Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SDY: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: SDY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Mon. Apr. 19, 2021)

(SPDR S&P Dividend ETF)
SDY latest price $81.8000 (-0.16%) ($81.5600 - $82.2100) on Tue. May. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   N/A
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.66 (0.82% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 0.65%)
Daily Moving Force   0.3%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0%
Trend   0.04%
Trend Strength   -0.2%
Trend Clarity   0.12(0.1/0.66/80.97)
RSI   48
Momentum   1.3
Latest Price   $81.8000(-0.16%)
Forecasted Low Price   81.64(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price   82.37(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   0.2% (81.66)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   1.5%
Hourly Trend 0.2% [$81.85(0.17), $81.66(0.29)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   6
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   SDY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SDY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SDY advance at 0.1% a week (96% probability)
IWD(96%)    VYM(96%)    IVE(95%)    IWN(91%)    SPY(89%)
Factors Impacting SDY price   SDY will advance at least -0% in a week (30% probabilities).
TLT(-41%)    VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-22%)    TIP(-13%)    IPO(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.5

Relative Volatility 0.9 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.2% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Next Hour Price   $81.8(0%)
Support Level   $80.97
5 Day Moving Average   $81.56(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.84(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.97(1.03%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SDY price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.65% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SDY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	May_31_2016	80.97 (0%)	80.84 (0%)	81.56 (0.4%)	81.66	81.85(0%)	81.8(-0.16%)	81.56-82.21	1.2(1.3)	0	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.04%	-0.2%	48	1.3	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	6	1.5	0	Uptrend	81.86(0.07%)	81.67-81.93	0.56	-0.2%-7.3%
2	May_27_2016	80.94 (0%)	80.79 (-0%)	81.2 (0.4%)	81.37	81.68(0%)	81.93(0.44%)	81.65-81.93	0.7(1.6)	0	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0%	0%	-0.2%	54	1.1	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	5	1.4	0	N/A	81.75(-0.22%)	81.41-82.02	0.5	0%-10.2%
3	May_26_2016	80.87 (-0%)	80.66 (-0%)	80.85 (0.5%)	80.94	81.46(0%)	81.57(0.12%)	81.43-81.69	0.2(1.2)	0	0.5%	0%	0%	0%	-0.04%	-0.3%	53	1.1	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	4	1.4	0	Downtrend Consolidation	81.49(-0.1%)	81.31-81.55	0.46	-0.3%-9.7%
4	May_25_2016	80.87 (-0%)	80.65 (-0%)	80.48 (0.4%)	80.57	81.06(0%)	81.47(0.53%)	81.01-81.63	-0.5(1.1)	0	0.6%	0%	0%	0%	-0.06%	-0.2%	55	1	N/A	Higher(0.6%)	4	1.4	0	Downtrend Consolidation	81.36(-0.13%)	81.24-81.41	0.73	-0.5%-9.6%
5	May_24_2016	80.87 (-0%)	80.61 (-0.2%)	80.17 (0.2%)	80.12	80.42(0%)	81.04(1.29%)	80.38-81.19	-1.2(0.4)	0	0.3%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.1%	-0.3%	52	1	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.2%)	4	1.4	0	Downtrend	80.93(-0.14%)	80.9-80.98	1.77	-1%-9%

6	May_23_2016	80.84 (-0%)	80.67 (-0.2%)	80.04 (-0.4%)	79.94	80.09(0%)	80.01(-0.19%)	79.97-80.21	-1.7(-1.5)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.1%	-0.2%	45	1	Rebound	Range(-0%)	4	1.4	0	Growing Downtrend	79.92(-0.11%)	79.81-80.15	0.47	-2.2%-8.1%
7	May_20_2016	80.88 (-0%)	80.8 (-0%)	80.32 (-0.2%)	80.11	79.82(0%)	80.16(0.53%)	79.93-80.31	-1.4(-1.3)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.08%	-0.1%	41	1	N/A	Range(-0.2%)	4	1.5	0	Growing Downtrend	80.12(-0.05%)	80.05-80.28	0.44	-2.1%-8.3%
8	May_19_2016	80.92 (-0%)	80.88 (-0%)	80.45 (-0.5%)	80.38	79.79(0%)	79.74(-0.23%)	79.13-79.8	-1.3(-2.2)	0	-0.6%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.06%	-0%	45	0.9	Breakdown	Lower(-0.6%)	4	1.5	0	Growing Downtrend	79.72(-0.03%)	79.64-79.95	0.71	-2.6%-7.8%
9	May_18_2016	80.96 (-0%)	80.99 (-0%)	80.83 (-0.3%)	80.77	80.4(0%)	79.92(-0.54%)	79.48-80.64	-0.7(-2.2)	0	-0.6%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.02%	0%	44	0.8	Breakdown	Lower(-0.4%)	4	1.5	0	Downtrend	79.94(0.03%)	79.87-80.11	0.56	-2.4%-8.1%
10	May_17_2016	81.03 (0%)	81.09 (0%)	81.09 (-0.4%)	81.14	80.97(0%)	80.35(-1.34%)	80.03-81.42	-0(-1.6)	0	-0.2%	-0.1%	0%	0%	0%	0.1%	41	0.8	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	4	1.5	0	Downtrend Reversal	80.14(-0.26%)	80.09-80.33	1.51	-1.8%-8.7%

