Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $93.3000 (-3.23%) ($92.2600 - $94.9100) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $93.3000(-3.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(78%)    MCHI(75%)    FXI(73%)    EEM(65%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-8%)    TBT(-6%)    IYT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $95.13(-1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.98(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.88(0.45%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   34.3%
Market Cap   $12.782b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.49%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.35%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.18%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2020	78.83	92.88	92.98	95.13	95.32	95.16	93.3(-3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10	-23	32	3.55	60%	0.46	32.3	2.43%	-1.7	0.2	46	1.6
2	Aug_6_2020	78.47	93.03	92.64	94.8	95.26	96.46	96.41(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	100	49	53	3.44	66%	0.55	47	2.39%	0.6	1.3	64	1.7
3	Aug_5_2020	78.04	93.01	92.07	93.57	93.88	95.48	96.17(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	55	130	59	41	1.97	66%	0.49	55.1	2.39%	1.2	1.3	68	1.7
4	Aug_4_2020	77.66	92.74	91.7	92.43	92.37	94.07	95.96(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	130	61	22	3.07	66%	0.52	51.3	2.41%	1.3	1.3	51	1.6
5	Aug_3_2020	77.26	92.38	91.46	91.25	91.32	92.28	93.8(2.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	38	80	51	-3	2.57	66%	0.39	41.3	2.4%	1.2	0.6	45	1.3

6	Jul_31_2020	76.96	92.11	91.44	90.57	90.41	90.68	91.68(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	20	12	-32	2.57	56%	0.43	34.5	2.41%	1.8	-0.2	39	1.5
7	Jul_30_2020	76.63	91.87	91.44	90.17	90.22	90.37	90.24(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	10	8	-50	2.3	56%	0.34	25.6	2.53%	-1	-0.6	31	1.3
8	Jul_29_2020	76.37	91.68	91.42	90.33	89.82	90.14	90.48(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	10	-7	-69	2.85	56%	0.34	22.4	2.55%	0.7	-0.4	33	1.6
9	Jul_28_2020	76.11	91.48	91.8	90.84	90.17	90.07	90.06(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-30	-7	-56	1.91	56%	0.34	23.7	2.55%	0.3	-0.4	51	1.5
10	Jul_27_2020	75.85	91.34	92.31	91.7	91.07	89.5	90.38(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-140	-36	-42	2.73	56%	0.32	33.7	2.56%	0.3	-0.3	56	1.5

11	Jul_24_2020	75.61	91.23	92.8	92.46	92.32	90.27	89.67(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-160	-62	-26	4.21	56%	0.29	45.6	2.58%	-0.9	-0.4	57	1.2
12	Jul_23_2020	75.39	91.13	93.52	92.82	93.44	92.65	91.08(-2.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-18	-40	-29	17	3.01	56%	0.32	54.4	2.58%	0.6	-0	64	1.3
13	Jul_22_2020	75.15	90.97	94.08	92.6	93.21	94.37	93.02(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	110	9	55	2.66	56%	0.4	59.8	2.57%	0.7	0.5	69	1.8
14	Jul_21_2020	74.85	90.68	93.92	92.89	92.52	94.22	94.37(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	120	41	86	2.77	56%	0.44	67.2	2.56%	-1.4	1	71	1.8
15	Jul_20_2020	74.52	90.15	93.41	93.06	92.49	92.05	94.18(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-50	20	87	2.29	56%	0.42	67.6	2.57%	1.5	1	68	2.2

16	Jul_17_2020	74.21	89.59	92.84	93.3	92.64	90.83	91.45(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-34	-160	-66	61	2.8	53%	0.37	68.3	2.55%	-0.2	0.4	61	1.9
17	Jul_16_2020	73.94	89.14	92.39	94.39	94	92.93	90(-4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-25	-90	-59	78	4.3	53%	0.3	71.4	2.6%	-1.3	0.2	60	1.5
18	Jul_15_2020	73.72	88.74	92.04	95.72	95.61	94.45	94.44(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-90	-14	117	3.62	60%	0.37	73.1	2.55%	-0.1	1.2	71	1.4
19	Jul_14_2020	73.45	88.15	91.21	95.01	96.29	95.08	95.21(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-50	-13	108	3.93	60%	0.4	70.7	2.55%	-0.5	1.5	75	0.9
20	Jul_13_2020	73.16	87.5	90.34	93.74	95.52	96.77	95.4(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	150	22	112	4.82	60%	0.37	66.8	2.55%	-1.3	1.7	81	0

21	Jul_10_2020	72.89	86.81	89.52	92.26	93.54	97.5	96.89(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	115	340	107	138	6.87	60%	0.37	57.9	2.56%	0.6	2.4	87	1.2
22	Jul_9_2020	72.62	86.04	88.48	90.12	91.35	94.27	96.65(6.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	141	260	143	135	10.86	60%	0.36	53	2.58%	1.2	2.9	87	0.8
23	Jul_8_2020	72.36	85.4	87.47	87.9	88.55	89.58	90.91(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	56	100	47	82	4.84	51%	0.29	52.4	2.48%	1.4	2.1	84	0.9
24	Jul_7_2020	72.15	84.93	87.04	86.9	87.31	88.43	88.86(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	100	29	72	4.69	51%	0.24	46.9	2.47%	0.9	1.6	74	0.7
25	Jul_6_2020	71.98	84.58	86.53	86.43	86.77	87.52	88.01(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	70	33	69	5.19	57%		48.5	2.51%	0.6	1.5	72	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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