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     Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)

SDY latest price $83.4700 (1.29%) ($82.9300 - $83.4700) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  N/A
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.52 (0.63% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.6% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.6%)
Daily Moving Force  0.4%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0%
Trend Strength  0%
RSI   60
Momentum  1.1
Latest Price  $83.4700(1.29%)
Forecasted Low Price  83.3(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  84.05(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  0.9% (82.73)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.5%
Hourly Trend   0.4% [$82.87(0.31), $82.73(0.35)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  4
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  SDY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SDY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SDY advance at 0.1% a week (96% probability)
  IWD(96%)    VYM(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(92%)    SPY(90%)  
Factors Impacting SDY price  SDY will advance at least -0% in a week (31% probabilities).
  TLT(-42%)    VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    IGOV(-8%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.7
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $83.47(0%)
Support Level  $82.48
5 Day Moving Average  $82.56(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average  $82.49(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average  $82.48(1.2%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.6%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SDY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160723

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jun_23_201682.48 (0.2%)82.49 (-0%)82.56 (0.2%) 82.73 82.87(0%)83.47(1.29%)82.93-83.470.6(1.9)0 0.4%0.1%0%0%0%601.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)41.70N/A 83.29(-0.22%)82.96-83.550.44   0%-6% 
2Jun_22_201682.38 (0.2%)82.47 (-0%)82.37 (0.1%) 82.38 82.56(0%)82.41(-0.16%)82.35-82.820.2(0.1)0 %-0.1%0%0%0.1%521 N/A  Range(-0%)41.70Correction 82.37(-0.05%)82.31-82.440.53   -1.2%-4.6% 
3Jun_21_201682.32 (0.2%)82.55 (-0%)82.33 (0.1%) 82.28 82.6(0%)82.54(0.08%)82.38-82.790.3(0.4)0 0.3%0%0%0.02%0.3%581.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)41.70Correction 82.47(-0.09%)82.36-82.60.58   -1%-4.8% 
4Jun_20_201682.2 (0.2%)82.59 (-0%)82.26 (0.1%) 82.23 82.21(0%)82.47(0.67%)82.42-82.960.2(0.4)0 0.2%0%0%0.02%0.5%601.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)41.80Correction 82.38(-0.11%)82.24-82.550.74   -1.1%-4.7% 
5Jun_17_201682.1 (0.2%)82.62 (0%)82.21 (-0.2%) 82.1 81.97(0%)81.92(-0.69%)81.46-820.2(-0.2)0 -0.3%-0%0%0.04%0.6%531.8 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0%)51.80N/A 82.02(0.12%)81.99-82.050.46   -1.8%-4% 
 
6Jun_16_201682 (0%)82.68 (0%)82.4 (-0.2%) 82.28 82.24(0%)82.49(0.33%)81.58-82.510.5(0.5)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0.06%0.8%652 Correction  Range(0%)61.70Uptrend 82.56(0.09%)82.39-82.640.58   -1.1%-5.1% 
7Jun_15_201681.88 (0%)82.67 (0%)82.59 (-0.3%) 82.48 82.22(0%)82.22(0.04%)82.11-82.70.7(0.3)0 -0.2%0%0%0.1%1%642.2 Correction  Range(-0.2%)71.70Uptrend Consolidation 82.14(-0.1%)82.05-82.40.6   -1.4%-5.6% 
8Jun_14_201681.79 (0%)82.66 (0.2%)82.82 (-0.2%) 82.71 82.32(0%)82.19(-0.05%)81.8-82.250.9(0.4)0 -0.4%0%0%0.14%1.1%682.2 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-0.4%)81.70Uptrend Consolidation 82.14(-0.06%)82.02-82.50.5   -1.5%-5.6% 
9Jun_13_201681.75 (0.2%)82.64 (0.2%)82.97 (-0.1%) 82.98 82.73(0%)82.23(-0.8%)82.2-82.961.2(0.4)0 -0.3%0%0%0.18%1.1%772.2 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)91.70Uptrend Consolidation 82.21(-0.03%)82.06-82.650.57   -1.4%-5.6% 
10Jun_10_201681.68 (0.2%)82.62 (0.2%)83.07 (0.1%) 83.07 83.1(0%)82.89(-0.62%)82.65-83.171.5(1.1)0 %0.1%0%0.22%1.1%832.2 Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)101.70After Top 83.25(0.43%)82.19-84.120.59   -0.6%-7.4% 
 
