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     Thu. Jan. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)

JNK latest price $115.5000 (-0.36%) ($115.2600 - $115.8300) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.03 (0.9% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.03% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0% (StdDev 1.03%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Trend   0.1%
Latest Price  $115.5000(-0.36%)
Forecasted Low Price  115.15(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price  116.08(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.2%)
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  JNK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (78% probability)
  SPY(74%)    IWM(71%)    VGK(70%)    XLY(68%)    EEM(66%)  
Factors Impacting JNK price  JNK will advance at least -0% in a week (17% probabilities).
  TLT(-26%)    XLV(-5%)    IDRV(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLB(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.1
 
Relative Volatility   -1.5 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $115.5(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $115.65(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average  $115.84(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average  $115.04(0.4%)
To recent high  -2.6%
To recent low  8.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 1.03%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. JNK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120205

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jan_5_2012115.04 (0.4%)115.84 (0.6%)115.65 (0.1%)  (0%)115.5(-0.36%)115.26-115.830.4(0.4)0 %0%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0660.900Uptrend 115.63(0.11%)115.42-115.711.94   -2.6%-8.4% 
2Jan_4_2012115 (0.5%)115.85 (0.7%)115.53 (-0.2%)  (0%)115.92(-0.05%)115.17-116.010.8(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.12% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0670.900Uptrend 116.01(0.08%)115.73-116.131.88   -2.2%-9.3% 
3Jan_3_2012114.92 (0.7%)115.69 (0.9%)115.71 (-0.1%)  (0%)115.98(0.55%)115.68-116.40.9(1)0 %0.1%0%0.14% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0620.900Uptrend 116.11(0.11%)115.8-116.241.57   -2.2%-9.4% 
4Dec_30_2011114.81 (1%)115.53 (0.9%)115.82 (-0.1%)  (0%)115.35(-0.13%)115.23-115.80.4(0.5)0 %0.1%0%0.16% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0560.800Uptrend 115.53(0.16%)115.27-115.650.69   -2.7%-8.8% 
5Dec_29_2011114.7 (1.1%)115.4 (1%)115.97 (-0.1%)  (0%)115.5(0.52%)114.99-115.710.6(0.8)0 %0.1%0%0.2% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0630.800Uptrend 115.72(0.19%)115.37-115.871.14   -2.6%-8.9% 
 
6Dec_28_2011114.61 (1.3%)115.2 (1%)116.06 (-0.1%)  (0%)114.9(-1.64%)114.63-115.380.2(0.3)0 %0.1%0%0.2% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.9%)0560.900Uptrend 115.14(0.21%)114.85-115.270.83   -3.1%-8.4% 
7Dec_27_2011114.46 (1.1%)115.1 (0.9%)116.18 (0.5%)  (0%)116.82(0.23%)116.1-116.851.7(1.9)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)061100Growing Uptrend 117.18(0.31%)116.42-117.381.03   -1.4%-10.2% 
8Dec_23_2011114.2 (0.8%)114.82 (0.5%)115.64 (0.4%)  (0%)116.55(0.41%)115.77-116.641.3(1.5)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0631.300Growing Uptrend 116.92(0.32%)116.14-117.121   -1.7%-9.9% 
9Dec_22_2011113.85 (0.6%)114.59 (0.4%)115.19 (0.4%)  (0%)116.07(0.1%)115.62-116.281.3(1.5)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0651.200Growing Uptrend 116.3(0.2%)115.68-116.461.13   -2.1%-9.5% 
10Dec_21_2011113.52 (0.4%)114.34 (0.2%)114.74 (0.5%)  (0%)115.95(0.36%)114.9-115.981.3(1.4)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.08% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0681.400Growing Uptrend 116.15(0.17%)115.51-116.31.89   -2.2%-9.4% 
 
