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     Fri. Aug. 7, 2020



Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Merck)

MRK latest price $81.0200 (-0.04%) ($80.0300 - $81.0200) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRK advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRK advance at 0.7% a week (61% probability)
  XLV(76%)    VYM(57%)    DIA(55%)    SPY(55%)    VT(55%)  
Factors Impacting MRK price  MRK will decline at least -0.1% in a week (37% probabilities).
  VXX(-47%)    VIXM(-40%)    TLT(-38%)    BNDX(-18%)    FEX(-14%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1
 
Relative Volatility   0.9 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly Trend   -0.49% [$81.06(-0.54), $81.46(-0.47)]
Last Hour Trend   0.15% [$80.64, $80.52]


MRK Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  63%
Bullish Price Move  1.5%
Bearish Probability  38%
Bearish Price Move  -1.5%
Recommended Position Size  17%
Latest Price  $81.0200
Next Day Open Price  $81.26(0.3%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $81.51(0.61%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $83.89(3.54%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $80.75 - $81.71
Support Level  $79.65
5 Day Moving Average  $81.58(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average  $80.57(0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average  $79.65(1.72%)
To recent high  -2.3%
To recent low  9.5%
Market Cap  $204.913b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Oct. 27, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $94.13 ($84.00 - $107.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Thu. Aug. 6, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  16.18%
% to Low Target Price  3.68%
% to High Target Price  32.07%
 


  
 
 


Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRK price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.53%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200907

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_7_2020-2.3%-9.5% 1.2%,0.6(0.1)2%,1.1(0.2)0.2%,0.1-0.90.15%1.2%0.9-10.9(1.88%,NAN%)1.66.66   81.02(-0.04%)80.03-81.02Growing Uptrend 81.51(0.61%)80.75-81.7157
2Aug_6_2020-2.2%-9.5% 1.1%,0.5(0.1)1.7%,0.8(0.2)0.5%,0.3-0.6-0.02%1%1-10.8(1.96%,NAN%)1.66.92   81.05(-0.72%)80.58-82.39Growing Uptrend 81.5(0.55%)80.73-81.6955
3Aug_5_2020-1.5%-10.3% 0.8%,0.4(0.1)1.2%,0.6(0.2)0.6%,0.30.3-0.02%0.9%1.60.10.7(1.93%,NAN%)1.66.2   81.64(-0.04%)81.15-82.47Growing Uptrend 81.93(0.35%)81.17-82.1159
4Aug_4_2020-1.5%-10.3% 0.7%,0.4(-0)0.9%,0.5(0.1)0.5%,0.33-0.1%0.7%1.90.60.4(1.8%,NAN%)1.56.82   81.67(-1.05%)81.07-82.55Growing Uptrend 81.85(0.22%)81.12-82.0459
5Aug_3_2020-0.4%-11.5% 0.7%,0.4(0)0.7%,0.4(0.2)0.9%,0.630.05%0.6%2.81.8-0(1.65%,NAN%)1.610.11   82.54(2.87%)81.86-83.8Growing Uptrend 82.66(0.15%)81.79-82.8868
 
6Jul_31_2020-3.2%-8.4% 0.7%,0.6(0.1)0.4%,0.3(0.1)0.8%,0.600.32%0.3%1.50-0.8(1.31%,NAN%)1.711.74   80.24(1.58%)79.15-81.68Uptrend 80.3(0.08%)79.95-80.4565
7Jul_30_2020-4.7%-6.7% 0.6%,0.5(-0.1)0.3%,0.3(-0.1)0.2%,0.20.6-0.06%0.4%0.4-0.6-1(1.22%,NAN%)1.76.81   78.99(-0.45%)77.63-79.28Uptrend Consolidation 78.9(-0.11%)78.85-79.0964
8Jul_29_2020-4.3%-7.2% 0.7%,0.6(0)0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0.2%,0.130.28%0.5%0.8-0.6-1(1.22%,NAN%)1.96.08   79.35(-0.43%)78.74-79.74Uptrend 79.41(0.07%)79.2-79.566
9Jul_28_2020-3.9%-7.7% 0.7%,0.6(0.1)0.6%,0.5(0.1)0.2%,0.21.20.13%0.6%1.20.5-1.1(1.25%,NAN%)1.88.1   79.69(0.96%)78.97-80.21Growing Uptrend 79.8(0.14%)79.47-79.8959
10Jul_27_2020-6%-6.6% 0.6%,0.5(0.1)0.5%,0.3(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-1.50.28%0.6%0.6-0.6-1(1.35%,NAN%)1.810.09   78.93(2.37%)76.31-79.14Growing Uptrend 78.99(0.07%)78.8-79.0450
 