11Jun_9_201681.61 (0.2%)82.49 (0.4%)82.98 (0.3%) 83 83.23(0%)83.41(0.05%)83.06-83.481.7(1.6)0 0.2%0.2%0%0.24%1.1%932.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)101.60The Top 83.7(0.35%)82.39-84.770.58   0%-8% 
12Jun_8_201681.5 (0.2%)82.3 (0.4%)82.77 (0.3%) 82.75 83.05(0%)83.37(0.52%)82.95-83.441.7(1.8)0 0.3%0.2%0%0.26%1%882 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)101.60Uptrend 83.89(0.62%)83.03-84.260.44   0%-8.3% 
13Jun_7_201681.41 (0.2%)82.06 (0.4%)82.5 (0.3%) 82.47 82.77(0%)82.94(0.23%)82.66-83.151.6(1.6)0 0.4%0.3%0%0.24%0.8%781.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)101.50Growing Uptrend 83.45(0.62%)82.68-83.651.32   0%-7.8% 
14Jun_6_201681.31 (0%)81.78 (0.2%)82.27 (0.2%) 82.19 82.45(0%)82.75(0.36%)82.41-82.861.5(1.7)0 0.3%0.3%0%0.2%0.6%591.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)101.50Growing Uptrend 83.16(0.49%)82.51-83.321.16   0%-7.5% 
15Jun_3_201681.22 (0%)81.52 (0.2%)82.1 (0.2%) 82.01 82.18(0%)82.45(0.12%)81.82-82.551.5(1.6)0 0.2%0.3%0%0.18%0.4%631.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)91.60Growing Uptrend 82.76(0.38%)82.27-82.892.17   0%-7.5% 
 
16Jun_2_201681.12 (0%)81.26 (0.2%)81.93 (0.2%) 81.89 81.92(0%)82.35(0.44%)81.76-82.351.4(1.7)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.12%0.2%531.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)81.50Growing Uptrend 82.55(0.24%)82.14-82.650.5   0%-8.1% 
17Jun_1_201681.03 (0%)81.01 (0.2%)81.75 (0.2%) 81.76 81.84(0%)81.99(0.23%)81.48-82.021.3(1.4)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.08%-0%541.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)71.50Uptrend 82.09(0.12%)81.83-82.20.95   0%-8.3% 
18May_31_201680.97 (0%)80.84 (0%)81.56 (0.4%) 81.66 81.85(0%)81.8(-0.16%)81.56-82.211.2(1.3)0 0.3%0.1%0%0.04%-0.2%481.3 N/A  Higher(0.5%)61.50Uptrend 81.86(0.07%)81.67-81.930.56   -0.2%-7.3% 
19May_27_201680.94 (0%)80.79 (-0%)81.2 (0.4%) 81.37 81.68(0%)81.93(0.44%)81.65-81.930.7(1.6)0 0.4%0.1%0%0%-0.2%541.1 N/A  Higher(0.5%)51.40N/A 81.75(-0.22%)81.41-82.020.5   0%-10.2% 
20May_26_201680.87 (-0%)80.66 (-0%)80.85 (0.5%) 80.94 81.46(0%)81.57(0.12%)81.43-81.690.2(1.2)0 0.5%0%0%-0.04%-0.3%531.1 N/A  Higher(0.5%)41.40Downtrend Consolidation 81.49(-0.1%)81.31-81.550.46   -0.3%-9.7% 
 
21May_25_201680.87 (-0%)80.65 (-0%)80.48 (0.4%) 80.57 81.06(0%)81.47(0.53%)81.01-81.63-0.5(1.1)0 0.6%0%0%-0.06%-0.2%551 N/A  Higher(0.6%)41.40Downtrend Consolidation 81.36(-0.13%)81.24-81.410.73   -0.5%-9.6% 
22May_24_201680.87 (-0%)80.61 (-0.2%)80.17 (0.2%) 80.12 80.42(0%)81.04(1.29%)80.38-81.19-1.2(0.4)0 0.3%-0.1%0%-0.1%-0.3%521 Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)41.40Downtrend 80.93(-0.14%)80.9-80.981.77   -1%-9% 
23May_23_201680.84 (-0%)80.67 (-0.2%)80.04 (-0.4%) 79.94 80.09(0%)80.01(-0.19%)79.97-80.21-1.7(-1.5)0 %-0.1%0%-0.1%-0.2%451 Rebound  Range(-0%)41.40Growing Downtrend 79.92(-0.11%)79.81-80.150.47   -2.2%-8.1% 
24May_20_201680.88 (-0%)80.8 (-0%)80.32 (-0.2%) 80.11 79.82(0%)80.16(0.53%)79.93-80.31-1.4(-1.3)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.08%-0.1%411 N/A  Range(-0.2%)41.50Growing Downtrend 80.12(-0.05%)80.05-80.280.44   -2.1%-8.3% 
25May_19_201680.92 (-0%)80.88 (-0%)80.45 (-0.5%) 80.38 79.79(0%)79.74(-0.23%)79.13-79.8-1.3(-2.2)0 -0.6%-0.1%0%-0.06%-0%450.9 Breakdown  Lower(-0.6%)41.50Growing Downtrend 79.72(-0.03%)79.64-79.950.71   -2.6%-7.8% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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