Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IWD: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Mon. Apr. 19, 2021)

(iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF)
IWD latest price $104.0500 (1.54%) ($103.2700 - $104.0700) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   N/A
Trend Narrative   N/A
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.77 (0.75% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 0.64%)
Daily Moving Force   0.5%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0%
Trend   -0.02%
Trend Strength   -0.3%
Trend Clarity   0.13(0.1/0.77/102.56)
RSI   60
Momentum   1.2
Latest Price   $104.0500(1.54%)
Forecasted Low Price   103.84(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price   104.88(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(0.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   1.1% (102.92)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   2.1%
Hourly Trend 0.5% [$103.22(0.56), $102.92(0.52)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   IWD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IWD declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IWD advance at 0.1% a week (98% probability)
IVE(99%)    VYM(98%)    SDY(96%)    SPY(95%)    VT(94%)
Factors Impacting IWD price   IWD will advance at least -0% in a week (34% probabilities).
TLT(-43%)    VIXM(-40%)    UUP(-25%)    TIP(-10%)    IPO(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.3

Relative Volatility -1.2 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.2% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Next Hour Price   $104.05(0%)
Support Level   $102.56
5 Day Moving Average   $102.65(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.23(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.56(1.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IWD price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.64% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IWD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jun_23_2016	102.56 (0%)	102.23 (-0%)	102.65 (0.5%)	102.92	103.22(0%)	104.05(1.54%)	103.27-104.07	0.5(1.9)	0	0.5%	0.1%	0%	0%	-0.02%	-0.3%	60	1.2	N/A	Higher(0.6%)	4	1.3	0	N/A	103.72(-0.32%)	103.23-104.11	1.82	0%-6.7%
2	Jun_22_2016	102.46 (0%)	102.15 (-0%)	102.16 (0.2%)	102.4	102.66(0%)	102.47(-0.2%)	102.43-103.21	-0.1(0)	0	0.2%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.04%	-0.3%	46	1.1	N/A Downtrend Pop	Range(0.2%)	4	1.2	0	Downtrend	102.44(-0.03%)	102.44-102.45	1.5	-1.4%-5.1%
3	Jun_21_2016	102.41 (0%)	102.27 (-0.2%)	101.94 (0.3%)	101.98	102.62(0%)	102.68(0.32%)	102.19-102.96	-0.2(0.4)	0	0.4%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.04%	-0.1%	50	1.1	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(0.4%)	4	1.2	0	N/A	102.58(-0.1%)	102.52-102.63	0.84	-1.2%-5.3%
4	Jun_20_2016	102.29 (0%)	102.34 (-0.2%)	101.69 (0.1%)	101.72	102.13(0%)	102.35(0.65%)	102.27-103.15	-0.3(0.1)	0	0.5%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.06%	0.1%	50	1.3	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(0.5%)	4	1.2	0	Downtrend	102.28(-0.07%)	102.26-102.33	3.2	-1.5%-5%
5	Jun_17_2016	102.2 (0%)	102.42 (-0.2%)	101.59 (-0.2%)	101.42	101.34(0%)	101.69(0.08%)	101.19-101.9	-0.4(-0.5)	0	-0.1%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.06%	0.2%	44	1.5	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	4	1.2	0	Correction	101.04(-0.64%)	100.91-101.54	2.21	-2.1%-4.3%

6	Jun_16_2016	102.11 (0%)	102.51 (-0%)	101.76 (-0.4%)	101.55	101.32(0%)	101.61(0.25%)	100.18-101.67	-0.3(-0.4)	0	-0.3%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.04%	0.4%	48	1.7	N/A	Lower(-0.4%)	5	1.1	0	Correction	100.86(-0.74%)	100.71-101.44	2.81	-2.2%-4.2%
7	Jun_15_2016	102.04 (0%)	102.65 (-0%)	102.16 (-0.5%)	101.95	101.5(0%)	101.36(-0.1%)	101.24-102.09	0(-0.6)	0	-0.4%	-0.1%	0%	0%	0%	0.6%	45	1.9	N/A	Lower(-0.5%)	5	1.1	0	Correction	100.76(-0.59%)	100.63-101.3	2.04	-2.4%-4%
8	Jun_14_2016	101.97 (0.2%)	102.79 (0%)	102.66 (-0.4%)	102.42	101.78(0%)	101.46(-0.36%)	100.88-101.91	0.5(-0.4)	0	-0.6%	-0.1%	0%	0%	0.06%	0.8%	54	1.9	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-0.5%)	6	1.1	0	Uptrend Consolidation	101.59(0.13%)	101.59-101.59	1.46	-2.3%-4.1%
9	Jun_13_2016	101.94 (0.2%)	102.9 (0.2%)	103.08 (-0.3%)	103.01	102.39(0%)	101.83(-0.69%)	101.76-102.81	0.9(-0.1)	0	-0.5%	-0%	0%	0%	0.14%	0.9%	66	2	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	7	1.1	0	Uptrend Consolidation	101.91(0.08%)	101.83-102.14	1.88	-2%-4.5%
10	Jun_10_2016	101.83 (0.2%)	102.99 (0.2%)	103.36 (0%)	103.35	103.06(0%)	102.54(-1.02%)	102.23-103.04	1.3(0.5)	0	-0.3%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.18%	1.1%	69	2.1	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.3%)	8	1.1	0	Uptrend	103.06(0.51%)	102.43-103.34	1.95	-1.3%-6.4%

