Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ JNK: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)
JNK latest price $115.5000 (-0.36%) ($115.2600 - $115.8300) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $1.03 (0.9% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0% (StdDev 1.03%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Trend   0.1%
Latest Price   $115.5000(-0.36%)
Forecasted Low Price   115.15(-0.3%)
Forecasted High Price   116.08(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.2%)
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   JNK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   JNK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (78% probability)
SPY(74%)    IWM(71%)    VGK(70%)    XLY(68%)    EEM(66%)
Factors Impacting JNK price   JNK will advance at least -0% in a week (17% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    XLV(-5%)    IDRV(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 2.1

Relative Volatility -1.5 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Next Hour Price   $115.5(0%)
5 Day Moving Average   $115.65(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.84(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $115.04(0.4%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 1.03% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. JNK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120205

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_5_2012	115.04 (0.4%)	115.84 (0.6%)	115.65 (0.1%)		(0%)	115.5(-0.36%)	115.26-115.83	0.4(0.4)	0	%	0%	0%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	66	0.9	0	0	Uptrend	115.63(0.11%)	115.42-115.71	1.94	-2.6%-8.4%
2	Jan_4_2012	115 (0.5%)	115.85 (0.7%)	115.53 (-0.2%)		(0%)	115.92(-0.05%)	115.17-116.01	0.8(0.9)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	67	0.9	0	0	Uptrend	116.01(0.08%)	115.73-116.13	1.88	-2.2%-9.3%
3	Jan_3_2012	114.92 (0.7%)	115.69 (0.9%)	115.71 (-0.1%)		(0%)	115.98(0.55%)	115.68-116.4	0.9(1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.14%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	62	0.9	0	0	Uptrend	116.11(0.11%)	115.8-116.24	1.57	-2.2%-9.4%
4	Dec_30_2011	114.81 (1%)	115.53 (0.9%)	115.82 (-0.1%)		(0%)	115.35(-0.13%)	115.23-115.8	0.4(0.5)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.16%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	56	0.8	0	0	Uptrend	115.53(0.16%)	115.27-115.65	0.69	-2.7%-8.8%
5	Dec_29_2011	114.7 (1.1%)	115.4 (1%)	115.97 (-0.1%)		(0%)	115.5(0.52%)	114.99-115.71	0.6(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.2%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	63	0.8	0	0	Uptrend	115.72(0.19%)	115.37-115.87	1.14	-2.6%-8.9%

6	Dec_28_2011	114.61 (1.3%)	115.2 (1%)	116.06 (-0.1%)		(0%)	114.9(-1.64%)	114.63-115.38	0.2(0.3)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.2%	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.9%)	0	56	0.9	0	0	Uptrend	115.14(0.21%)	114.85-115.27	0.83	-3.1%-8.4%
7	Dec_27_2011	114.46 (1.1%)	115.1 (0.9%)	116.18 (0.5%)		(0%)	116.82(0.23%)	116.1-116.85	1.7(1.9)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	61	1	0	0	Growing Uptrend	117.18(0.31%)	116.42-117.38	1.03	-1.4%-10.2%
8	Dec_23_2011	114.2 (0.8%)	114.82 (0.5%)	115.64 (0.4%)		(0%)	116.55(0.41%)	115.77-116.64	1.3(1.5)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	63	1.3	0	0	Growing Uptrend	116.92(0.32%)	116.14-117.12	1	-1.7%-9.9%
9	Dec_22_2011	113.85 (0.6%)	114.59 (0.4%)	115.19 (0.4%)		(0%)	116.07(0.1%)	115.62-116.28	1.3(1.5)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.12%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	65	1.2	0	0	Growing Uptrend	116.3(0.2%)	115.68-116.46	1.13	-2.1%-9.5%
10	Dec_21_2011	113.52 (0.4%)	114.34 (0.2%)	114.74 (0.5%)		(0%)	115.95(0.36%)	114.9-115.98	1.3(1.4)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.08%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	68	1.4	0	0	Growing Uptrend	116.15(0.17%)	115.51-116.3	1.89	-2.2%-9.4%

