Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SDY: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $81.1900 (-2.73%) ($80.9700 - $82.3400) on Fri. Jun. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Oversold
Trend Narrative   Correction
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.56 (0.68% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.2% (StdDev 0.7%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.5%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.02%
Latest Price   $81.1900(-2.73%)
Forecasted Low Price   80.95(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   81.92(0.9%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   1.5% ((82.42))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.8%
Hourly Trend -0.7% [$82.29(-0.58), $82.42(-0.31)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   3
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   SDY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY decline at-0.1% a week (96% probability)
IWD(96%)    VYM(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(92%)    SPY(90%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will advance at least -0% in a week (31% probabilities).
TLT(-42%)    VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    IGOV(-8%)
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.9

Relative Volatility -1.1 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Next Hour Price   $81.19(0%)
Resistance Level   $82.45
5 Day Moving Average   $82.42(-1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.31(-1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.45(-1.53%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.7% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SDY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160724

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jun_24_2016	82.45 (0.6%)	82.31 (-0.5%)	82.42 (-0.2%)	82.42	82.29(0%)	81.19(-2.73%)	80.97-82.34	-2(-2.3)	0	-0.5%	-0.2%	0%	-0.02%	Oversold	Higher(0.7%)	3	40	1	1.9	0	Correction	80.92(-0.33%)	80.86-81.16	2.12	-2.7%-3%
2	Jun_23_2016	82.48 (0.9%)	82.49 (-0.4%)	82.56 (0.2%)	82.73	82.87(0%)	83.47(1.29%)	82.93-83.47	1.7(1.9)	0	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	4	60	1.1	1.7	0	N/A	83.29(-0.22%)	82.96-83.55	0.44	0%-6%
3	Jun_22_2016	82.38 (1%)	82.47 (-0.4%)	82.37 (0.1%)	82.38	82.56(0%)	82.41(-0.16%)	82.35-82.82	0.2(0.1)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	N/A	Range(-0%)	4	52	1	1.7	0	Correction	82.37(-0.05%)	82.31-82.44	0.53	-1.2%-4.6%
4	Jun_21_2016	82.32 (0.9%)	82.55 (-0.2%)	82.33 (0.1%)	82.28	82.6(0%)	82.54(0.08%)	82.38-82.79	0.4(0.4)	0	0.3%	0%	0%	0.02%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	4	58	1.2	1.7	0	Correction	82.47(-0.09%)	82.36-82.6	0.58	-1%-4.8%
5	Jun_20_2016	82.2 (0.6%)	82.59 (-0.1%)	82.26 (0.1%)	82.23	82.21(0%)	82.47(0.67%)	82.42-82.96	0.4(0.4)	0	0.2%	0%	0%	0.02%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	4	60	1.6	1.8	0	Correction	82.38(-0.11%)	82.24-82.55	0.74	-1.1%-4.7%

6	Jun_17_2016	82.1 (0.5%)	82.62 (0%)	82.21 (-0.2%)	82.1	81.97(0%)	81.92(-0.69%)	81.46-82	-0.2(-0.2)	0	-0.3%	-0%	0%	0.04%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0%)	5	53	1.8	1.8	0	N/A	82.02(0.12%)	81.99-82.05	0.46	-1.8%-4%
7	Jun_16_2016	82 (0.4%)	82.68 (0.2%)	82.4 (-0.2%)	82.28	82.24(0%)	82.49(0.33%)	81.58-82.51	0.4(0.5)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.06%	Correction	Range(0%)	6	65	2	1.7	0	Uptrend	82.56(0.09%)	82.39-82.64	0.58	-1.1%-5.1%
8	Jun_15_2016	81.88 (0.4%)	82.67 (0.3%)	82.59 (-0.3%)	82.48	82.22(0%)	82.22(0.04%)	82.11-82.7	0.3(0.3)	0	-0.2%	0%	0%	0.1%	Correction	Range(-0.2%)	7	64	2.2	1.7	0	Uptrend Consolidation	82.14(-0.1%)	82.05-82.4	0.6	-1.4%-5.6%
9	Jun_14_2016	81.79 (0.3%)	82.66 (0.5%)	82.82 (-0.2%)	82.71	82.32(0%)	82.19(-0.05%)	81.8-82.25	0.4(0.4)	0	-0.4%	0%	0%	0.14%	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-0.4%)	8	68	2.2	1.7	0	Uptrend Consolidation	82.14(-0.06%)	82.02-82.5	0.5	-1.5%-5.6%
10	Jun_13_2016	81.75 (0.4%)	82.64 (0.8%)	82.97 (-0.1%)	82.98	82.73(0%)	82.23(-0.8%)	82.2-82.96	0.4(0.4)	0	-0.3%	0%	0%	0.18%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.1%)	9	77	2.2	1.7	0	Uptrend Consolidation	82.21(-0.03%)	82.06-82.65	0.57	-1.4%-5.6%

