2%0%-0.02%-0.2%401 Breakdown  Higher(0.7%)31.90Correction 80.92(-0.33%)80.86-81.162.12   -2.7%-3% 
 
21Jun_23_201682.48 (0.2%)82.49 (-0%)82.56 (0.2%) 82.73 82.87(0%)83.47(1.29%)82.93-83.470.6(1.9)0 0.4%0.1%0%0%0%601.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)41.70N/A 83.29(-0.22%)82.96-83.550.44   0%-6% 
22Jun_22_201682.38 (0.2%)82.47 (-0%)82.37 (0.1%) 82.38 82.56(0%)82.41(-0.16%)82.35-82.820.2(0.1)0 %-0.1%0%0%0.1%521 N/A  Range(-0%)41.70Correction 82.37(-0.05%)82.31-82.440.53   -1.2%-4.6% 
23Jun_21_201682.32 (0.2%)82.55 (-0%)82.33 (0.1%) 82.28 82.6(0%)82.54(0.08%)82.38-82.790.3(0.4)0 0.3%0%0%0.02%0.3%581.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)41.70Correction 82.47(-0.09%)82.36-82.60.58   -1%-4.8% 
24Jun_20_201682.2 (0.2%)82.59 (-0%)82.26 (0.1%) 82.23 82.21(0%)82.47(0.67%)82.42-82.960.2(0.4)0 0.2%0%0%0.02%0.5%601.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)41.80Correction 82.38(-0.11%)82.24-82.550.74   -1.1%-4.7% 
25Jun_17_201682.1 (0.2%)82.62 (0%)82.21 (-0.2%) 82.1 81.97(0%)81.92(-0.69%)81.46-820.2(-0.2)0 -0.3%-0%0%0.04%0.6%531.8 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0%)51.80N/A 82.02(0.12%)81.99-82.050.46   -1.8%-4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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