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     Thu. Dec. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Wed. Feb. 24, 2021)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $157.2600 (9.97%) ($143.0101 - $159.1100) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $26.16 (25.06% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  5.4% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  5.2% (StdDev 5.4%)
Daily Moving Force  1.7%
Correction Force  Very Strong (-6.7%)
Trend   5.4%
Trend Strength  18.2%
RSI   80
Momentum  4.6
Latest Price  $157.2600(9.97%)
Forecasted Low Price  138.7(-11.8%)
Forecasted High Price  163.55(4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-10.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  18.4% (132.83)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  30.1%
Hourly Trend   -2.1% [$145.3(-3.08), $148.85(7.24)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  8
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRNA advances 7.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA advances 28.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0.6% a week (29% probability)
  IPO(37%)    IBB(32%)    XBI(28%)    TIP(24%)    EDOC(19%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will decline at least -0.8% in a week (17% probabilities).
  INDA(-22%)    XLRE(-19%)    XLC(-16%)    IYT(-12%)    XLB(-11%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.5
 
Relative Volatility   2.2 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  5% (StdDev 5.4%)
Hourly BBV   1.4 ()
Intraday Trend   9.6%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $159.18(1.22%)
Support Level  $104.41
5 Day Moving Average  $144.21(9.05%)
10 Day Moving Average  $123.42(27.42%)
20 Day Moving Average  $104.41(50.62%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  189.4%
Market Cap  $61.847b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $112.87 ($60.00 - $166.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Tue. Nov. 24, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -28.23%
% to Low Target Price  -61.85%
% to High Target Price  5.56%
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 25.06% (three month std-dev: 5.4%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210103

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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To High-Low
1Dec_3_2020104.41 (4.6%)123.42 (5.8%)144.21 (7.2%) 148.85 145.3(0%)157.26(9.97%)143.01-159.112.1(2)1.4 1.7%5.2%-6.7%5.4%18.2%804.6 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-10.4%)81.50.9Growing Uptrend 220.89(40.46%)144.45-24038.66   0%-189.4% 
2Dec_2_202099.9 (4.2%)116.49 (5%)134.59 (7.1%) 141.61 148.38(0%)143(1.41%)128.1-149.82.1(1.8)0.9 1.9%4.2%-6.7%4.74%16.6%804.5 Growing Uptrend Correction Lower(-10.8%)811Growing Uptrend 193.16(35.08%)133.58-208.0651.22   -6.4%-163.2% 
3Dec_1_202096.1 (3.6%)111.39 (4.4%)125.7 (6.8%) 132.65 152.39(0%)141.01(-7.68%)130.33-178.52.1(2)1.2 10.4%4.1%-6.4%4.22%15.9%824.4 Uptrend Dip  Lower(-8.2%)811.1Uptrend Dip 226.21(60.42%)119.63-252.86125.55   -7.7%-159.5% 
4Nov_30_202092.28 (3.2%)106.83 (4%)117.71 (10.3%) 117.83 134.84(0%)152.74(20.24%)141.05-153.872.1(2.9)2 13%5.9%-5.4%3.8%15.8%854.3 Overbought  Lower(-4.6%)81.51.1Overbought 134.41(-12%)84.84-208.7573.2   0%-181.1% 
5Nov_27_202087.78 (2.4%)100.09 (3.2%)106.68 (6.9%) 105.99 112.9(0%)127.03(16.35%)114.86-130.061.8(2.5)2.2 8.4%3.9%0%2.98%14%843.8 Overbought  Higher(12.3%)80.51.2Overbought 116.7(-8.13%)88.87-158.4543.44   0%-133.8% 
 
6Nov_25_202084.84 (2%)95.95 (2.8%)99.83 (4.2%) 99.66 100.82(0%)109.18(10.78%)98.65-109.291.6(1.9)3.3 2.6%2.8%0%2.56%13.1%813.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.4%)8-0.11.4Uptrend 122.29(12.01%)103.7-130.2525.85   0%-100.9% 
7Nov_24_202082.62 (1.8%)93.24 (2.6%)95.77 (1.1%) 96.59 99.07(0%)98.56(-2.44%)93.54-99.891.5(1.3)2.4 1%2.1%0%2.38%12.9%793.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.3%)8-0.51.5Uptrend 109.1(10.69%)95.34-11512.52   -2.4%-81.4% 
8Nov_23_202081.19 (1.8%)91.09 (2.8%)94.69 (0.7%) 95.02 98.51(0%)101.03(3.5%)98.62-101.771.6(1.7)1.8 2.8%2.4%0%2.46%12.2%823.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(5.2%)8-0.21.3Uptrend 111.81(10.67%)96.72-118.2816.36   0%-85.9% 
9Nov_20_202079.59 (1.8%)88.77 (3.2%)94.07 (1.8%) 93.62 94.1(0%)97.61(5.22%)94.82-98.431.7(1.7)1.5 1.5%2.5%0%2.7%11.5%823.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(4%)8-0.31.4Uptrend 108.38(11.03%)93.67-114.6915.31   -0.3%-79.6% 
10Nov_19_202078.17 (1.6%)86.3 (3.2%)92.43 (1.1%) 94.18 91.54(0%)92.77(4.36%)89.51-94.651.9(1.5)0.9 -0.4%2.1%0%2.68%10.4%803.1 Uptrend  Range(1.7%)8-0.51.7Uptrend 102.61(10.61%)89.82-108.0916   -5.3%-70.7% 
 