11	Jun_10_2016	81.68 (0.4%)	82.62 (1%)	83.07 (0.1%)	83.07	83.1(0%)	82.89(-0.62%)	82.65-83.17	1(1.1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.22%	Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	10	83	2.2	1.7	0	After Top	83.25(0.43%)	82.19-84.12	0.59	-0.6%-7.4%
12	Jun_9_2016	81.61 (0.4%)	82.49 (1.1%)	82.98 (0.3%)	83	83.23(0%)	83.41(0.05%)	83.06-83.48	1.5(1.6)	0	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	10	93	2.2	1.6	0	The Top	83.7(0.35%)	82.39-84.77	0.58	0%-8%
13	Jun_8_2016	81.5 (0.5%)	82.3 (1.3%)	82.77 (0.3%)	82.75	83.05(0%)	83.37(0.52%)	82.95-83.44	1.7(1.8)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	10	88	2	1.6	0	Uptrend	83.89(0.62%)	83.03-84.26	0.44	0%-8.3%
14	Jun_7_2016	81.41 (0.5%)	82.06 (1.3%)	82.5 (0.3%)	82.47	82.77(0%)	82.94(0.23%)	82.66-83.15	1.4(1.6)	0	0.4%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	10	78	1.8	1.5	0	Growing Uptrend	83.45(0.62%)	82.68-83.65	1.32	0%-7.8%
15	Jun_6_2016	81.31 (0.4%)	81.78 (1.2%)	82.27 (0.2%)	82.19	82.45(0%)	82.75(0.36%)	82.41-82.86	1.4(1.7)	0	0.3%	0.3%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	10	59	1.7	1.5	0	Growing Uptrend	83.16(0.49%)	82.51-83.32	1.16	0%-7.5%

16	Jun_3_2016	81.22 (0.4%)	81.52 (1.1%)	82.1 (0.2%)	82.01	82.18(0%)	82.45(0.12%)	81.82-82.55	1.2(1.6)	0	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	9	63	1.5	1.6	0	Growing Uptrend	82.76(0.38%)	82.27-82.89	2.17	0%-7.5%
17	Jun_2_2016	81.12 (0.4%)	81.26 (0.8%)	81.93 (0.2%)	81.89	81.92(0%)	82.35(0.44%)	81.76-82.35	1.4(1.7)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.12%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	8	53	1.4	1.5	0	Growing Uptrend	82.55(0.24%)	82.14-82.65	0.5	0%-8.1%
18	Jun_1_2016	81.03 (0.3%)	81.01 (0.6%)	81.75 (0.2%)	81.76	81.84(0%)	81.99(0.23%)	81.48-82.02	1.2(1.4)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.08%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	7	54	1.3	1.5	0	Uptrend	82.09(0.12%)	81.83-82.2	0.95	0%-8.3%
19	May_31_2016	80.97 (0.2%)	80.84 (0.3%)	81.56 (0.4%)	81.66	81.85(0%)	81.8(-0.16%)	81.56-82.21	1.1(1.3)	0	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	6	48	1.3	1.5	0	Uptrend	81.86(0.07%)	81.67-81.93	0.56	-0.2%-7.3%
20	May_27_2016	80.94 (0.1%)	80.79 (-0%)	81.2 (0.4%)	81.37	81.68(0%)	81.93(0.44%)	81.65-81.93	1.5(1.6)	0	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0%	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	5	54	1.1	1.4	0	N/A	81.75(-0.22%)	81.41-82.02	0.5	0%-10.2%

21	May_26_2016	80.87 (-0.1%)	80.66 (-0.4%)	80.85 (0.5%)	80.94	81.46(0%)	81.57(0.12%)	81.43-81.69	1.2(1.2)	0	0.5%	0%	0%	-0.04%	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	4	53	1.1	1.4	0	Downtrend Consolidation	81.49(-0.1%)	81.31-81.55	0.46	-0.3%-9.7%
22	May_25_2016	80.87 (-0.2%)	80.65 (-0.6%)	80.48 (0.4%)	80.57	81.06(0%)	81.47(0.53%)	81.01-81.63	1.1(1.1)	0	0.6%	0%	0%	-0.06%	N/A	Higher(0.6%)	4	55	1	1.4	0	Downtrend Consolidation	81.36(-0.13%)	81.24-81.41	0.73	-0.5%-9.6%
23	May_24_2016	80.87 (-0.3%)	80.61 (-0.8%)	80.17 (0.2%)	80.12	80.42(0%)	81.04(1.29%)	80.38-81.19	0.5(0.4)	0	0.3%	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.2%)	4	52	1	1.4	0	Downtrend	80.93(-0.14%)	80.9-80.98	1.77	-1%-9%
24	May_23_2016	80.84 (-0.4%)	80.67 (-0.8%)	80.04 (-0.4%)	79.94	80.09(0%)	80.01(-0.19%)	79.97-80.21	-1.3(-1.5)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%	Rebound	Range(-0%)	4	45	1	1.4	0	Growing Downtrend	79.92(-0.11%)	79.81-80.15	0.47	-2.2%-8.1%
25	May_20_2016	80.88 (-0.4%)	80.8 (-0.6%)	80.32 (-0.2%)	80.11	79.82(0%)	80.16(0.53%)	79.93-80.31	-1.2(-1.3)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.08%	N/A	Range(-0.2%)	4	41	1	1.5	0	Growing Downtrend	80.12(-0.05%)	80.05-80.28	0.44	-2.1%-8.3%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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