Home      Tickers | SPY | NQ100 | DOW | Global | Sector ETFs | 3x ETFs | ETF Movers | Stock Movers | Trading Alerts
     ^  QQQ:  Intraday  Forecast  Similar  Waves  Research  Timing  Gains  Losses  Strategies  Practice
     Fri. Aug. 24, 2007



Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)

QQQ latest price $48.2000 (1.41%) ($47.3200 - $48.2400) on Fri. Aug. 24, 2007.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Rebound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  QQQ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  QQQ declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support QQQ decline at-0.1% a week (92% probability)
  XLK(96%)    SPY(92%)    XLY(87%)    IWM(84%)    EEM(80%)  
Factors Impacting QQQ price  QQQ will decline at least -0.9% in a week (29% probabilities).
  TLT(-39%)    SHY(-30%)    TIP(-20%)    GDXJ(-5%)    VT(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.7
 
Relative Volatility   -0.8 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


QQQ Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  1%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -1%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $48.2000
Next Hour Price  $48.2(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $47.8(-0.83%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $48.07 - $47.68
Support Level  $47.42
5 Day Moving Average  $47.39(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average  $46.93(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average  $47.42(1.64%)
To recent high  -4.2%
To recent low  6.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  86%
Stage of the Market  Normal
 
 


  
 
Risk Appetite  Risk On (1)
Fed Balance Sheet  0.863 T (Wed. Aug. 22, 2007) No Change
Fed Fund Rate  5.11% (Fri. Aug. 24, 2007) Move Up
Yield Curve  Worsening (-14)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.01%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20070924

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_24_2007-4.2%-6.1% -0.8%,-0.5(0.2)-0.5%,-0.3(0.3)0.8%,0.500%-1%0.90-1.71.8NAN%088.19   48.2(1.41%)47.32-48.24Rebound 47.8(-0.83%)48.07-47.6850
2Aug_23_2007-5.5%-4.6% -1.3%,-0.7(0.2)-1%,-0.5(0.3)0.9%,0.500%-1.2%0.10-1.71.9NAN%0118.66   47.53(-0.27%)47.23-47.85Rebound 47.43(-0.2%)47.21-47.5351
3Aug_22_2007-5.3%-4.9% -1.6%,-0.8(0.1)-1.6%,-0.8(0.1)0.8%,0.400%-1.4%0.20-1.72NAN%0115.82   47.66(1.36%)47.27-47.7Rebound 47.43(-0.49%)47.11-47.5645
4Aug_21_2007-6.6%-3.5% -1.9%,-0.9(0.1)-1.9%,-0.8(-0)0.1%,000%-1.3%-0.50-1.72.2NAN%0115.03   47.02(1.05%)46.39-47.13Downtrend 46.51(-1.09%)46.24-47.1245
5Aug_20_2007-7.5%-2.4% -2%,-0.8(-0)-1.8%,-0.7(-0)-0.5%,-0.200%-1.3%-10-1.72.4NAN%0144.72   46.53(0.48%)46.08-46.72Downtrend 45.96(-1.22%)45.62-46.7645
 
6Aug_17_2007-8%-1.9% -1.9%,-0.8(-0)-1.7%,-0.7(-0)-0.4%,-0.200%-1.4%-1.20-1.72.5NAN%0223.25   46.31(1.89%)45.59-46.59Relative Oversold 46.15(-0.34%)44.99-47.138
7Aug_16_2007-9.7%-0-1.8%,-0.7(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.6(-0.1)-1%,-0.400%-1.5%-20-1.72.7NAN%0362.48   45.45(-0.98%)40.55-45.91Oversold 46.06(1.35%)44.98-46.3437
8Aug_15_2007-8.8%-0-1.5%,-0.6(-0.2)-1.3%,-0.5(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.500%-1.4%-20-1.62.5NAN%0214.85   45.9(-1.9%)45.81-47.09Growing Downtrend 45.52(-0.83%)45.13-46.3134
9Aug_14_2007-7%-1.5% -1.1%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.4(0)-0.7%,-0.300%-1.4%-1.60-1.62.3NAN%0153.54   46.79(-1.7%)46.73-47.74Downtrend 46.56(-0.5%)46.32-47.136
10Aug_13_2007-5.4%-3.3% -0.7%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.4(0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-1.5%-10-1.62.3NAN%0116.96   47.6(0.68%)47.48-47.88Relative Oversold 47.7(0.2%)47.07-48.239
 