11Nov_18_202077.02 (1.4%)84.23 (3.2%)91.44 (1.4%) 93.23 93.14(0%)88.89(-4.57%)88.61-942.1(1.3)-0.1 -1.3%1.9%-4.3%2.66%9.4%703.1 Uptrend Dip Correction Range(-1.4%)9-0.61.9Uptrend Dip 110.73(24.57%)84.52-117.2821.82   -9.2%-63.6% 
12Nov_17_202075.96 (1.2%)82.39 (3.2%)90.15 (3.9%) 91.94 96.82(0%)93.15(-4.9%)91.6-97.82.5(1.9)1.7 3.8%2.5%-6%2.64%8.5%793 Uptrend Dip  Lower(-9.8%)10-0.51.8Uptrend Dip 115.7(24.21%)85.93-123.1526.17   -4.9%-71.4% 
13Nov_16_202074.79 (1%)79.98 (2.8%)86.73 (4.9%) 88.18 93.32(0%)97.95(9.58%)93.3-103.22.5(2.8)2.8 6.1%3.4%-6%2.18%6.9%742.8 Overbought  Lower(-8.8%)9-0.31.9Breakout 105.04(7.24%)92.87-110.2570.85   0%-80.3% 
14Nov_13_202073.32 (0.6%)76.79 (2%)82.69 (4.3%) 82.88 87.06(0%)89.39(1.8%)85.22-90.532.3(2.6)2.5 4%2.4%-5.6%1.62%4.7%712.2 Overbought  Lower(-9%)8-0.51.1Breakout 93.2(4.26%)86.17-96.214.18   0%-64.5% 
15Nov_12_202072.45 (0.4%)74.53 (1.4%)79.3 (4.3%) 80.34 83.04(0%)87.81(6.51%)83.83-87.932(3)2.3 4.7%2%-1.2%1.14%2.9%691.8 Breakout  Range(-0.2%)8-0.50.7Breakout 89.69(2.14%)84.73-91.8121.75   0%-61.6% 
 
16Nov_11_202071.73 (0.2%)72.74 (1%)76.03 (3.4%) 76.85 78.69(0%)82.44(8.4%)76.13-83.981.4(2.8)2.8 2.2%1.8%0%0.74%1.4%651.5 Breakout  Higher(4%)7-0.81.3Breakout 83.24(0.97%)80.43-84.4518.58   0%-51.7% 
17Nov_10_202071.35 (-0%)71.02 (0.6%)73.51 (1.9%) 74.65 77.64(0%)76.05(-2.17%)73.52-80.380.8(1.4)1.5 2.8%0.6%0%0.38%-0.5%631.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.5%)6-10.7Uptrend Reversal 77.21(1.53%)76.23-77.8710.5   -2.9%-40% 
18Nov_9_202071.4 (-0%)70.42 (0.4%)72.11 (3%) 72.73 75.01(0%)77.74(7.3%)75.42-80.250.4(1.9)2.2 3.8%0.9%0%0.22%-1.4%591.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(4.7%)5-0.8-0.4Uptrend Reversal 78.91(1.51%)77.92-79.5820.27   -0.7%-43.1% 
19Nov_6_202071.22 (-0.2%)69.58 (-0%)69.99 (1.5%) 70.26 71.65(0%)72.45(1.36%)70.87-74.16-0.3(0.4)2.2 1.6%0.2%0%-0.08%-2.3%531.2 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.8%)5-11.9Rebound 72.01(-0.61%)72.45-71.825.84   -7.5%-33.3% 
20Nov_5_202071.23 (-0.2%)69.34 (-0.2%)68.99 (0.1%) 69.09 70.45(0%)71.48(2.39%)70.16-71.59-0.7(0.1)1.5 1.3%0.1%0%-0.26%-2.7%451.2 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.4%)4-10.9Downtrend 71.13(-0.49%)71.01-71.44.45   -8.7%-31.5% 
 
21Nov_4_202071.3 (-0.2%)69.23 (-0.4%)68.95 (1.2%) 68.61 68.86(0%)69.81(1.06%)68.92-71.55-0.9(-0.5)1.2 1%0.1%0%-0.34%-2.9%401.2 Uptrend Reversal  Range(1.1%)3-10.5Downtrend Consolidation 69.73(-0.11%)70.42-69.55.44   -11%-28.5% 
22Nov_3_202071.43 (-0.2%)69.09 (-0.8%)68.14 (-0.5%) 68.68 67.74(0%)69.08(2.94%)66.59-69.25-1.2(-0.8)0.9 -0.5%-0.3%0%-0.58%-3.3%371.2 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.8%)2-1-1.6After Bottom 69.09(0.02%)67.73-70.24.37   -12%-27.1% 
23Nov_2_202071.54 (-0.2%)69.29 (-0.8%)68.45 (-0.9%) 68.56 68.36(0%)67.11(-0.53%)66.55-68.6-1.2(-1.4)-0.8 -1.4%-0.5%0%-0.66%-3.1%311.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.6%)2-1-2.5Downtrend 66.62(-0.73%)66.11-67.834.65   -14.5%-23.5% 
24Oct_30_202071.81 (-0.2%)69.69 (-1%)69.08 (-0.9%) 69.25 69.63(0%)67.47(-5.35%)66.85-71.49-1.1(-1.5)-1 0.3%-0.7%0%-0.66%-3%391.1 Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(2.3%)2-0.9-2.2Growing Downtrend 67.02(-0.66%)66.5-68.167.09   -14%-24.2% 
25Oct_29_202071.92 (-0%)70.32 (-0.8%)69.69 (0.1%) 69.5 68.76(0%)71.28(8.43%)66.23-74.54-0.9(-0.2)0.6 -0.1%-0.3%0%-0.58%-2.2%481.1 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)1-0.8-2.4Downtrend 70.74(-0.76%)70.44-71.4213.78   -10.4%-31.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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