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     Wed. Sep. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)

PEJ latest price $16.2800 (0.12%) ($16.2100 - $16.3100) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Breakout
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.36 (2.32% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.39% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.5% (StdDev 1.39%)
Daily Moving Force  0.2%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.48%
Latest Price  $16.2800(0.12%)
Forecasted Low Price  16.23(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  16.44(1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.9%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  PEJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  PEJ advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (86% probability)
  XLY(85%)    IWM(84%)    SPY(80%)    QQQ(75%)    XLK(73%)  
Factors Impacting PEJ price  PEJ will advance at least -0% in a week (24% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-12%)    IPO(-8%)    ONLN(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the breakout
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.9
 
Relative Volatility   1.7 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.5% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $16.28(0%)
Support Level  $15.5
5 Day Moving Average  $15.92(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average  $15.77(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average  $15.5(5.03%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.39%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20061013

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Sep_13_200615.5 (0.9%)15.77 (1.1%)15.92 (1%)  (0%)16.28(0.12%)16.21-16.312(2.2)0 0.2%0.5%0%0.48% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0821.700Breakout 16.44(0.96%)16.14-16.560.32   0%-12.8% 
2Sep_12_200615.44 (0.9%)15.68 (1.1%)15.77 (0.7%)  (0%)16.26(2.85%)15.92-16.32.2(2.6)0 0.1%0.7%-0.8%0.42% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-1.2%)0731.500Breakout 16.37(0.68%)16.12-16.480.11   0%-12.7% 
3Sep_11_200615.36 (0.9%)15.57 (1%)15.66 (0.1%)  (0%)15.81(0.44%)15.56-15.881.3(1.6)0 %0.5%0%0.36% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)0651.300Growing Uptrend 15.91(0.66%)15.74-15.960.03   -2.2%-9.6% 
4Sep_8_200615.3 (0.8%)15.48 (0.7%)15.64 (0.1%)  (0%)15.74(1.61%)15.56-15.741.2(1.4)0 %0.4%0%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0591.500Growing Uptrend 15.84(0.63%)15.66-15.880.01   -2.6%-9.1% 
5Sep_7_200615.25 (0.7%)15.42 (0.6%)15.62 (0.1%)  (0%)15.49(-0.45%)15.41-15.580.6(0.8)0 %0.3%0%0.26% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)0521.500Uptrend 15.57(0.51%)15.45-15.620.01   -4.1%-7.3% 
 
6Sep_6_200615.2 (0.6%)15.37 (0.5%)15.6 (0.2%)  (0%)15.56(-1.02%)15.53-15.620.9(1)0 %0.2%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0611.700After Top 15.58(0.12%)15.37-15.750.01   -3.7%-7.8% 
7Sep_5_200615.15 (0.6%)15.34 (0.5%)15.57 (0.8%)  (0%)15.72(0.13%)15.68-15.761.5(1.6)0 0.2%0.3%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)0701.700Uptrend 15.79(0.47%)15.62-15.870.01   -2.7%-8.9% 
8Sep_1_200615.11 (0.6%)15.29 (0.5%)15.45 (1%)  (0%)15.7(0.58%)15.64-15.771.6(1.7)0 0.2%0.3%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)0751.600Uptrend 15.77(0.43%)15.59-15.840.02   -2.8%-8.8% 
9Aug_31_200615.06 (0.5%)15.26 (0.5%)15.3 (0.7%)  (0%)15.61(1.23%)15.55-15.641.7(1.8)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0761.500Uptrend 15.66(0.3%)15.51-15.720.01   -3.4%-8.2% 
10Aug_30_200615.02 (0.5%)15.23 (0.5%)15.19 (0.5%)  (0%)15.42(0.26%)15.36-15.451.3(1.4)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0751.400Uptrend 15.47(0.33%)15.35-15.520.01   -4.6%-6.9% 
 
