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     Tue. Jun. 2, 2020



Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Merck)

MRK latest price $80.8400 (1.61%) ($78.8290 - $80.8650) on Tue. Jun. 2, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRK advance at 3.7% a week (80% probability)
  XLV(88%)    VYM(79%)    IVE(78%)    SPY(77%)    DIA(76%)  
Factors Impacting MRK price  MRK will advance at least 2.1% in a week (45% probabilities).
  VXX(-58%)    VIXM(-52%)    TLT(-40%)    SHY(-30%)    FEX(-13%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.7
 
Relative Volatility   -1.2 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly Trend   0.31% [$79.91(0.39), $79.66(0.79)]
Last Hour Trend   0.09% [$80.45, $80.38]


MRK Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  60%
Bullish Price Move  3.2%
Bearish Probability  40%
Bearish Price Move  -3.2%
Recommended Position Size  6%
Latest Price  $80.8400
Next Day Open Price  $80.99(0.18%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $80.86(0.02%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $80.29 - $81
Support Level  $78.15
5 Day Moving Average  $79.54(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $78.32(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average  $78.15(3.44%)
To recent high  -3.7%
To recent low  21.7%
Market Cap  $204.458b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Tue. Oct. 27, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $93.27 ($84.00 - $107.00)
  15 analysts (last updated on Fri. May. 15, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  15.38%
% to Low Target Price  3.91%
% to High Target Price  32.36%
 


  
 
 


Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRK price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 3.2%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200702

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jun_2_2020-3.7%-21.7% 0.2%,0.1(0.3)0.6%,0.3(0.2)0.9%,0.50.60.09%0.2%1.80.7-1.2(1.93%,NAN%)1.511.16   80.84(1.61%)78.83-80.87Growing Uptrend 80.86(0.02%)80.29-8163
2Jun_1_2020-5.3%-19.8% -0.4%,-0.2(0.2)0.3%,0.1(0)0.8%,0.51.50.04%0.3%1.20.4-1.5(1.8%,NAN%)1.25.98   79.56(-1.44%)79.13-80.46N/A 79.19(-0.47%)78.6-79.6756
3May_29_2020-3.9%-21.6% -0.9%,-0.5(0.2)0.2%,0.1(0)1.1%,0.62.40.48%0.4%2.10.8-1.9(1.73%,NAN%)1.512.82   80.72(2.13%)78.31-80.93N/A 79.96(-0.94%)79.04-80.7266
4May_28_2020-5.9%-19% -1.3%,-0.8(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.6%,0.41.5-0.01%0.4%1.10.4-2.4(1.57%,NAN%)111.33   79.04(1.92%)78.51-80.29Rebound 78.24(-1.01%)78.98-77.9265
5May_27_2020-7.7%-16.8% -1.4%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0%,00.90.06%0.1%-0.2-0.2-2.4(1.76%,NAN%)1.412.24   77.55(0.38%)76-77.64N/A 77.62(0.09%)77.45-77.7553
 
6May_26_2020-8%-16.4% -1.3%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.30-0.14%-0.1%-0.50.1-2.4(1.99%,NAN%)1.418.24   77.26(1.17%)76.91-78.6Growing Downtrend 77.2(-0.08%)77.11-77.4148
7May_22_2020-9.1%-15% -1.1%,-0.4(-0)0.3%,0.1(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.3-0.9-0.09%-0.4%-0.90-0.7(2.64%,NAN%)1.46.06   76.37(-0.24%)76.07-76.66Growing Downtrend 76.38(0.01%)76.27-76.7250
8May_21_2020-8.8%-15.3% -0.9%,-0.4(-0)0.6%,0.2(-0)-0.9%,-0.3-1.5-0.08%-0.7%-10-0.7(2.64%,NAN%)1.38.59   76.55(-0.44%)76.27-77.03N/A 77.22(0.87%)76.55-77.7647
9May_20_2020-8.4%-15.8% -0.8%,-0.3(0)0.7%,0.3(0.1)-0.3%,-0.1-1.5-0.22%-1%-0.9-0.1-0.8(2.58%,NAN%)1.610.51   76.89(-0.85%)76.68-78.24Uptrend Reversal 77.52(0.82%)76.99-77.8842
10May_19_2020-7.7%-16.8% -0.9%,-0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.2(0.2)0.1%,0-0.3-0.04%-1.2%-0.70.4-0.9(2.51%,NAN%)1.110.11   77.55(-2.72%)77.35-79.73Rebound 78.36(1.05%)77.55-78.7239
 