11	Dec_20_2011	113.27 (0.2%)	114.14 (0.1%)	114.23 (0.3%)		(0%)	115.53(1.24%)	114.84-115.53	1.3(1.3)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	61	1.4	0	0	N/A	115.09(-0.38%)	114.24-115.79	2.1	-2.5%-9%
12	Dec_19_2011	113.07 (0.1%)	114.05 (0.1%)	113.86 (-0%)		(0%)	114.12(-0.13%)	114-114.75	0.6(0.6)	0	%	0%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	65	1.3	0	0	Range Bound	113.98(-0.12%)	113.71-114.2	1.32	-3.7%-7.6%
13	Dec_16_2011	113.01 (0%)	114.07 (0.3%)	113.87 (-0%)		(0%)	114.27(0.37%)	113.79-114.3	0.7(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	67	1.3	0	0	N/A	114.08(-0.17%)	113.54-114.51	0.87	-3.6%-7.8%
14	Dec_15_2011	112.93 (-0%)	114.01 (0.6%)	113.92 (0%)		(0%)	113.85(0.4%)	113.7-114.15	0.5(0.6)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	74	1.3	0	0	N/A	113.9(0.04%)	113.38-114.32	0.94	-3.9%-7.4%
15	Dec_14_2011	112.9 (-0.1%)	113.94 (0.8%)	113.87 (-0.1%)		(0%)	113.4(-0.21%)	113.13-113.76	0.3(0.3)	0	%	-0%	0%	0.16%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	73	1.3	0	0	N/A	113.57(0.15%)	113.05-113.99	1.44	-4.3%-7%

16	Dec_13_2011	112.93 (-0.1%)	113.98 (1%)	114.01 (-0.2%)		(0%)	113.64(-0.47%)	113.43-114.57	0.4(0.4)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.2%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.3%)	0	62	1.3	0	0	N/A	113.87(0.2%)	113.28-114.36	1.01	-4.1%-7.2%
17	Dec_12_2011	112.96 (-0.1%)	113.82 (1.1%)	114.26 (-0%)		(0%)	114.18(-0.29%)	113.64-114.18	0.7(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.22%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	60	1.3	0	0	N/A	114.32(0.12%)	113.44-115.04	0.87	-3.7%-7.7%
18	Dec_9_2011	113 (-0.1%)	113.56 (1%)	114.29 (0.1%)		(0%)	114.51(0.79%)	114-114.54	0.7(0.9)	0	%	0.3%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	55	1.4	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	115.06(0.48%)	114.6-115.36	0.87	-3.4%-8%
19	Dec_8_2011	112.96 (-0.2%)	113.07 (0.8%)	114.13 (0.1%)		(0%)	113.61(-0.42%)	113.52-114.18	0.3(0.4)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.16%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	0	52	1.3	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	114.14(0.47%)	113.69-114.44	1.14	-4.2%-7.2%
20	Dec_7_2011	112.98 (-0.2%)	112.67 (0.6%)	114.02 (0.1%)		(0%)	114.09(-0.7%)	113.88-114.57	0.5(0.7)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	0	51	1.4	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	114.64(0.48%)	114.17-114.94	0.98	-3.7%-7.6%

21	Dec_6_2011	113.05 (-0.2%)	112.36 (0.3%)	113.93 (0.6%)		(0%)	114.9(0.5%)	113.88-115.08	0.9(1)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.06%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	50	1.5	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	115.49(0.51%)	114.99-115.81	1.71	-3.1%-8.4%
22	Dec_5_2011	113.07 (-0.3%)	112.02 (0%)	113.31 (0.5%)		(0%)	114.33(0.53%)	113.85-114.78	0.6(0.7)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	-0.02%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	46	1.5	0	0	Rebound	113.8(-0.46%)	114.33-113.59	2.06	-3.5%-7.8%
23	Dec_2_2011	113.15 (-0.4%)	111.84 (-0.3%)	112.73 (0.8%)		(0%)	113.73(0.61%)	113.04-113.85	0.3(0.3)	0	0.2%	0%	0%	-0.1%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	40	1.6	0	0	Rebound	113.37(-0.32%)	113.43-113.34	1.92	-4%-7.3%
24	Dec_1_2011	113.26 (-0.5%)	111.84 (-0.5%)	111.85 (0.7%)		(0%)	113.04(-0.53%)	112.56-113.3	-0.1(-0.1)	0	0.1%	-0%	0%	-0.2%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.4%)	0	45	1.7	0	0	Downtrend Consolidation	112.76(-0.25%)	113.14-112.62	1.91	-4.6%-6.6%
25	Nov_30_2011	113.37 (-0.6%)	111.73 (-0.8%)	111.1 (0.5%)		(0%)	113.64(1.64%)	112.86-113.64	0.1(0.1)	0	0.1%	-0%	0%	-0.28%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	46	1.7	0	0	Downtrend Consolidation	113.16(-0.42%)	113.64-113	1.75	-4.1%-7.2%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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