11Jul_24_2020-8.2%-4.2% 0.5%,0.3(-0.1)0.3%,0.2(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.4-1.50.14%0.7%-0.8-1.8-0.9(1.59%,NAN%)1.58.68   77.1(-1.23%)76.36-77.99Uptrend Consolidation 77.39(0.37%)77.47-77.1437
12Jul_23_2020-7%-5.5% 0.7%,0.4(-0.1)0.5%,0.3(-0)-0.3%,-0.2-0.9-0.27%0.7%-0-1.6-0.9(1.63%,NAN%)1.411.05   78.06(-0.91%)77.51-79.2Uptrend 78.15(0.11%)78.06-78.1946
13Jul_22_2020-6.2%-6.4% 0.8%,0.5(-0)0.5%,0.3(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-0.6-0.1%0.7%0.6-2-0.9(1.74%,NAN%)1.711.66   78.78(-0.14%)78.02-79.76Uptrend 78.87(0.12%)78.61-78.9954
14Jul_21_2020-6.1%-6.6% 0.9%,0.5(-0.1)0.7%,0.4(-0.1)0.2%,0.1-00%0.7%0.7-1.7-0.9(1.73%,NAN%)1.78.63   78.89(-0.65%)78.79-80.12Uptrend Consolidation 78.63(-0.33%)78.48-79.0759
15Jul_20_2020-5.4%-7.3% 1%,0.6(0)0.9%,0.5(-0.1)0.5%,0.30.3-0.03%0.8%1.2-1-1(1.73%,NAN%)2.15.18   79.41(-0.58%)79.07-80.2Uptrend Consolidation 79.01(-0.51%)78.79-79.6467
 
16Jul_17_2020-4.9%-7.9% 1%,0.6(0.2)1.1%,0.7(0.1)0.8%,0.51.20%0.9%1.60.2-1.2(1.67%,NAN%)27.25   79.87(0.59%)79.31-80.25Growing Uptrend 80.11(0.3%)79.47-80.2773
17Jul_16_2020-5.5%-7.3% 0.7%,0.4(0.3)1%,0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.42.10.11%1%1.50-1.5(1.6%,NAN%)1.85.57   79.4(-0.05%)78.75-79.81Uptrend 79.51(0.14%)79.02-79.7262
18Jul_15_2020-5.4%-7.3% 0.2%,0.1(0.3)0.9%,0.6(0.1)0.4%,0.32.1-0.1%1%1.7-0.2-1.7(1.52%,NAN%)1.87.48   79.44(1.52%)78.84-79.97Growing Uptrend 79.5(0.08%)79.05-79.6265
19Jul_14_2020-6.8%-5.7% -0.3%,-0.2(0.3)0.7%,0.5(-0)-0.1%,-0.10.90.29%0.9%0.9-0.6-2.1(1.4%,NAN%)1.38.05   78.25(1.16%)77.36-78.61N/A 78.04(-0.27%)77.68-78.3354
20Jul_13_2020-7.9%-4.5% -0.7%,-0.4(0.1)0.7%,0.4(-0)-0.6%,-0.4-0.9-0.36%0.9%0.2-0.5-2.1(1.64%,NAN%)17.77   77.35(0.81%)76.73-78.58N/A 77.26(-0.11%)77.16-77.3553
 
21Jul_10_2020-8.6%-3.7% -0.9%,-0.6(0.1)0.7%,0.4(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.3-2.10.05%0.7%-0.2-1.5-2.4(1.65%,NAN%)1.34.92   76.73(0.05%)76.4-77.35N/A 76.78(0.07%)76.73-76.8246
22Jul_9_2020-8.7%-3.6% -1%,-0.6(-0)1.1%,0.6(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.2-2.40.01%0.7%-0.3-0.9-3(1.65%,NAN%)17.6   76.69(-1.58%)76.04-78.35N/A 76.84(0.19%)76.78-76.8853
23Jul_8_2020-7.2%-5.3% -1%,-0.5(-0)1.3%,0.6(0)0.1%,0.1-0.60.13%0.3%0.4-0.4-2.6(2.12%,NAN%)1.17.83   77.92(-1.02%)77.48-78.96N/A 77.89(-0.04%)77.55-78.1750
24Jul_7_2020-6.3%-6.3% -0.9%,-0.4(0)1.2%,0.5(0)0.7%,0.30.6-0.1%-0.1%0.60.6-1.9(2.54%,NAN%)16.63   78.72(-1.08%)78.59-79.68N/A 78.62(-0.13%)78.12-79.0250
25Jul_6_2020-5.2%-7.5% -0.9%,-0.3(0.1)1.2%,0.4(0.1)1.1%,0.40.90.04%-0.5%0.90.6-0.8(2.95%,NAN%)1.17.49   79.58(1.02%)78.9-80.03Uptrend Reversal 80.33(0.94%)79.7-80.7550
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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