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     Fri. Jul. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(Merck)

MRK latest price $79.8700 (0.59%) ($79.3100 - $80.2500) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.3 (1.67% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.79% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 1.79%)
Daily Moving Force  0.5%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.22%
Trend Strength  0.9%
RSI   73
Momentum  0.9
Latest Price  $79.8700(0.59%)
Forecasted Low Price  79.55(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price  80.75(1.1%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  2% (78.3)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.7%
Hourly Trend   0.3% [$79.63(0.22), $79.14(0.6)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  6
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  MRK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRK advance at 0.6% a week (55% probability)
  XLV(74%)    DIA(49%)    IVE(48%)    VYM(48%)    SPY(47%)  
Factors Impacting MRK price  MRK will advance at least 0.2% in a week (25% probabilities).
  VXX(-35%)    VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-8%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.2
 
Relative Volatility   -1.2 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  1% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV   3.5 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $79.87(0%)
Support Level  $77.73
5 Day Moving Average  $78.86(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average  $78.42(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average  $77.73(2.75%)
To recent high  -4.9%
To recent low  7.9%
Market Cap  $202.005b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Feb. 4, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.53 ($84.00 - $107.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Sun. Jul. 12, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  15.85%
% to Low Target Price  5.17%
% to High Target Price  33.97%
 
 


Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRK price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.79%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200817

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jul_17_202077.73 (0.2%)78.42 (0.2%)78.86 (0.8%) 79.14 79.63(0%)79.87(0.59%)79.31-80.251.3(1.6)3.5 0.5%0.2%0%0.22%0.9%730.9 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.7%)60.22Growing Uptrend 80.11(0.3%)79.47-80.277.25   -4.9%-7.9% 
2Jul_16_202077.55 (0.2%)78.29 (0.2%)78.23 (0.7%) 78.54 79.41(0%)79.4(-0.05%)78.75-79.811(1.5)1.5 0.9%0.2%0%0.18%1%620.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)601.8Uptrend 79.52(0.15%)79.05-79.725.57   -5.5%-7.3% 
3Jul_15_202077.39 (0%)78.15 (0.2%)77.69 (0.4%) 77.88 78.66(0%)79.44(1.52%)78.84-79.970.6(1.7)1.7 0.9%0.2%0%0.12%1%650.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.1%)6-0.21.8Growing Uptrend 79.5(0.08%)79.05-79.627.48   -5.4%-7.3% 
4Jul_14_202077.25 (-0%)77.93 (0.2%)77.39 (-0.1%) 77.35 77.68(0%)78.25(1.16%)77.36-78.610.3(0.9)0.3 0.3%0.3%0%0.08%0.9%540.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.6%)6-0.61.3N/A 78.07(-0.23%)77.76-78.338.05   -6.8%-5.7% 
5Jul_13_202077.05 (-0.2%)77.73 (0.2%)77.48 (-0.6%) 77.43 77.11(0%)77.35(0.81%)76.73-78.580.1(0.2)-1.6 %0.2%0%0.06%0.9%530.9 Correction  Range(0.2%)5-0.51N/A 77.3(-0.06%)77.26-77.357.77   -7.9%-4.5% 
 
6Jul_10_202077 (-0.2%)77.54 (0.2%)77.93 (-0.5%) 77.68 76.8(0%)76.73(0.05%)76.4-77.350.2(-0.2)-1.6 -0.8%-0%0%0.04%0.7%460.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.8%)5-1.51.3N/A 76.78(0.07%)76.73-76.824.92   -8.6%-3.7% 
7Jul_9_202077.03 (-0.2%)77.55 (0.2%)78.34 (-0.4%) 78.38 77.42(0%)76.69(-1.58%)76.04-78.350.4(-0.3)-1.5 -1%-0%0%0.08%0.7%530.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)5-0.91N/A 76.84(0.19%)76.78-76.887.6   -8.7%-3.6% 
8Jul_8_202077.26 (-0.2%)77.49 (0.2%)78.62 (0.1%) 78.88 78.55(0%)77.92(-1.02%)77.48-78.960.5(0.4)-1.2 -0.5%0%0%0.12%0.3%571.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0%)6-0.41.1N/A 77.89(-0.04%)77.55-78.177.83   -7.2%-5.3% 
9Jul_7_202077.45 (-0.2%)77.41 (0.2%)78.51 (0.7%) 78.99 79.33(0%)78.72(-1.08%)78.59-79.680.4(0.6)1.4 0.4%0.1%0%0.12%-0.1%561.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)70.61N/A 78.62(-0.13%)78.12-79.026.63   -6.3%-6.3% 
10Jul_6_202077.62 (-0.2%)77.2 (0.2%)77.99 (1.1%) 78.41 79.21(0%)79.58(1.02%)78.9-80.030.2(0.9)4 0.9%0.1%0%0.1%-0.5%691.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1%)70.61.1Uptrend Reversal 80.33(0.94%)79.7-80.757.49   -5.2%-7.5% 
 
