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     Thu. Dec. 18, 2008



Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $48.4600 (-0.64%) ($47.3200 - $49.6600) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2008.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IWM advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 2.7% a week (90% probability)
  SPY(91%)    XLY(89%)    QQQ(85%)    PEJ(84%)    XLK(83%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will decline at least -2.6% in a week (27% probabilities).
  TLT(-42%)    SHY(-23%)    EDOC(-14%)    TIP(-13%)    VXX(-9%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.6
 
Relative Volatility   -0.9 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


IWM Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  80%
Bullish Price Move  4.8%
Bearish Probability  20%
Bearish Price Move  -4.8%
Recommended Position Size  13%
Latest Price  $48.4600
Next Hour Price  $48.46(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $48.9(0.9%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $52.26(7.84%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $47.82 - $49.17
Support Level  $45.57
5 Day Moving Average  $47.57(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $47.21(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average  $45.57(6.34%)
To recent high  -35.4%
To recent low  25.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IWM price fluctuates within 5.84% (three month std-dev: 4.84%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IWM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090118

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Dec_18_2008-35.4%-25.8% 1.4%,0.2(0.1)3.2%,0.5(0.2)1.3%,0.200%3.6%1.1001.2NAN%087.89   48.46(-0.64%)47.32-49.66Growing Uptrend 48.9(0.9%)47.82-49.1752
2Dec_17_2008-35%-26.6% 0.6%,0.1(0.1)1.9%,0.3(-0)0.4%,0.100%3.5%1.3001.2NAN%081.55   48.77(0.91%)47.57-49.51Uptrend 48.86(0.18%)48.04-49.2154
3Dec_16_2008-35.6%-25.4% 0.2%,0(0.1)2%,0.3(0)0.7%,0.100%3.2%1.3001.2NAN%0109.32   48.33(6.5%)46.1-48.48N/A 47.62(-1.46%)46.25-48.7558
4Dec_15_2008-39.5%-17.8% -0.4%,-0.1(0)1.8%,0.3(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.200%2.7%0.2001.1NAN%078.61   45.38(-3.22%)44.62-47.46N/A 45.32(-0.14%)45.01-45.5756
5Dec_12_2008-37.5%-21.7% -0.6%,-0.1(0)2.8%,0.5(-0.3)0.3%,0.100%2%0.8001.1NAN%097.3   46.89(3.44%)44.02-47N/A 46.69(-0.43%)45.73-47.4764
 
6Dec_11_2008-39.6%-17.6% -0.7%,-0.1(0.1)4.5%,0.8(-0.2)0.5%,0.100%1.9%0.2001.2NAN%073.18   45.33(-5.07%)44.79-47.91N/A 45.68(0.77%)45.13-46.1266
7Dec_10_2008-36.3%-23.9% -1.5%,-0.3(0.1)5.5%,0.9(0.1)1%,0.200%2.2%1.1001.2NAN%074.64   47.75(2.36%)46.76-48.44Uptrend Reversal 48.64(1.87%)47.89-49.1462
8Dec_9_2008-37.8%-21.1% -2.4%,-0.4(0.1)4.9%,0.8(0.2)1.1%,0.200%1.4%0.7001.2NAN%081.96   46.65(-3.1%)46.28-49.41Uptrend Reversal 47.53(1.89%)46.79-48.0353
9Dec_8_2008-35.8%-24.9% -3.1%,-0.5(0.2)4%,0.6(0.4)2.8%,0.400%0.5%1.1001.3NAN%099.34   48.14(4.43%)46.97-48.57Uptrend Reversal 49.1(2%)48.29-49.6455
10Dec_5_2008-38.5%-19.6% -4.1%,-0.6(0)1.5%,0.2(0.3)-0.5%,-0.100%-1.3%0.3001.4NAN%0113.95   46.1(4.63%)42.34-46.27N/A 45.67(-0.94%)45.41-45.8751
 
