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     Wed. Sep. 13, 2006



Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Dec. 2, 2020)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)

QQQ latest price $39.9600 (0.71%) ($39.6300 - $39.9800) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Breakout
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  QQQ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  QQQ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0.9% a week (92% probability)
  XLK(96%)    SPY(92%)    XLY(87%)    IWM(84%)    EEM(80%)  
Factors Impacting QQQ price  QQQ will advance at least 0.4% in a week (27% probabilities).
  TLT(-39%)    SHY(-28%)    TIP(-19%)    IDRV(-10%)    IWO(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.6
 
Relative Volatility   -1.5 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


QQQ Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  63%
Latest Price  $39.9600
Next Hour Price  $39.96(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $40.04(0.2%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $39.74 - $40.17
Support Level  $38.81
5 Day Moving Average  $39.16(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average  $39.09(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average  $38.81(2.96%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  11.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  59%
Stage of the Market  Normal Strong Uptrend
 
Average Volume  96.54 million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  0
One Month Target Price  > $39.96
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $37.62
 


  
 
Risk Appetite  Risk On (19)
Fed Fund Rate  5.26% (Wed. Sep. 13, 2006) Move Up
Yield Curve  Improving (4)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.2% away from the target price of 39.96.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.17%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20061013

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_13_20060%-11.9% 1.4%,1.2(0)1%,0.8(0.2)0.7%,0.600%0.7%2.50-1.61NAN%0116.1   39.96(0.71%)39.63-39.98Breakout 40.04(0.2%)39.74-40.1774
2Sep_12_20060%-11.1% 1.4%,1.3(0)0.7%,0.6(0)0.1%,0.100%0.7%2.30-1.70.9NAN%0124.11   39.68(1.85%)38.95-39.8Breakout 39.73(0.12%)39.48-39.8366
3Sep_11_2006-1.3%-9.1% 1.4%,1(0)0.7%,0.5(0)-0.1%,-000%0.8%0.80-1.71.2NAN%0142.38   38.96(0.62%)38.32-39.15Uptrend 39.05(0.23%)38.88-39.1259
4Sep_8_2006-1.9%-8.5% 1.4%,0.8(0)0.6%,0.3(0)-0.1%,-000%0.9%0.40-1.71.5NAN%096.63   38.72(0.62%)38.46-38.82Uptrend 38.85(0.34%)38.67-38.9349
5Sep_7_2006-2.5%-7.8% 1.4%,0.7(-0)0.6%,0.3(-0)-0.2%,-0.100%1%0.20-1.71.7NAN%0115.9   38.48(-0.49%)38.36-38.9Uptrend 38.63(0.39%)38.44-38.7146
 
6Sep_6_2006-2%-8.3% 1.4%,0.6(-0)0.6%,0.3(-0.1)-0%,-000%1.2%0.50-1.71.9NAN%097.9   38.67(-2%)38.61-39.19Uptrend 38.82(0.4%)38.58-38.9352
7Sep_5_20060%-10.5% 1.5%,0.6(0.1)0.8%,0.3(-0.1)0.4%,0.200%1.4%1.40-1.72.1NAN%085.59   39.46(0.97%)38.85-39.48Uptrend 39.65(0.48%)39.2-39.8478
8Sep_1_2006-1.7%-9.5% 1.3%,0.5(0)1%,0.4(-0.1)0.4%,0.200%1.5%1.10-1.72.1NAN%069.39   39.08(0.54%)38.9-39.21Uptrend 39.29(0.54%)38.89-39.4682
9Aug_31_2006-2.2%-8.9% 1.2%,0.5(-0)1.3%,0.5(-0.1)0.3%,0.100%1.7%1.10-1.72NAN%061.22   38.87(-0.1%)38.76-39.03Uptrend 39.1(0.59%)38.66-39.2983
10Aug_30_2006-2.1%-9% 1.2%,0.5(0)1.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.4%,0.200%1.9%1.20-1.72NAN%075.71   38.91(0.46%)38.6-39.03Uptrend 39.17(0.66%)38.7-39.3777
 
