Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 8, 2020

Trading Signals: JPM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(JPMorgan Chase )
JPM latest price $113.4500 (2%) ($111.9400 - $114.1900) on Mon. Jun. 8, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.61% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $113.4500(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   JPM advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JPM advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JPM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(76%)    XLF(76%)    IVE(75%)    DIA(72%)    SDY(72%)
Factors Impacting JPM price   JPM will decline at least -2.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    VXX(-15%)    SHY(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.805% (StdDev 5.61%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.86(6.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.04(10.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.08(18.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.6%
Market Cap   $345.751b

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is a financial holding company, which provides financial and investment banking services. It offers a range of investment banking products and services in all capital markets, including advising on corporate strategy and structure; capital raising in equity and debt markets; sophisticated risk management; market making in cash securities and derivative instruments; and prime brokerage and research. It operates its business through the following segments: Consumer and Community Banking; Corporate and Investment Bank; Commercial Banking; and Asset and Wealth Management. The Consumer and Community Banking segment serves consumers and businesses through personal service at bank branches and through automated teller machine, online, mobile, and telephone banking. The Corporate and Investment Bank segment offers a suite of investment banking, market-making, prime brokerage, and treasury and securities products and services to a global client base of corporations, investors, financial institutions, government and municipal entities. The Commercial Banking segment delivers services to U.S. and its multinational clients, including corporations, municipalities, financial institutions, and non profit entities. It also provides financing to real estate investors and owners as well as financial solutions, including lending, treasury services, investment banking, and asset management. The Asset and Wealth Management segment provides asset and wealth management services. It offers investment management across all major asset services, including equities, fixed income, alternatives, and money market funds. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. JPM price fluctuates within 8.67% (three month std-dev: 5.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.48%(34%) Average negative next day return: -3.2%(66%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 5.56%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -5.07%(64%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.61%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.49%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2020	106.01	96.08	103.04	106.86	108.29	111.89	113.45(2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	75	270	60	120	24.82	55%	-0.24	51.8	5.61%	0.8	2.1	78	1.6
2	Jun_5_2020	106.26	94.95	100.64	103.89	104.9	108.31	111.23(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	69	260	57	106	42.2	52%	-0.25	47.3	5.64%	1.3	2.2	81	2
3	Jun_4_2020	106.53	93.87	98.5	101.11	101.9	104.82	106.44(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	220	44	89	26.75	53%	-0.29	39.2	5.65%	1.1	2	74	1.6
4	Jun_3_2020	106.84	93.01	96.96	99.79	99.93	101.52	104.27(5.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	120	29	85	26	52%	-0.34	31.4	5.65%	1.6	2.1	76	1.7
5	Jun_2_2020	107.2	92.33	95.39	99.21	99.04	98.98	98.93(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	7	77	21.17	52%	-0.37	29.4	5.63%	-0.3	1.4	66	1.3

6	Jun_1_2020	107.6	91.95	94.54	98.59	99.32	98.33	98.6(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-50	4	74	15.08	52%	-0.35	24.9	5.63%	-0.3	1.5	60	1
7	May_29_2020	107.98	91.64	93.3	96.77	98.49	99.1	97.31(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	100	6	56	26.53	52%	-0.39	17.3	5.67%	-1.2	1.3	55	1.3
8	May_28_2020	108.4	91.5	92.33	95.34	96.37	100.3	99.86(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	45	320	41	57	24.66	52%	-0.35	15.1	5.71%	0.6	2	59	0.9
9	May_27_2020	108.78	91.32	90.73	93.63	93.85	97.89	101.37(5.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	65	310	69	52	39.28	50%	-0.32	13.4	5.7%	1.3	2.5	62	1.5
10	May_26_2020	109.13	90.94	89.2	91.09	91.63	92.44	95.82(7.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	30	80	35	16	41.18	49%	-0.66	3.2	5.68%	1.9	1.4	54	1.3

11	May_22_2020	109.86	90.83	88.52	90.02	90.22	89.81	89.47(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-7	-10	13.16	45%	-0.48	-1.7	5.54%	-1.3	-0.4	45	1.2
12	May_21_2020	110.39	90.91	88.79	89.3	90.35	90.83	90.17(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	70	10	-9	14.6	44%	-0.19	-13.9	5.58%	-1.1	-0.2	44	1.1
13	May_20_2020	110.6	90.88	88.85	88.77	89.29	90.63	91.33(3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	11	120	19	-14	20.53	44%	-0.44	-15.7	5.58%	0.9	0.1	42	1.5
14	May_19_2020	111.09	90.79	88.7	87.31	88.07	89.88	88.67(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	170	26	-29	19.5	45%	-0.47	-29.6	5.56%	0.5	-0.6	34	0.9
15	May_18_2020	111.61	90.83	89.01	86.99	86.73	87.95	90.45(5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	90	18	-38	30.46	45%	-0.45	-41.6	5.57%	1.7	-0.1	42	1.4

16	May_15_2020	112.11	90.89	89.13	86.89	86.34	86.26	85.9(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-30	-4	-51	26.1	45%	-0.49	-49.5	5.52%	-0.1	-1.5	35	1
17	May_14_2020	112.66	91.36	89.87	88.25	87.35	85.5	87.52(4.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-180	-20	-47	35	45%	-0.23	-50.4	5.56%	0.6	-1.2	47	0.8
18	May_13_2020	112.92	91.4	90.66	88.99	88.95	86.43	84.03(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-41	-200	-40	-45	35.42	45%	-0.49	-55.7	5.53%	-1.6	-2.3	44	0.1
19	May_12_2020	113.48	91.78	92.06	90.24	90.77	89.21	87.03(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-100	-28	-23	27.86	45%	-0.46	-51.1	5.52%	-1.3	-1.7	49	1.2
20	May_11_2020	114	92.21	92.92	91.23	91.35	91.47	89.97(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	10	-14	-5	31.85	45%	-0.43	-32.2	5.51%	-1.1	-0.8	55	2.3

21	May_8_2020	114.49	92.61	93.4	91.66	92.12	92.33	92.7(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	30	11	11	21.23	45%	-0.41	-6.9	5.46%	0.8	0	53	2
22	May_7_2020	114.96	93.05	93.24	91.77	91.81	91.23	91.21(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-40	-11	-2	16.78	45%	-0.42	13.7	5.49%	-0.8	-0.5	42	1.4
23	May_6_2020	115.45	93.21	93.13	92.68	92.08	91.92	90.27(-1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-12	-30	-17	4	20.9	45%	-0.43	33.3	5.49%	-0.9	-0.8	58	0.8
24	May_5_2020	115.95	93.26	93.1	94.2	93.29	92.39	92(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-100	-8	17	18.04	45%	-0.4	46.9	5.49%	-0.2	-0.3	53	1.1
25	May_4_2020	116.42	93.16	92.86	94.86	94.57	92.25	92.14(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-18	-180	-26	8	15.67	45%		46.5	5.49%	-0.6	-0.3	46	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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