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     Thu. Nov. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)

QQQ latest price $37.6200 (0.56%) ($37.1100 - $37.7800) on Thu. Nov. 4, 2004.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.09% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $37.6200(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)  
Factors Impacting QQQ price  QQQ will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $37.23(1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average  $36.75(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $36.31(3.61%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $37.62
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $35.57
 
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5% away from the target price of 37.62.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

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