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     Mon. May. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)

QQQ latest price $48.6300 (-0.29%) ($48.4000 - $49.0300) on Mon. May. 5, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.64% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $48.6300(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  QQQ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  QQQ advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(92%)    XLK(92%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)  
Factors Impacting QQQ price  QQQ will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(20%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $48.18(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average  $47.62(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average  $46.51(4.56%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  17.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $48.63
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $44.64
 
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.5% away from the target price of 48.63.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

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