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     Tue. Mar. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: JNK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 4, 2007 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF)

JNK latest price $121.2600 (0.05%) ($121.0500 - $121.4100) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Reversal
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.72 (0.6% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.37% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.37%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.04%
Trend Strength  -0.1%
Latest Price  $121.2600(0.05%)
Forecasted Low Price  121.14(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price  121.5(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.5%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Weekly Trend  JNK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support JNK advance at 0% a week (79% probability)
  SPY(75%)    IWM(71%)    VGK(71%)    XLY(69%)    EWG(68%)  
Factors Impacting JNK price  JNK will advance at least -0% in a week (19% probabilities).
  TLT(-30%)    EDOC(-15%)    VIXM(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    ROBT(-6%)  
Trading Plan  Buy the reversal
 
Valuation to SPY   1.8
 
Relative Volatility   0.6 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.1% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $121.26(0%)
Support Level  $120.94
5 Day Moving Average  $121.22(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average  $120.87(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average  $120.94(0.26%)
To recent high  -0.9%
To recent low  2.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. JNK price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.37%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. JNK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110429

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Mar_29_2011120.94 (-0%)120.87 (0%)121.22 (-0%)  (0%)121.26(0.05%)121.05-121.41-168.4,0.3(0.4)0 %0.1%0%0.04%-0.1% N/A  Range(0.1%)0491.600Uptrend Reversal 121.49(0.19%)121.3-121.621   -0.9%-2.1% 
2Mar_28_2011120.93 (-0%)120.71 (0%)121.24 (-0%)  (0%)121.2(0%)121.08-121.38-155.4,0.3(0.3)0 %0%0%0.02%-0.2% N/A  Range(0%)0451.500Uptrend Reversal 121.45(0.21%)121.24-121.590.8   -0.9%-2.1% 
3Mar_25_2011120.97 (-0%)120.63 (0%)121.27 (0.1%)  (0%)121.2(-0.05%)121.17-121.41-151.6,0.3(0.3)0 %0%0%0.02%-0.3% N/A  Range(0%)0441.500Rebound 121.1(-0.08%)121.24-121.040.62   -0.9%-2.1% 
4Mar_24_2011120.97 (-0%)120.58 (0%)121.17 (0.2%)  (0%)121.26(0.07%)121.05-121.44-151.5,0.3(0.3)0 %0%0%-0%-0.3% N/A  Range(0%)0471.500Rebound 121.15(-0.09%)121.26-121.10.9   -0.9%-2.1% 
5Mar_23_2011121 (-0%)120.51 (-0%)120.93 (0.4%)  (0%)121.17(-0.17%)120.99-121.29-151.2,0.2(0.2)0 0.1%0%0%-0.04%-0.4% N/A  Range(0.2%)0431.500N/A 121.11(-0.05%)121.11-121.110.67   -1%-2% 
 
6Mar_22_2011121.01 (-0%)120.51 (-0%)120.44 (0.3%)  (0%)121.38(0.02%)121-121.38-150.6,0.5(0.5)0 0.1%0%0%-0.08%-0.4% N/A  Range(0.1%)0491.500Downtrend 121.22(-0.13%)121.18-121.322.26   -0.8%-2.2% 
7Mar_21_2011121 (-0%)120.5 (-0.2%)120.09 (0.2%)  (0%)121.35(0.55%)120.93-121.41-146.5,0.4(0.4)0 %-0%0%-0.1%-0.4% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0521.500Downtrend Consolidation 121.16(-0.16%)121.23-121.130.85   -0.8%-2.2% 
8Mar_18_2011121.03 (-0%)120.51 (-0.2%)119.9 (-0%)  (0%)120.69(0.52%)120.53-120.99-141.1,-0.3(-0.4)0 %-0.1%0%-0.12%-0.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0391.600After Bottom 120.45(-0.2%)119.99-120.820.93   -1.3%-1.6% 
9Mar_17_2011121.08 (-0%)120.58 (-0.2%)119.93 (-0.1%)  (0%)120.06(1.11%)119.43-120.24-139.5,-1(-1.2)0 %-0.1%0%-0.12%-0.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0391.600Growing Downtrend 119.81(-0.21%)119.59-120.230.93   -1.9%-1.1% 
10Mar_16_2011121.17 (-0%)120.76 (-0.2%)120.06 (-0.4%)  (0%)118.74(-0.73%)118.74-120.03-144.7,-2.6(-2.9)0 -0.1%-0.2%0.6%-0.12%-0.3% Oversold  Higher(0.7%)0351.600Growing Downtrend 118.53(-0.18%)118.25-119.152.52   -2.9%-0
 
