Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $74.8200 (-6.92%) ($72.8700 - $83.3400) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.8% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $74.8200(-6.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(42%)    ARKG(41%)    ARKK(41%)    IBUY(40%)    ONLN(39%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -3.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-13%)    VIXM(-13%)    DRIV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    TBT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.9% (StdDev 7.8%)
Hourly BBV -0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $72.06(3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.99(3.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.66(12.24%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   306%
Market Cap   $1.276b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 12.6% (three month std-dev: 7.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.51%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.82%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.77%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.5%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.18%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2020	35.33	66.66	71.99	72.06	72.67	77.19	74.82(-6.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	460	32	40	0.89	88%	1.32	58.8	7.8%	-0	1	58	-0.6
2	Sep_9_2020	34.87	65.25	70.9	71.98	70.9	73.26	80.38(16.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	190	42	43	1.17	88%	1.54	57.1	7.72%	1.7	1.6	68	-0.4
3	Sep_8_2020	34.34	63.65	69.54	70.57	69.95	68.16	69(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-210	-10	30	0.56	86%	1.42	60.6	7.55%	0.6	0.6	74	-1.2
4	Sep_4_2020	33.86	63.16	69.37	71.46	71.12	68.54	67.12(-2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-270	-28	46	0.84	86%	1.29	80.1	7.55%	-0.6	0.4	73	-1.6
5	Sep_3_2020	33.43	62.7	69.51	71.94	72.29	71.75	69(-7.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-40	-12	79	0.91	86%	1.36	95.3	7.58%	-1.1	0.7	79	-3.2

6	Sep_2_2020	32.98	62.06	69.5	71.71	72.18	73.71	74.39(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	170	22	120	0.79	86%	1.6	96.2	7.58%	0.8	1.2	87	-1.3
7	Sep_1_2020	32.46	60.35	68.57	69.53	70.18	72.83	73.35(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	290	28	135	0.73	86%	1.56	83.8	7.58%	0.6	1.2	88	-1
8	Aug_31_2020	31.96	58.53	66.67	68.37	67.81	70.65	73.47(5.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	270	30	141	0.81	86%	1.33	76.9	7.58%	1.5	1.3	80	-0.6
9	Aug_28_2020	31.54	56.71	64.73	67.09	66.6	67.53	69.52(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	80	19	124	0.65	86%	1.64	73.4	7.57%	1.5	1.1	60	0.5
10	Aug_27_2020	31.03	55.16	62.83	66.81	66.27	64.97	67.81(6.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-160	-6	106	0.92	86%	1.57	74.5	7.57%	1.1	1.1	60	0.5

11	Aug_26_2020	30.55	53.7	60.96	67.01	66.43	65.67	63.5(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-110	-21	96	0.95	86%	1.5	78.6	7.57%	-1.4	0.9	59	1
12	Aug_25_2020	30.1	52.48	59.27	67.36	68.17	67.57	67.56(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	47	-30	19	132	0.55	86%	1.69	82.5	7.53%	0.9	1.3	77	1.3
13	Aug_24_2020	29.6	50.98	57.36	64.56	66.96	67.2	67.08(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	140	15	129	0.77	86%	1.79	79.1	7.59%	-0.3	1.4	79	1.3
14	Aug_21_2020	29.08	49.47	56.44	61.87	63.42	68.76	68.11(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	660	44	157	1.41	86%	1.86	77.6	7.57%	0.1	1.7	79	1.4
15	Aug_20_2020	28.55	47.81	55.26	58.18	59.89	66.71	68.79(5.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	118	890	98	179	4.16	86%	1.96	73.5	7.6%	0.6	2	76	1.5

16	Aug_19_2020	28	46.05	53.85	54.09	54.49	58.07	65.29(21.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	92	480	68	162	1.8	86%	1.86	69.5	7.6%	2.3	2.1	75	1.5
17	Aug_18_2020	27.49	44.45	51.26	50.12	50.79	53.07	53.53(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	350	29	119	0.28	84%	1.44	65	7.21%	0.6	1.1	70	1.8
18	Aug_17_2020	27.1	43.41	49.63	49.11	48.75	50.92	53.65(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	290	12	104	0.5	84%	1.54	64.7	7.2%	1.3	1.2	71	1.9
19	Aug_14_2020	26.69	42.26	47.99	50.26	48.38	48.51	49.66(2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-90	-7	115	0.25	83%	1.33	72.3	7.16%	1	0.9	70	1.6
20	Aug_13_2020	26.34	41.27	46.92	51.93	51.04	46.58	48.3(6.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-660	-31	140	0.52	83%	1.31	80.5	7.18%	-0.1	0.8	71	1.5

21	Aug_12_2020	26	40.36	46.01	53.56	53.68	48.25	45.48(-6.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-700	-50	173	1.23	83%	1.4	88.9	7.19%	-1	0.6	70	1.6
22	Aug_11_2020	25.64	39.53	45.4	52.33	55.28	55.49	48.48(-18.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	50	200	2	193	1.23	83%	1.54	82.8	7.19%	0	1	75	1.1
23	Aug_10_2020	25.25	38.46	44.37	49.84	52.16	59.12	59.4(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	120	1070	86	223	1.11	100%	2.06	73.3	6.76%	0	2.3	91	1.7
24	Aug_7_2020	24.74	36.8	42.06	45.26	46.31	55.08	57.99(2.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	135	1400	118	187	2.01	86%	1.98	66	7.15%	0	2.7	92	1.6
25	Aug_6_2020	24.26	35.24	39.7	41.31	41.06	45.19	56.47(43.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	104	690	92	141	3.01	86%		63.3	7.31%	0	3.3	92	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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