11Dec_4_2008-41.3%-14.4% -4.2%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.1(0)-1.3%,-0.200%-3.2%-0.4001.5NAN%0101.44   44.06(-3.31%)43.26-46.45N/A 44.02(-0.08%)43.14-44.7542
12Dec_3_2008-39.2%-18.3% -3.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.1(0.1)0.6%,0.100%-4.5%-0001.6NAN%0102.87   45.57(3.03%)43.02-45.89Rebound 45.42(-0.34%)45.06-45.5751
13Dec_2_2008-41%-14.8% -3.2%,-0.4(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.2(0.1)0.3%,000%-5.6%-0.5001.8NAN%084.88   44.23(5.26%)41.96-44.33Rebound 45.06(1.87%)43.48-45.7345
14Dec_1_2008-44%-9.1% -2.5%,-0.3(-0)-2.7%,-0.3(0.1)0.6%,0.100%-6.3%-1.1001.9NAN%089.16   42.02(-11.24%)41.5-46.32Downtrend 41.74(-0.66%)41.26-42.8740
15Nov_28_2008-36.9%-22.9% -2%,-0.2(0.1)-4%,-0.4(0.2)4.1%,0.400%-6.7%0.1002.1NAN%024.16   47.34(1%)46.16-48.26Downtrend Consolidation 46.9(-0.92%)47.34-46.7644
 
16Nov_26_2008-37.5%-21.6% -2.8%,-0.3(0.1)-6.2%,-0.7(0.3)2.6%,0.300%-6.9%-0.1002.1NAN%088.15   46.87(5.99%)43.2-47.03Downtrend Consolidation 46.06(-1.72%)47.08-45.7245
17Nov_25_2008-41%-14.8% -3.6%,-0.4(0)-8.6%,-0.9(0.1)-0.4%,-000%-7.4%-0.7002.1NAN%080.07   44.22(1.66%)42.66-44.42Downtrend 42.56(-3.75%)41.59-44.8338
18Nov_24_2008-42%-12.9% -4%,-0.4(0.1)-9.6%,-1.1(0)-0.8%,-0.100%-7.1%-0.9002.1NAN%097.05   43.5(7.04%)40.73-44.04Downtrend 41.77(-3.97%)40.74-44.1933
19Nov_21_2008-45.8%-5.5% -4.6%,-0.5(-0)-10%,-1.1(-0.1)-2.3%,-0.300%-6.1%-1.7002.1NAN%0160.64   40.64(5.48%)37.12-40.85Downtrend 38.98(-4.09%)37.77-41.8128
20Nov_20_2008-48.6%-0-4.6%,-0.6(-0.1)-9.5%,-1.2(-0.2)-4.8%,-0.600%-4.8%-2.4001.9NAN%0140.07   38.53(-6.84%)38.44-41.93Growing Downtrend 37.22(-3.41%)35.87-39.9422
 
21Nov_19_2008-44.9%-0-3.8%,-0.6(-0.1)-7.6%,-1.1(-0.2)-1.8%,-0.300%-3.5%-2.2001.6NAN%096.01   41.36(-8.15%)41.24-45.15Growing Downtrend 40.51(-2.05%)39.55-42.5432
22Nov_18_2008-40%-0.4-3.4%,-0.6(-0)-6.3%,-1(-0.3)-1.4%,-0.200%-2.4%-1.4001.5NAN%098.26   45.03(-0.49%)43.1-45.99Growing Downtrend 44.29(-1.65%)43.54-45.7745
23Nov_17_2008-39.7%-0.9-3.2%,-0.5(-0)-4.6%,-0.8(-0.4)-1.8%,-0.300%-1.3%-1.4001.5NAN%084.05   45.25(-0.85%)44.89-46.58Growing Downtrend 44.66(-1.3%)44.02-4647
24Nov_14_2008-39.4%-1.7-3%,-0.5(-0.1)-2.2%,-0.4(-0.4)-2%,-0.400%-0.5%-1.5001.4NAN%098.7   45.64(-7.44%)45.5-49.31Growing Downtrend 45.31(-0.72%)44.85-46.3656
25Nov_13_2008-34.5%-9.9% -2.5%,-0.4(-0.1)-0%,-0(-0.1)-0.1%,-000%0.4%-0.4001.4NAN%0142.36   49.31(8.23%)43.24-49.45N/A 49.46(0.31%)48.9-49.9356
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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