11Mar_15_2011121.32 (-0%)121.03 (-0%)120.54 (-0.3%)  (0%)119.61(-0.67%)119.01-119.97-197.6,-2.6(-2.8)0 -0.1%-0.1%0.6%-0.08%-0.2% Oversold  Higher(0.7%)0381.200Growing Downtrend 119.5(-0.09%)119.34-119.911.84   -2.2%-0.6% 
12Mar_14_2011121.43 (-0%)121.19 (-0%)120.94 (-0.2%)  (0%)120.42(-0.35%)120.36-120.9-257.3,-1.9(-2.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.04%-0.2% Oversold  Range(0.1%)0450.900Growing Downtrend 120.37(-0.04%)120.28-120.591.79   -1.6%-1.3% 
13Mar_11_2011121.49 (-0%)121.38 (-0%)121.2 (-0.1%)  (0%)120.84(0.13%)120.54-120.9-303,-1.3(-1.6)0 %-0.1%0%-0.02%-0.1% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0390.800Growing Downtrend 120.83(-0.01%)120.78-120.940.87   -1.2%-1.6% 
14Mar_10_2011121.51 (-0%)121.48 (-0%)121.32 (-0.2%)  (0%)120.68(-0.4%)120.66-121.26-319.3,-1.9(-2.2)0 %-0.1%0%-0.02%-0% Oversold  Range(0.1%)0430.800Growing Downtrend 120.68(-0%)120.62-120.821.07   -1.4%-1.5% 
15Mar_9_2011121.54 (0%)121.56 (-0%)121.56 (-0%)  (0%)121.17(-0.34%)121.17-121.65-347.3,-1.1(-1.1)0 %-0%0%-0%0% N/A  Range(0.2%)0460.700Range Bound 121.24(0.06%)121.33-121.171.13   -1%-1.9% 
 
16Mar_8_2011121.57 (0%)121.58 (-0%)121.59 (0.1%)  (0%)121.58(-0.11%)121.44-121.77-357.6,0(0)0 %0%0%-0%0% N/A  Range(0.1%)0510.700Growing Uptrend 121.58(0%)121.58-121.580.53   -0.6%-2.3% 
17Mar_7_2011121.58 (0%)121.55 (-0%)121.47 (-0.1%)  (0%)121.71(0.2%)121.41-121.71-347.1,0.4(0.4)0 %-0%0%-0.02%-0% N/A  Range(0%)0500.700Correction 121.64(-0.06%)121.6-121.670.71   -0.5%-2.4% 
18Mar_4_2011121.57 (0%)121.59 (-0%)121.6 (-0.1%)  (0%)121.47(-0.34%)121.44-121.89-347.4,-0.3(-0.3)0 %-0%0%0%0% N/A  Range(0.2%)0510.700Correction 121.32(-0.12%)121.3-121.470.89   -0.7%-2.2% 
19Mar_3_2011121.56 (0%)121.62 (0%)121.67 (0.1%)  (0%)121.89(0.49%)121.47-121.89-338,0.9(0.9)0 %0%0%0.02%0% N/A  Range(0%)0570.700Uptrend 121.9(0.01%)121.83-121.930.9   -0.4%-2.5% 
20Mar_2_2011121.52 (0%)121.6 (0%)121.56 (-0%)  (0%)121.29(0.25%)121.05-121.5-328.5,-0.6(-0.6)0 %-0%0%0.02%0.1% N/A  Range(0%)0540.700Uptrend 121.31(0.02%)121.34-121.310.55   -0.9%-2% 
 
21Mar_1_2011121.51 (0%)121.62 (0%)121.58 (-0%)  (0%)120.99(-1.1%)120.96-121.65-311.7,-1.3(-1.3)0 %-0%0%0.02%0.1% N/A  Higher(0.6%)0430.800After Top 121.16(0.14%)121.02-121.281.02   -1.1%-1.8% 
22Feb_28_2011121.53 (0%)121.7 (0%)121.62 (0%)  (0%)122.34(0.39%)121.82-122.34-328.7,1.9(2.2)0 %0.1%0%0.02%0.1% Overbought  Range(0.1%)0530.800Breakout 122.33(-0.01%)122.2-122.380.95   0%-2.9% 
23Feb_25_2011121.45 (0%)121.6 (0%)121.59 (0%)  (0%)121.86(0.43%)121.5-121.92-337.8,1.1(1.1)0 %0%0%0.02%0.1% N/A  Range(0%)0520.800Uptrend 121.86(0%)121.78-121.91.57   -0.2%-2.5% 
24Feb_24_2011121.45 (0%)121.53 (0%)121.56 (-0.1%)  (0%)121.34(-0.01%)121.26-121.62-347.3,-0.2(-0.2)0 %0%0%0.02%0.1% N/A  Range(0%)0530.800Uptrend 121.35(0.01%)121.35-121.360.82   -0.7%-2.1% 
25Feb_23_2011121.42 (0%)121.51 (0%)121.64 (-0%)  (0%)121.35(0.1%)121-121.68-347.5,-0.2(-0.2)0 %-0%0%0.02%0.1% N/A  Range(0%)0560.700Uptrend Consolidation 121.39(0.03%)121.38-121.370.99   -0.7%-2.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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