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     Tue. Jul. 5, 2016



Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)

SDY latest price $83.6000 (-0.49%) ($83.3300 - $83.8500) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Relative Overbought
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SDY advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SDY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SDY advance at 0.1% a week (96% probability)
  IVE(96%)    IWD(96%)    VYM(96%)    IWN(92%)    SPY(90%)  
Factors Impacting SDY price  SDY will decline at least -0.4% in a week (31% probabilities).
  TLT(-42%)    VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-23%)    TIP(-12%)    IGOV(-8%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  There're alternative trades for stronger advance
 
Valuation to SPY   1.9
 
Relative Volatility   0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0.73% [$83.8(0.23), $83.19(0.68)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


SDY Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  38%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  63%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  -31%
Latest Price  $83.6000
Next Hour Price  $83.6(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $83.57(-0.03%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $83.02 - $84.04
Support Level  $82.54
5 Day Moving Average  $83.01(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average  $82.5(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average  $82.54(1.28%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  5.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SDY price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.78%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SDY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160805

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_5_2016-0.5%-5.8% 0.2%,0.2(0.2)0.5%,0.4(0.4)0.9%,0.71.80%-0%1.101.91.5NAN%00.56   83.6(-0.49%)83.33-83.85Relative Overbought 83.57(-0.03%)83.02-84.0456
2Jul_1_20160%-6.4% 0.1%,0(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.4)0.7%,0.63.60%-0.1%1.701.91.4NAN%01.16   84.01(0.11%)83.78-84.19Rebound 83.2(-0.97%)84.1-82.8158
3Jun_30_20160%-6.2% -0.1%,-0.1(-0)-0.4%,-0.4(0.2)0.1%,0.13.60%-0.3%1.801.91.3NAN%01.27   83.92(1.97%)82.34-83.93Rebound 83.05(-1.04%)83.79-82.7253
4Jun_29_2016-1.4%-4.2% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.6(0.1)-0%,-01.20%-0.4%-001.81.3NAN%00.85   82.3(1.33%)81.64-82.38Rebound 82.25(-0.06%)82.14-82.343
5Jun_28_2016-2.7%-2.8% -0%,-0(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.3-3.30%-0.4%-1.401.91.3NAN%01.49   81.22(1.47%)80.39-81.22Downtrend 81.12(-0.12%)80.99-81.4337
 
6Jun_27_2016-4.1%-1.3% 0.2%,0.2(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.6-4.20%-0.3%-301.91.3NAN%01.9   80.04(-1.42%)79.48-80.62Correction 79.42(-0.78%)79.3-79.8633
7Jun_24_2016-2.7%-3% 0.4%,0.6(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.3-0.60%-0.2%-2.301.91NAN%02.12   81.19(-2.73%)80.97-82.34Correction 80.92(-0.33%)80.86-81.1640
8Jun_23_20160%-6% 0.6%,0.9(-0)-0.2%,-0.4(0)0.2%,0.40.90%0%1.901.71.1NAN%00.44   83.47(1.29%)82.93-83.47N/A 83.24(-0.27%)82.88-83.5560
9Jun_22_2016-1.2%-4.6% 0.6%,1(-0)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.2)0.1%,0.11.20%0.1%0.101.71NAN%00.53   82.41(-0.16%)82.35-82.82Correction 82.39(-0.02%)82.36-82.4452
10Jun_21_2016-1%-4.8% 0.6%,0.9(0.1)-0.1%,-0.2(-0.1)0.1%,0.11.50%0.3%0.401.71.2NAN%00.58   82.54(0.08%)82.38-82.79Correction 82.47(-0.09%)82.36-82.658
 
11Jun_20_2016-1.1%-4.7% 0.6%,0.6(0)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.1)0.1%,0.1-00%0.5%0.401.81.6NAN%00.74   82.47(0.67%)82.42-82.96Correction 82.38(-0.11%)82.24-82.5560
12Jun_17_2016-1.8%-4% 0.5%,0.5(0)0%,0(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.2-0.30%0.6%-0.201.81.8NAN%00.46   81.92(-0.69%)81.46-82N/A 82.02(0.12%)81.99-82.0553
13Jun_16_2016-1.1%-5.1% 0.5%,0.4(0)0.2%,0.2(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.2-00%0.8%0.501.72NAN%00.58   82.49(0.33%)81.58-82.51Uptrend 82.56(0.09%)82.39-82.6465
14Jun_15_2016-1.4%-5.6% 0.5%,0.4(0)0.5%,0.3(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.2-0.60%1%0.301.72.2NAN%00.6   82.22(0.04%)82.11-82.7Uptrend Consolidation 82.14(-0.1%)82.05-82.464
15Jun_14_2016-1.5%-5.6% 0.5%,0.3(-0.1)0.7%,0.5(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.1-0.90%1.1%0.401.72.2NAN%00.5   82.19(-0.05%)81.8-82.25Uptrend Consolidation 82.14(-0.06%)82.02-82.568
 
16Jun_13_2016-1.4%-5.6% 0.5%,0.4(-0)1.1%,0.8(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.1-0.60%1.1%0.401.72.2NAN%00.57   82.23(-0.8%)82.2-82.96Uptrend Consolidation 82.21(-0.03%)82.06-82.6577
17Jun_10_2016-0.6%-7.4% 0.6%,0.4(-0)1.3%,1(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%1.2%1.101.72.2NAN%00.59   82.89(-0.62%)82.65-83.17Uptrend 83.38(0.59%)82.63-83.7183
18Jun_9_20160%-8% 0.6%,0.4(0)1.5%,1.1(-0)0.3%,0.20.60%1.1%1.601.62.2NAN%00.58   83.41(0.05%)83.06-83.48Uptrend 83.94(0.64%)83.07-84.3293
19Jun_8_20160%-8.3% 0.6%,0.5(0)1.6%,1.3(0.1)0.3%,0.30.90%1%1.801.62NAN%00.44   83.37(0.52%)82.95-83.44Uptrend 83.88(0.61%)83-84.2688
20Jun_7_20160%-7.8% 0.5%,0.5(0.1)1.5%,1.3(0.2)0.3%,0.20.90%0.8%1.601.51.8NAN%01.32   82.94(0.23%)82.66-83.15Growing Uptrend 83.45(0.62%)82.66-83.6578
 
21Jun_6_20160%-7.5% 0.5%,0.4(0)1.2%,1.2(0.2)0.2%,0.20.90%0.6%1.701.51.7NAN%01.16   82.75(0.36%)82.41-82.86Growing Uptrend 83.15(0.48%)82.47-83.3259
22Jun_3_20160%-7.5% 0.4%,0.4(0.1)1.1%,1.1(0.3)0.2%,0.20.60%0.4%1.601.61.5NAN%02.17   82.45(0.12%)81.82-82.55Growing Uptrend 82.76(0.37%)82.21-82.8963
23Jun_2_20160%-8.1% 0.4%,0.4(0.1)0.8%,0.8(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.2%1.701.51.4NAN%00.5   82.35(0.44%)81.76-82.35Growing Uptrend 82.54(0.23%)82.11-82.6553
24Jun_1_20160%-8.3% 0.2%,0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.6(0.3)0.2%,0.30.30%-0%1.401.51.3NAN%00.95   81.99(0.23%)81.48-82.02Uptrend 82.08(0.11%)81.8-82.254
25May_31_2016-0.2%-7.3% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.2%,0.3(0.3)0.4%,0.50.90%-0.2%1.301.51.3NAN%00.56   81.8(-0.16%)81.56-82.21Uptrend 81.84(0.05%)81.63-81.9348
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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