11Jul_2_202077.72 (-0.2%)76.99 (0.2%)77.11 (0.6%) 77.52 78.64(0%)78.78(0.84%)78.22-79.31-0.2(0.4)2.1 1.1%0.2%0%0.04%-0.9%571.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)60.51.2Uptrend Reversal 79.6(1.04%)78.91-80.066.51   -6.2%-6.4% 
12Jul_1_202077.84 (-0.2%)76.72 (0%)76.67 (0.6%) 76.67 77.6(0%)78.12(1.02%)77.12-78.94-0.5(0.1)1.4 1.1%0.1%0%-0.02%-1.4%521.7 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.2%)60.30.9Rebound 77.93(-0.24%)78.12-77.859.5   -7%-5.9% 
13Jun_30_202078.01 (-0.2%)76.53 (-0.2%)76.22 (0.1%) 76.12 76.39(0%)77.33(1.59%)76.2-77.66-0.8(-0.2)1.2 0.5%-0%0%-0.16%-1.9%381.6 Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.5%)60.10.4Rebound 77.59(0.33%)76.92-77.879.47   -7.9%-4.8% 
14Jun_29_202078.18 (-0.2%)76.48 (-0.2%)76.17 (-0.2%) 75.91 75.73(0%)76.12(1.24%)75.52-76.51-0.9(-0.8)-1.2 -0.3%0.1%0%-0.24%-2.2%341.5 N/A  Range(-0.2%)500.4After Bottom 76.42(0.39%)75.32-77.326.9   -9.4%-3.1% 
15Jun_26_202078.35 (-0.2%)76.3 (-0.4%)76.3 (-0.7%) 76.36 75.85(0%)75.19(-1.8%)75-76.73-0.9(-1.2)-4 -0.4%-0.2%0%-0.36%-2.6%301.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.3%)500.1Downtrend 74.8(-0.52%)74.4-75.7211.81   -10.5%-4.8% 
 
16Jun_25_202078.64 (-0%)76.42 (-0.6%)76.84 (0.1%) 76.71 76.08(0%)76.57(0.92%)75.31-76.96-0.8(-0.8)0.5 -0.6%-0.1%0%-0.38%-2.8%341.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.7%)5-0.30.2After Bottom 76.77(0.26%)75.61-77.727.15   -8.8%-12.2% 
17Jun_24_202078.77 (-0%)76.49 (-0.6%)76.77 (-0.1%) 76.85 76.87(0%)75.87(-1.62%)75.45-76.89-0.8(-1.1)-0.7 -0.3%-0.5%0%-0.46%-2.9%351.3 Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)5-0.20Downtrend 75.41(-0.61%)74.99-76.377.71   -9.7%-11.2% 
18Jun_23_202078.88 (-0%)77.03 (-0.6%)76.86 (0%) 76.83 77.35(0%)77.12(0.48%)76.89-78.62-0.8(-0.7)0.6 0.5%-0.4%0%-0.46%-2.3%361.3 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)4-0.60.1Downtrend 76.69(-0.56%)76.38-77.4310.9   -8.2%-16.1% 
19Jun_22_202078.91 (-0%)77.5 (-0.6%)76.83 (0.7%) 76.44 76.82(0%)76.75(-1.48%)76.43-77.63-0.8(-0.8)1.8 0.5%-0.5%0%-0.46%-1.8%401.2 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.7%)4-0.60.3Downtrend 76.34(-0.54%)76-77.127.13   -8.6%-15.6% 
20Jun_19_202078.92 (-0.2%)78.07 (-0.6%)76.28 (0.4%) 76.31 76.3(0%)77.9(2.2%)75.81-77.98-1(-0.4)4.9 0.5%-0.3%0%-0.48%-1.1%471.2 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)40.1-0.1After Bottom 77.7(-0.26%)76.75-78.4816.88   -7.2%-17.3% 
 
21Jun_18_202078.87 (-0.2%)78.47 (-0.6%)75.96 (-0.3%) 75.67 76.05(0%)76.22(-0.09%)75.36-76.28-1.2(-1)-0.6 -0.3%-0.5%0%-0.52%-0.5%391.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.8%)5-1-0.3Growing Downtrend 75.78(-0.58%)75.33-76.667.32   -9.2%-14.8% 
22Jun_17_202078.93 (-0.2%)79 (-0.6%)76.19 (-1.4%) 75.78 76.33(0%)76.29(-0.88%)75.63-77.45-1.3(-1)-1.2 0.2%-0.5%0%-0.46%0.1%451.2 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)5-1-0.7Downtrend 75.81(-0.63%)75.41-76.7313.31   -9.2%-14.9% 
23Jun_16_202079.01 (-0.2%)79.58 (-0.4%)77.28 (-1.4%) 76.35 75.29(0%)76.97(3.99%)74.83-77.41-1(-0.8)-1.3 -0.8%-0.4%0%-0.28%0.7%511.1 Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.2%)5-0.8-0.7Downtrend 76.63(-0.44%)76.35-77.2820.44   -8.3%-15.9% 
24Jun_15_202079.16 (-0%)79.99 (-0.2%)78.34 (-2.2%) 77.7 75.23(0%)74.02(-2.99%)73.6-75.37-0.7(-2)-2.8 -2.7%-0.7%0%-0.1%1.1%451.1 Breakdown  Lower(-1.9%)6-1.4-1.2Downtrend 74.02(0%)73.67-74.8416.82   -11.9%-11.5% 
25Jun_12_202079.47 (0.2%)80.63 (0.2%)80.12 (-1.5%) 79.86 77.4(0%)76.3(-1.36%)75.47-77.930.1(-1.4)-2.1 -2.7%-0.5%0%0.18%1.5%540.9 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-2.5%)7-0.3-1.1Downtrend Reversal 75.64(-0.87%)75.45-76.4116.22   -9.1%-14.9% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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