11Aug_10_2007-6%-2.6% -0.6%,-0.3(-0)-1.1%,-0.5(0.2)-0.1%,-000%-1.6%-1.50-1.62.2NAN%0247.01   47.28(-0.9%)46.63-47.83Downtrend 47.09(-0.4%)46.88-47.5833
12Aug_9_2007-5.2%-3.5% -0.5%,-0.3(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.7(0.1)-0.3%,-0.100%-1.7%-1.20-1.62.1NAN%0242.87   47.71(-2.31%)47.69-48.97Downtrend 47.44(-0.56%)47.24-47.9235
13Aug_8_2007-2.9%-5.9% -0.4%,-0.2(0)-1.6%,-0.8(0.2)0.4%,0.200%-1.7%-0.20-1.62.1NAN%0165.28   48.84(1.1%)48.4-49.06Downtrend Consolidation 48.65(-0.38%)48.93-48.5638
14Aug_7_2007-4%-4.8% -0.4%,-0.2(0)-2%,-1(0.2)0.3%,0.200%-1.6%-0.70-1.62.1NAN%0167.58   48.31(0.71%)47.48-48.62Downtrend 47.97(-0.71%)47.76-48.4535
15Aug_6_2007-4.7%-4.1% -0.5%,-0.3(-0.1)-2.3%,-1.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.100%-1.4%-1.10-1.62.1NAN%0190.96   47.97(1.16%)47.03-48.02Relative Oversold 47.85(-0.25%)46.96-48.5832
 
16Aug_3_2007-5.8%-2.9% -0.3%,-0.2(-0.1)-2.2%,-1.2(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-1.1%-1.80-1.62.1NAN%0166.05   47.42(-1.9%)47.15-48.31Downtrend 47.09(-0.7%)46.82-47.7232
17Aug_2_2007-3.9%-4.9% -0.1%,-0.1(-0.1)-2.1%,-1.3(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.200%-0.8%-10-1.62NAN%0177.8   48.34(0.92%)47.79-48.43Downtrend 47.99(-0.72%)47.78-48.536
18Aug_1_2007-4.8%-3.9% 0.1%,0(-0.2)-1.9%,-1.1(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.400%-0.4%-1.50-1.62NAN%0301.21   47.9(0.78%)46.98-47.93Relative Oversold 47.94(0.08%)47.18-48.5636
19Jul_31_2007-5.5%-3.1% 0.4%,0.2(-0.2)-1.3%,-0.8(-0.4)-0.7%,-0.500%-0%-2.10-1.61.9NAN%0260.32   47.53(-2.1%)47.43-48.99Correction 46.67(-1.8%)46.54-47.2243
20Jul_30_2007-3.5%-5.6% 0.7%,0.4(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.4(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.400%0.5%-0.90-1.61.9NAN%0166.52   48.55(1.17%)47.95-48.73Correction 48.05(-1.02%)47.96-48.4454
 
21Jul_27_2007-4.6%-4.4% 0.9%,0.5(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.4)-0.9%,-0.500%0.8%-1.50-1.62.1NAN%0246.39   47.99(-2.02%)47.99-49.12Correction 47.67(-0.66%)47.59-47.9945
22Jul_26_2007-2.7%-6.6% 1.1%,0.6(-0.1)0.5%,0.3(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.300%1.3%-0.20-1.62.3NAN%0318.65   48.98(-0.85%)48.05-49.47Uptrend Consolidation 49.06(0.17%)49.02-49.1854
23Jul_25_2007-1.8%-7.5% 1.3%,0.7(-0)1%,0.5(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.200%1.5%0.30-1.62.5NAN%0170.91   49.4(0.14%)49.06-49.67Uptrend 49.74(0.68%)49.33-49.9162
24Jul_24_2007-2%-7.9% 1.3%,0.6(-0)1.3%,0.6(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.200%1.7%0.30-1.62.8NAN%0175.55   49.33(-1.48%)49.05-50.1Uptrend 49.78(0.92%)49.25-50.0166
25Jul_23_2007-0.5%-10.1% 1.4%,0.6(0)1.7%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.8%10-1.63.1NAN%0107.46   50.07(0.04%)49.92-50.31Uptrend 50.68(1.21%)49.84-51.0479
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
Earning Calendar   About   Contact Us  
Copyright ©2016 SmartTrading. All rights reserved. Denver, Colorado, USA