11Aug_29_200614.99 (0.4%)15.21 (0.7%)15.11 (0.1%)  (0%)15.38(1.52%)15.21-15.381.2(1.3)0 %0.2%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0771.400Uptrend 15.42(0.26%)15.31-15.470.01   -4.8%-6.6% 
12Aug_28_200614.94 (0.3%)15.17 (0.7%)15.09 (-0.1%)  (0%)15.15(1.41%)15-15.190.6(0.8)0 %0.2%0%0.22% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0621.400Uptrend 15.2(0.32%)15.11-15.240.01   -6.3%-5% 
13Aug_25_200614.92 (0.2%)15.14 (0.8%)15.11 (-0.6%)  (0%)14.94(-0.73%)14.89-15.070(0.1)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0.24% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)0561.400Uptrend 15(0.39%)14.94-15.020.01   -7.5%-3.5% 
14Aug_24_200614.91 (0.3%)15.11 (0.9%)15.2 (-0.5%)  (0%)15.05(0%)14.97-15.060.4(0.5)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.28% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0571.400Uptrend 15.11(0.42%)15.02-15.150   -6.9%-4.3% 
15Aug_23_200614.88 (0.3%)15.07 (1%)15.27 (-0.3%)  (0%)15.05(-1.25%)15.01-15.290.4(0.6)0 -0.1%0.3%0%0.3% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.8%)0551.400Uptrend 15.13(0.5%)15.03-15.170.01   -6.9%-4.3% 
 
16Aug_22_200614.88 (0.3%)15.02 (0.9%)15.31 (0.3%)  (0%)15.24(-0.26%)15.19-15.321.1(1.2)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)0621.500Uptrend 15.31(0.43%)15.17-15.360.01   -5.7%-5.6% 
17Aug_21_200614.87 (0.3%)14.96 (1%)15.27 (0.7%)  (0%)15.28(-0.71%)15.2-15.291.3(1.4)0 0.1%0.3%0%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)0711.400Growing Uptrend 15.37(0.6%)15.21-15.410.02   -5.4%-5.9% 
18Aug_18_200614.85 (0.2%)14.91 (0.8%)15.16 (1%)  (0%)15.39(-0.13%)15.25-15.411.7(1.9)0 0.2%0.4%0%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0661.400Growing Uptrend 15.46(0.48%)15.3-15.510.02   -4.8%-6.7% 
19Aug_17_200614.82 (0.1%)14.85 (0.7%)15.01 (1.2%)  (0%)15.41(1.31%)15.25-15.492.2(2.4)0 0.2%0.3%-0.6%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-1%)0651.200Breakout 15.43(0.14%)15.3-15.490.03   -4.7%-6.8% 
20Aug_16_200614.82 (-0.1%)14.79 (0.5%)14.84 (1%)  (0%)15.21(1.13%)15.11-15.231.6(1.8)0 0.2%0.2%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0671.200Uptrend Reversal 15.29(0.52%)15.22-15.330.02   -6.7%-5.4% 
 
21Aug_15_200614.79 (-0.4%)14.74 (0.1%)14.69 (0.5%)  (0%)15.04(1.9%)14.89-15.040.9(1.1)0 0.1%0.3%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.4%)0531.100Rebound 14.93(-0.73%)15.04-14.880.03   -8.1%-4.2% 
22Aug_14_200614.78 (-0.6%)14.69 (-0.4%)14.69 (0%)  (0%)14.76(0.96%)14.76-14.93-0.1(-0.1)0 %0%0%-0.14% N/A  Range(0%)0391.100Rebound 14.76(0.01%)14.72-14.780   -9.8%-2.3% 
23Aug_11_200614.79 (-0.8%)14.68 (-0.6%)14.62 (-0.3%)  (0%)14.62(0.21%)14.6-14.65-0.7(-0.8)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.18% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0401.100Downtrend 14.58(-0.26%)14.55-14.650   -11.3%-1.3
24Aug_10_200614.8 (-0.9%)14.69 (-0.5%)14.67 (-0.3%)  (0%)14.59(1.11%)14.39-14.66-1(-1)0 -0.1%-0%0%-0.18% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0491.100After Bottom 14.62(0.19%)14.49-14.720   -13.1%-1.1
25Aug_9_200614.82 (-0.9%)14.68 (-0.4%)14.72 (-0.5%)  (0%)14.43(-1.84%)14.43-14.69-1.4(-1.6)0 -0.1%-0.3%0%-0.2% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.5%)0421.300Downtrend 14.39(-0.27%)14.34-14.50.03   -14.3%-0
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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