11Dec_20_2011113.27 (0.2%)114.14 (0.1%)114.23 (0.3%)  (0%)115.53(1.24%)114.84-115.531.3(1.3)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.2%)0611.400N/A 115.09(-0.38%)114.24-115.792.1   -2.5%-9% 
12Dec_19_2011113.07 (0.1%)114.05 (0.1%)113.86 (-0%)  (0%)114.12(-0.13%)114-114.750.6(0.6)0 %0%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0651.300Range Bound 113.98(-0.12%)113.71-114.21.32   -3.7%-7.6% 
13Dec_16_2011113.01 (0%)114.07 (0.3%)113.87 (-0%)  (0%)114.27(0.37%)113.79-114.30.7(0.8)0 %0.1%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0.1%)0671.300N/A 114.08(-0.17%)113.54-114.510.87   -3.6%-7.8% 
14Dec_15_2011112.93 (-0%)114.01 (0.6%)113.92 (0%)  (0%)113.85(0.4%)113.7-114.150.5(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0741.300N/A 113.9(0.04%)113.38-114.320.94   -3.9%-7.4% 
15Dec_14_2011112.9 (-0.1%)113.94 (0.8%)113.87 (-0.1%)  (0%)113.4(-0.21%)113.13-113.760.3(0.3)0 %-0%0%0.16% N/A  Range(0.1%)0731.300N/A 113.57(0.15%)113.05-113.991.44   -4.3%-7% 
 
16Dec_13_2011112.93 (-0.1%)113.98 (1%)114.01 (-0.2%)  (0%)113.64(-0.47%)113.43-114.570.4(0.4)0 %0.1%0%0.2% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)0621.300N/A 113.87(0.2%)113.28-114.361.01   -4.1%-7.2% 
17Dec_12_2011112.96 (-0.1%)113.82 (1.1%)114.26 (-0%)  (0%)114.18(-0.29%)113.64-114.180.7(0.8)0 %0.1%0%0.22% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0601.300N/A 114.32(0.12%)113.44-115.040.87   -3.7%-7.7% 
18Dec_9_2011113 (-0.1%)113.56 (1%)114.29 (0.1%)  (0%)114.51(0.79%)114-114.540.7(0.9)0 %0.3%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0551.400Uptrend Reversal 115.06(0.48%)114.6-115.360.87   -3.4%-8% 
19Dec_8_2011112.96 (-0.2%)113.07 (0.8%)114.13 (0.1%)  (0%)113.61(-0.42%)113.52-114.180.3(0.4)0 %0.2%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0521.300Uptrend Reversal 114.14(0.47%)113.69-114.441.14   -4.2%-7.2% 
20Dec_7_2011112.98 (-0.2%)112.67 (0.6%)114.02 (0.1%)  (0%)114.09(-0.7%)113.88-114.570.5(0.7)0 %0.2%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0511.400Uptrend Reversal 114.64(0.48%)114.17-114.940.98   -3.7%-7.6% 
 
21Dec_6_2011113.05 (-0.2%)112.36 (0.3%)113.93 (0.6%)  (0%)114.9(0.5%)113.88-115.080.9(1)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.06% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0501.500Uptrend Reversal 115.49(0.51%)114.99-115.811.71   -3.1%-8.4% 
22Dec_5_2011113.07 (-0.3%)112.02 (0%)113.31 (0.5%)  (0%)114.33(0.53%)113.85-114.780.6(0.7)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.2%)0461.500Rebound 113.8(-0.46%)114.33-113.592.06   -3.5%-7.8% 
23Dec_2_2011113.15 (-0.4%)111.84 (-0.3%)112.73 (0.8%)  (0%)113.73(0.61%)113.04-113.850.3(0.3)0 0.2%0%0%-0.1% N/A  Range(0.2%)0401.600Rebound 113.37(-0.32%)113.43-113.341.92   -4%-7.3% 
24Dec_1_2011113.26 (-0.5%)111.84 (-0.5%)111.85 (0.7%)  (0%)113.04(-0.53%)112.56-113.3-0.1(-0.1)0 0.1%-0%0%-0.2% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)0451.700Downtrend Consolidation 112.76(-0.25%)113.14-112.621.91   -4.6%-6.6% 
25Nov_30_2011113.37 (-0.6%)111.73 (-0.8%)111.1 (0.5%)  (0%)113.64(1.64%)112.86-113.640.1(0.1)0 0.1%-0%0%-0.28% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0461.700Downtrend Consolidation 113.16(-0.42%)113.64-1131.75   -4.1%-7.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
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