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     Mon. Mar. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(Microsoft)

MSFT latest price $135.4200 (-10.69%) ($135.4200 - $135.4200) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.19% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $135.4200(-10.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  MSFT declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MSFT declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(88%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    SPY(80%)    XLK(80%)  
Factors Impacting MSFT price  MSFT will decline at least -1.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-47%)    VXX(-20%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    IGOV(0%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.595% (StdDev 3.19%)
Hourly BBV   -2.4 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $164.03
5 Day Moving Average  $148.07(-8.54%)
10 Day Moving Average  $155.09(-12.68%)
20 Day Moving Average  $164.03(-17.44%)
To recent high  -28.2%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $1025.265b
 
 
 
Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 8.4% (three month std-dev: 3.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6   Average positive next day return: 4.4%(50%)   Average negative next day return: -6.66%(50%)
Sample size 6   Average positive next three day return: 3.4%(33%)   Average negative next three day return: -10.26%(67%)
Sample size 6   Average positive next weekly return: 3.43%(33%)   Average negative next weekly return: -12%(67%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200416

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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BBV
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
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Strength
100
Daily
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Daily
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Daily
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Mar_16_2020159.84164.03155.09148.07 146.3 143.37135.42(-10.69%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -83   -180   -66   -135   87.7    44%-0.03-65.13.19%-2.4-2.138-2.7
2Mar_13_2020159.89166.59158.91151.75 150.19 144.3151.63(9.27%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -119   -310   -112   -138   68.29    49%0.08-63.72.89%-0.2-1.242-1.9
3Mar_12_2020159.77168.2160153.71 152.24 149.02138.76(-9.64%)DTOpenShort-75-1.2   -197   -180   -199   -189   92.52    44%0.01-60.82.63%-1.9-2.331-2.6
4Mar_11_2020159.75170.59162.22159.25 156.46 155.57153.56(-4.62%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -84   -90   -65   -140   56.08    48%0.11-55.62.33%-1-1.534-2.2
5Mar_10_2020159.57172.16163.91162.6 159.91 155.69161(4.67%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -98   -230   -81   -147   65.2    51%0.14-48.72.25%1-1.135-2
 
6Mar_9_2020159.34173.53164.63163.32 162.81 157.42153.81(-4.7%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -212   -240   -208   -223   55.76    48%0.11-41.12.17%-1.2-1.830-2.7
7Mar_6_2020159.17175.1166.4167.12 165.76 163.79161.4(-3.05%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -139   -110   -124   -184   72.52    52%0.14-292.09%-1.3-1.434-2.3
8Mar_5_2020158.94176.25168.06167.22 167.72 167.78166.47(-2.27%)DTHoldShort-50-0.1   -3   10   39   -130   47.74    54%0.17-25.32.05%-0.7-138-2.1
9Mar_4_2020158.67176.96169.71165.52 165.56 167.87170.34(3.51%)DPOpenShort-650.5   -21   100   24   -154   50.07    56%0.19-25.82.03%0.9-0.739-1.6
10Mar_3_2020158.37177.48171.23165.49 164.3 167.66164.56(-4.79%)N/AN/A0-0.1   37   120   92   -129   59.38    54%0.16-19.41.98%0.1-1.435-2.3
 
11Mar_2_2020158.11178.07173.43166.23 165.01 163.41172.84(6.77%)N/AN/A00.8   1   -90   51   -151   70.51    57%0.22-121.88%1.9-0.636-1.9
12Feb_28_2020157.76178.01174.58165.83 165.7 161.16161.88(2.46%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -263   -190   -251   -298   83.51    51%0.15-10.71.67%-0.7-1.930-2.8
13Feb_27_2020157.53178.68176.83169.17 169.05 166.74158(-7.16%)DTOpenShort-75-1.4   -236   -100   -229   -258   92.86    49%0.133.41.66%-2.4-2.625-3.1
14Feb_26_2020157.33179.36179.67174.45 173.24 170.62170.18(1.14%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -136   -130   -123   -174   54    57%0.2327.51.37%-0.9-1.341-2.4
15Feb_25_2020156.97179.25181.16177.86 176.54 171.23168.27(-1.5%)DTOpenShort-75-1.3   -260   -230   -284   -187   67.86    57%0.239.11.37%-1.3-1.538-3.2
 
16Feb_24_2020156.65179.11183.29181.65 180.73 175.66170.83(-4.34%)DTOpenShort-75-1.4   -279   -210   -330   -126   68.18    59%0.2248.21.36%-1.3-1.150-3.1
17Feb_21_2020156.31178.94184.74184.55 184.44 181.78178.58(-3.14%)CRSmallShort-20-0.7   -154   -100   -206   2   48.56    65%0.28561.22%-1.6-066-0.8
18Feb_20_2020155.87178.41185.34185.57 185.75 185.8184.37(-1.53%)N/AN/A0-0.1   -16   0   -59   115   36.71    70%0.3359.61.14%-1.40.7690.4
19Feb_19_2020155.35177.5184.95185.63 185.82 187.09187.23(-0.01%)UDOpenLong750.2   120   50   89   214   29.85    73%0.3460.81.12%0.81.1781
20Feb_18_2020154.83176.46184.25185.05 185.01 185.7187.25(1.03%)UTHoldLong650.3   97   30   51   235   27.74    73%0.4361.61.12%1.71.2800.8
 
21Feb_14_2020154.16175.44183.03185.34 184.9 184.56185.33(0.91%)UDOpenLong65-0   63   -20   -3   262   23.09    74%0.31681.11%1.11.2810.9
22Feb_13_2020153.69174.46181.61185.34 185.51 184.32183.66(-0.56%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   37   -40   -40   266   35.21    74%0.371.21.11%-0.71.1740.6
23Feb_12_2020153.23173.44180.58185.05 185.46 185.24184.7(0.21%)UDOpenLong65-0   36   -0   -48   289   46.93    74%0.32741.11%-0.91.3721
24Feb_11_2020152.74172.3178.99184.07 185.15 186.71184.31(-2.33%)UDOpenLong750   160   80   98   346   53.05    74%0.375.11.11%-1.11.5720.1
25Feb_10_2020152.28171.23177.17183.24 183.53 185.68188.7(2.62%)UTHoldLong650.7   235   90   184   389   35.73    79%78.51.05%22.2770.2
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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