11	May_16_2016	81.09 (0%)	81.14 (0%)	81.39 (0.1%)	81.33	81.14(0%)	81.44(0.8%)	80.79-81.63	0.7(0.9)	0	-0.1%	0%	0%	0%	0.04%	0.1%	52	0.7	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	5	1.6	0	Uptrend	81.45(0.01%)	81.37-81.48	0.63	-0.5%-11.3%
12	May_13_2016	81.08 (0%)	81.14 (0%)	81.34 (-0.1%)	81.33	81.32(0%)	80.79(-1.03%)	80.58-81.53	0.7(-0.7)	0	-0.1%	-0%	0%	0%	0.04%	0.1%	51	0.7	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	5	1.6	0	Uptrend	80.85(0.07%)	80.85-80.85	0.82	-1.3%-10.4%
13	May_12_2016	81.09 (0%)	81.13 (0%)	81.38 (0.3%)	81.44	81.52(0%)	81.63(0.46%)	81.19-81.74	1(1.3)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.06%	0%	57	0.7	N/A	Range(0.2%)	5	1.6	0	Growing Uptrend	81.68(0.06%)	81.55-81.71	0.47	-0.3%-13%
14	May_11_2016	81.04 (0%)	81.05 (0%)	81.18 (0.1%)	81.22	81.56(0%)	81.26(-0.72%)	81.23-81.78	0.7(0.6)	0	0.2%	-0%	0%	0%	0.04%	0%	60	0.7	N/A	Higher(0.6%)	5	1.6	0	Uptrend	81.28(0.03%)	81.21-81.32	0.93	-0.7%-14.6%
15	May_10_2016	81.02 (0%)	81.08 (0%)	81.07 (0.3%)	81.03	81.37(0%)	81.85(0.81%)	81.34-81.85	0.6(2)	0	0.4%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.04%	0.1%	53	0.7	N/A	Higher(0.5%)	5	1.5	0	Growing Uptrend	81.89(0.05%)	81.7-81.93	0.67	0%-15.4%

16	May_9_2016	80.93 (0%)	81 (-0%)	80.86 (-0.1%)	80.79	80.89(0%)	81.19(0.27%)	80.88-81.31	0.2(0.5)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.02%	0.1%	45	0.9	N/A	Range(0.2%)	5	1.6	0	N/A	81.16(-0.04%)	81.08-81.23	0.52	-0.5%-14.5%
17	May_6_2016	80.84 (0%)	80.96 (-0%)	80.9 (0.1%)	80.72	80.89(0%)	80.97(0.42%)	80.25-81	0.2(0.2)	0	%	0%	0%	0%	0.02%	0.1%	47	1	N/A	Range(0%)	4	1.6	0	N/A	80.95(-0.02%)	80.88-81.01	0.49	-0.8%-14.2%
18	May_5_2016	80.77 (0%)	80.94 (-0%)	80.84 (-0.1%)	80.82	80.7(0%)	80.63(-0.11%)	80.5-81.04	0.2(-0.2)	0	%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.2%	48	1.2	N/A	Range(0.1%)	4	1.6	0	N/A	80.69(0.07%)	80.63-80.73	4.02	-1.2%-13.7%
19	May_4_2016	80.7 (0%)	80.91 (-0%)	80.9 (-0.2%)	80.79	80.74(0%)	80.72(-0.1%)	80.41-80.92	0.4(0)	0	-0.2%	-0%	0%	0%	-0%	0.3%	52	1.2	Correction	Range(-0.2%)	4	1.6	0	Correction	80.43(-0.36%)	80.36-80.72	2.62	-1.1%-13.8%
20	May_3_2016	80.65 (0%)	80.97 (0%)	81.08 (-0.1%)	80.89	80.94(0%)	80.8(-0.7%)	80.4-81.03	0.6(0.2)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	0.02%	0.4%	51	1.3	Correction	Higher(0.4%)	5	1.5	0	Uptrend Consolidation	80.75(-0.06%)	80.72-80.83	1.66	-1%-13.9%

21	May_2_2016	80.58 (0%)	81.05 (0%)	81.15 (0.2%)	80.89	80.84(0%)	81.37(0.84%)	80.56-81.41	0.8(1)	0	%	0%	0%	0%	0.06%	0.6%	61	1.3	N/A	Range(0%)	5	1.5	0	Uptrend	81.4(0.04%)	81.21-81.49	0.44	-0.3%-14.7%
22	Apr_29_2016	80.51 (0%)	81.03 (0%)	81.03 (-0%)	81.04	80.85(0%)	80.69(-0.28%)	80.23-80.83	0.8(0.2)	0	-0.2%	-0%	0%	0%	0.08%	0.7%	63	1.3	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	6	1.5	0	Uptrend	80.79(0.12%)	80.65-80.84	1.3	-1.1%-13.8%
23	Apr_28_2016	80.49 (0%)	81.06 (0.2%)	81.05 (0.2%)	81.05	81.24(0%)	80.92(-0.85%)	80.74-81.6	0.9(0.6)	0	0.1%	0%	0%	0%	0.1%	0.7%	64	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	7	1.4	0	Uptrend	81.06(0.17%)	80.82-81.16	0.76	-0.8%-14.8%
24	Apr_27_2016	80.44 (0%)	81.04 (0.2%)	80.92 (0.1%)	80.93	81.23(0%)	81.61(0.57%)	81.03-81.71	0.9(1.5)	0	0.3%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.12%	0.7%	73	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	7	1.4	0	Uptrend	81.71(0.12%)	81.4-81.84	0.56	0%-16.6%
25	Apr_26_2016	80.36 (0.2%)	80.95 (0.2%)	80.85 (-0.1%)	80.77	80.86(0%)	81.15(0.47%)	80.87-81.27	0.8(1.1)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.14%	0.7%	62	1.1	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	7	1.4	0	Uptrend Consolidation	80.97(-0.22%)	80.86-81.32	0.53	-0.6%-16%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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