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     Tue. Sep. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: IWM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(iShares Russell 2000)

IWM latest price $72.4700 (0.91%) ($71.7000 - $72.5200) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.4% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $72.4700(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  IWM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(90%)    PEJ(83%)    XLY(83%)    QQQ(82%)    XLK(79%)  
Factors Impacting IWM price  IWM will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-34%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(14%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $71.82(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average  $70.91(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average  $70.08(3.41%)
To recent high  -0.2%
To recent low  8.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.7
One Month Target Price  > $76.31
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $70.97
 
 

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 5.3% away from the target price of 76.31.
$. IWM price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

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