11Aug_29_2006-2.5%-8.5% 1.2%,0.5(0)1.9%,0.8(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%2.1%1.10-1.71.9NAN%0104.87   38.73(0.31%)38.18-38.76Uptrend 39.02(0.75%)38.52-39.2378
12Aug_28_2006-2.8%-8.2% 1.1%,0.5(-0)2.2%,0.9(-0)0.1%,000%2.1%1.20-1.71.8NAN%080.09   38.61(0.76%)38.24-38.79Uptrend 38.92(0.79%)38.39-39.1478
13Aug_25_2006-3.6%-7.3% 1.2%,0.5(-0.1)2.2%,1(-0)-0.3%,-0.100%1.9%10-1.71.8NAN%073.59   38.32(0.18%)38.06-38.64Uptrend 38.6(0.72%)38.15-38.7971
14Aug_24_2006-3.7%-7.1% 1.4%,0.6(-0.1)2.3%,1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%1.6%0.90-1.71.8NAN%079   38.25(0.29%)37.92-38.35Uptrend 38.56(0.82%)38.1-38.7666
15Aug_23_2006-4%-6.8% 1.6%,0.7(-0)2.4%,1.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.100%1.5%0.90-1.71.8NAN%096.07   38.14(-0.75%)37.92-38.67Uptrend 38.48(0.89%)37.99-38.6962
 
16Aug_22_2006-3.3%-7.6% 1.6%,0.7(0)2.5%,1.1(0.1)0.4%,0.200%1.3%1.40-1.71.8NAN%0102.13   38.43(0.03%)38.2-38.81Uptrend 38.8(0.97%)38.2-39.0668
17Aug_21_2006-3.3%-7.6% 1.6%,0.8(0.1)2.4%,1.1(0.3)0.9%,0.400%1%1.50-1.71.7NAN%066.67   38.42(-0.95%)38.26-38.56Growing Uptrend 38.87(1.16%)38.2-39.0371
18Aug_18_2006-2.4%-8.7% 1.4%,0.7(0.2)1.8%,0.8(0.3)1.2%,0.600%0.9%2.20-1.71.7NAN%097.77   38.79(0.15%)38.28-38.83Breakout 39.06(0.7%)38.44-39.3365
19Aug_17_2006-2.5%-8.5% 1.1%,0.6(0.2)1.1%,0.6(0.2)1.1%,0.500%0.8%2.50-1.71.5NAN%0129.7   38.73(0.39%)38.44-38.98Breakout 38.86(0.33%)38.38-39.0664
20Aug_16_2006-3.2%-8.1% 0.8%,0.5(0.2)0.7%,0.5(0.3)1.1%,0.700%0.7%3.10-1.71.2NAN%0135.47   38.58(2.33%)37.84-38.61Breakout 38.6(0.05%)38.22-38.7670
 
21Aug_15_2006-6.1%-5.6% 0.4%,0.4(0.3)0.2%,0.2(0.4)0.7%,0.600%0.4%2.40-1.70.9NAN%0133.72   37.7(2.53%)37.09-37.75Breakout 37.68(-0.04%)37.5-37.7661
22Aug_14_2006-8.4%-3% 0%,0(0.2)-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)0%,000%0.3%0.40-1.70.8NAN%0109.35   36.77(0.66%)36.7-37.27Correction 36.7(-0.18%)36.66-36.7552
23Aug_11_2006-10.3%-2.3% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.4)-0.2%,-0.200%0.5%-0.10-1.80.9NAN%086.93   36.53(-0.71%)36.37-36.69Range Bound 36.53(-0.01%)36.55-36.5153
24Aug_10_2006-11.7%-3.1% -0.3%,-0.3(0.2)0.4%,0.4(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%0.7%0.60-1.70.9NAN%0102.51   36.79(0.71%)36.31-36.88N/A 36.74(-0.14%)36.64-36.8265
25Aug_9_2006-13.1%-2.3% -0.5%,-0.4(0.1)0.6%,0.6(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%0.7%00-1.80.9NAN%0145.39   36.53(0.14%)36.43-37.31N/A 36.54(0.04%)36.53-36.5657
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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