11May_18_2020-5.1%-20.1% -1.1%,-0.4(0)0%,0(0.4)0.5%,0.20.60.18%-1.2%0.40.7-0.7(2.71%,NAN%)1.511.97   79.72(-0.08%)79.23-81Rebound 79.23(-0.61%)79.61-79.0743
12May_15_2020-5%-20.2% -1.1%,-0.4(0.1)-1%,-0.4(0.3)0.9%,0.30.90.08%-1.7%0.31.1-0.7(2.93%,NAN%)1.58.95   79.78(-0.34%)78.83-80.55Rebound 79.38(-0.5%)79.55-79.3135
13May_14_2020-4.7%-20.6% -1.3%,-0.4(0.1)-2%,-0.6(0.3)1.2%,0.40.60.01%-2.2%0.31.2-0.7(3.09%,NAN%)1.210.88   80.05(2.77%)77.26-80.13Downtrend Consolidation 79.74(-0.39%)79.8-79.7245
14May_13_2020-7.3%-17.3% -1.6%,-0.5(-0)-2.8%,-0.9(0)0.2%,0.10.6-0.24%-2.5%-0.60.9-0.7(3.16%,NAN%)0.610.39   77.89(0.91%)76.58-78.8Downtrend 77.46(-0.55%)77.15-78.242
15May_12_2020-8.1%-16.3% -1.4%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.9%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.10.9-0.19%-2.5%-0.90.4-0.7(3.22%,NAN%)1.59.1   77.19(-0.92%)77.12-78.7Growing Downtrend 76.83(-0.47%)76.45-77.6243
 
16May_11_2020-8.6%-17.3% -1.3%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.5%,-0.8(0)0.3%,0.10-0.03%-2.3%-0.80.3-0.7(3.12%,NAN%)2.210.13   77.91(1.98%)75.92-78.07Downtrend 77.59(-0.41%)77.3-78.2750
17May_8_2020-10.8%-15.1% -1.1%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.6%,-0.8(0)-0.3%,-0.1-0.90.03%-1.8%-1.4-0.1-0.8(3.14%,NAN%)28.39   76.4(1.06%)75.97-76.96Downtrend 76.18(-0.29%)75.8-77.0635
18May_7_2020-11.7%-13.9% -0.7%,-0.2(-0.2)-2.7%,-0.9(-0.1)-1%,-0.3-0.3-0.38%-1.6%-20-1(2.99%,NAN%)1.612.02   75.6(-1.97%)75.43-77.12Downtrend 75.48(-0.16%)75.04-76.532
19May_6_2020-10%-16.1% -0%,-0(-0.1)-2.5%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.40.6-0.27%-1.3%-1.60.4-1.3(2.65%,NAN%)1.411.82   77.12(-1.14%)77.08-78.64Downtrend 77.04(-0.11%)76.71-77.7936
20May_5_2020-9.1%-17.5% 0.3%,0.1(-0.2)-2.2%,-0.9(0)-0.8%,-0.3-0.90.11%-1%-1.30.5-1.5(2.53%,NAN%)1.67.06   78.01(1.5%)76.77-78.8Downtrend 77.89(-0.16%)77.62-78.541
 
21May_4_2020-13%-15.8% 0.7%,0.3(-0.3)-2.3%,-1(-0.5)-1.8%,-0.7-2.10.13%-1.1%-2.10.4-1.7(2.4%,NAN%)1.48.44   76.86(-1.04%)76.22-78.03Correction 75.46(-1.82%)75.2-76.4936
22May_1_2020-12.1%-17% 1.5%,0.6(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.4-1.8-0.12%-0.3%-1.60.5-2(2.48%,NAN%)19.08   77.67(-2.1%)76.93-78.86Correction 76.72(-1.22%)76.51-77.5746
23Apr_30_2020-10.2%-19.5% 2%,0.8(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.1-1.8-0.21%0.4%-0.80.3-2.3(2.57%,NAN%)1.211.1   79.34(-1.77%)79.14-80.4Correction 78.71(-0.8%)78.52-79.4444
24Apr_29_2020-8.6%-21.6% 2.4%,0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0.1)0.2%,0.1-0.90.32%1.2%00.5-2.1(3.19%,NAN%)1.513.05   80.77(-0.51%)79.03-82.19Correction 80.2(-0.7%)80-81.0349
25Apr_28_2020-8.1%-22.3% 2.9%,0.9(-0.1)0.1%,0(0)0.6%,0.20.6-0.04%1.6%0.30.9-2.2(3.34%,NAN%)1.219.56   81.18(-3.33%)80.17-82.23N/A 81.33(0.19%)80.77-81.7958
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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