Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $157.2600 (9.97%) ($143.0101 - $159.1100) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.4% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $157.2600(9.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 7.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA advances 28.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(62%)    IPO(44%)    IBUY(37%)    ONLN(36%)    QQQ(36%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -2.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-14%)    USO(-9%)    TBT(-9%)    XLE(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.7% (StdDev 5.4%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 9.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $144.21(9.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.42(27.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.41(50.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   189.4%
Market Cap   $61.847b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 25.06% (three month std-dev: 5.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 20.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -16.99%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -9.67%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.93%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2020	77.24	104.41	123.42	144.21	148.85	145.3	157.26(9.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	112	-70	38	333	38.66	71%	1.02	92	5.4%	0.7	2	80	0.9
2	Dec_2_2020	76.46	99.9	116.49	134.59	141.61	148.38	143(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	105	490	40	299	51.22	70%	0.91	87.3	5.29%	-0.6	1.8	80	1
3	Dec_1_2020	75.77	96.1	111.39	125.7	132.65	152.39	141.01(-7.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	298	1210	276	363	125.55	70%	0.93	78.7	5.29%	0.3	2	82	1
4	Nov_30_2020	75.07	92.28	106.83	117.71	117.83	134.84	152.74(20.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	331	1010	320	363	73.2	73%	1.23	71.7	5.19%	0.9	2.9	85	1.1
5	Nov_27_2020	74.16	87.78	100.09	106.68	105.99	112.9	127.03(16.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	224	440	202	288	43.44	69%	1.01	69.6	4.62%	-2.4	2.5	84	1.1

6	Nov_25_2020	73.42	84.84	95.95	99.83	99.66	100.82	109.18(10.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	80	62	221	25.85	67%	0.67	65.8	4.26%	2	1.9	81	1.3
7	Nov_24_2020	72.93	82.62	93.24	95.77	96.59	99.07	98.56(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	210	24	203	12.52	64%	0.54	60.5	4.08%	-0.2	1.3	79	1.1
8	Nov_23_2020	72.54	81.19	91.09	94.69	95.02	98.51	101.03(3.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	109	270	68	232	16.36	64%	0.4	60.2	4.08%	1.2	1.7	82	1.1
9	Nov_20_2020	72.25	79.59	88.77	94.07	93.62	94.1	97.61(5.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	20	36	244	15.31	64%	0.54	63.4	4.08%	1.3	1.7	82	1.2
10	Nov_19_2020	71.86	78.17	86.3	92.43	94.18	91.54	92.77(4.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	53	-140	-7	232	16	62%	0.45	62.1	4.04%	1	1.5	80	1.3

11	Nov_18_2020	71.54	77.02	84.23	91.44	93.23	93.14	88.89(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	50	-29	224	21.82	60%	0.35	60	4.02%	-1.2	1.3	70	1.3
12	Nov_17_2020	71.29	75.96	82.39	90.15	91.94	96.82	93.15(-4.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	138	430	92	277	26.17	63%	0.44	54.2	4%	-0.1	1.9	79	1.6
13	Nov_16_2020	70.98	74.79	79.98	86.73	88.18	93.32	97.95(9.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	174	460	144	264	70.85	66%	0.52	43.5	3.95%	1.6	2.8	74	1.6
14	Nov_13_2020	70.61	73.32	76.79	82.69	82.88	87.06	89.39(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	123	360	96	203	14.18	62%	0.4	34.8	3.79%	1.2	2.6	71	1.5
15	Nov_12_2020	70.33	72.45	74.53	79.3	80.34	83.04	87.81(6.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	121	270	107	161	21.75	62%	0.33	24.4	3.8%	1.3	3	69	1.1

16	Nov_11_2020	70.1	71.73	72.74	76.03	76.85	78.69	82.44(8.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	63	200	50	102	18.58	60%	0.29	11.3	3.72%	1.8	2.8	65	1.8
17	Nov_10_2020	69.9	71.35	71.02	73.51	74.65	77.64	76.05(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	330	63	71	10.5	55%	0.16	-2.3	3.63%	-0.2	1.4	63	1.7
18	Nov_9_2020	69.79	71.4	70.42	72.11	72.73	75.01	77.74(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	77	250	83	60	20.27	55%	0.16	-4.2	3.63%	1.4	1.9	59	1.4
19	Nov_6_2020	69.68	71.22	69.58	69.99	70.26	71.65	72.45(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	150	35	11	5.84	50%	0.11	-18.8	3.52%	1.2	0.4	53	1.7
20	Nov_5_2020	69.6	71.23	69.34	68.99	69.09	70.45	71.48(2.39%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	17	140	27	-13	4.45	50%	0.12	-21.9	3.54%	1.2	0.1	45	1

21	Nov_4_2020	69.52	71.3	69.23	68.95	68.61	68.86	69.81(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	10	22	-26	5.44	50%	0.09	-18.2	3.55%	1	-0.5	40	0.8
22	Nov_3_2020	69.46	71.43	69.09	68.14	68.68	67.74	69.08(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-70	-10	-67	4.37	50%	0.03	-23.5	3.54%	1.6	-0.8	37	-0.6
23	Nov_2_2020	69.44	71.54	69.29	68.45	68.56	68.36	67.11(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-20	-29	-85	4.65	50%	0.09	-20.3	3.59%	-0.8	-1.4	31	-1.4
24	Oct_30_2020	69.38	71.81	69.69	69.08	69.25	69.63	67.47(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-15	50	5	-73	7.09	50%	0.1	-13.4	3.63%	-0.7	-1.5	39	-1.7
25	Oct_29_2020	69.31	71.92	70.32	69.69	69.5	68.76	71.28(8.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-80	-3	-69	13.78	54%		-9.2	3.58%	1	-0.2	48	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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