11	Jun_9_2016	101.74 (0.2%)	102.95 (0.2%)	103.35 (0.1%)	103.45	103.62(0%)	103.6(-0.28%)	103.16-103.73	1.5(1.3)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.22%	1.2%	82	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	9	1.1	0	After Top	103.94(0.33%)	102.6-105.04	1.15	-0.3%-7.5%
12	Jun_8_2016	101.58 (0.2%)	102.81 (0.2%)	103.21 (0.3%)	103.17	103.65(0%)	103.89(0.32%)	103.53-104.01	1.6(1.7)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.24%	1.2%	82	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	9	1.1	0	Uptrend	104.51(0.6%)	103.46-104.96	2.17	0%-8.4%
13	Jun_7_2016	101.42 (0.2%)	102.56 (0.2%)	102.95 (0.2%)	102.87	103.28(0%)	103.56(0.33%)	103.34-103.86	1.6(1.7)	0	0.4%	0.3%	0%	0%	0.26%	1.1%	81	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.7%)	9	1.1	0	Growing Uptrend	104.22(0.64%)	103.2-104.47	2.22	0%-8%
14	Jun_6_2016	101.23 (0.2%)	102.23 (0.2%)	102.71 (0.1%)	102.54	102.7(0%)	103.22(0.72%)	102.76-103.42	1.6(1.6)	0	0.2%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.22%	1%	70	1.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	9	1.1	0	Uptrend	103.67(0.44%)	102.85-104.03	2.04	0%-7.7%
15	Jun_3_2016	101.06 (0.2%)	101.94 (0.2%)	102.57 (0.1%)	102.4	102.45(0%)	102.48(-0.39%)	101.83-102.71	1.7(1.2)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.22%	0.9%	72	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	8	1.1	0	Uptrend	102.89(0.4%)	102.22-103.18	1.36	-0.4%-6.9%

16	Jun_2_2016	100.92 (0%)	101.67 (0.2%)	102.49 (0.1%)	102.38	102.38(0%)	102.88(0.27%)	102.1-102.89	1.9(1.7)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0%	0.2%	0.7%	64	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	7	1.1	0	Uptrend	103.22(0.33%)	102.53-103.51	1.37	0%-7.5%
17	Jun_1_2016	100.76 (0%)	101.37 (0.2%)	102.36 (0.3%)	102.29	102.35(0%)	102.6(0.22%)	101.61-102.67	1.9(1.7)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.18%	0.6%	63	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	7	1.1	0	Growing Uptrend	102.97(0.36%)	102.28-103.14	1.39	0%-8.2%
18	May_31_2016	100.64 (0%)	101.09 (0.2%)	102.1 (0.4%)	102.24	102.38(0%)	102.37(-0.16%)	102.01-102.88	1.9(1.8)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.14%	0.4%	57	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.6%)	6	1.1	0	Growing Uptrend	102.63(0.25%)	102.08-102.76	2.57	-0.2%-7%
19	May_27_2016	100.59 (0%)	100.89 (0.2%)	101.66 (0.4%)	101.87	102.23(0%)	102.53(0.46%)	102.02-102.53	1.5(2.2)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.1%	0.3%	65	1.2	Breakout	Higher(0.5%)	5	1.1	0	Approaching Top	102.29(-0.23%)	101.51-102.94	0.98	0%-10.6%
20	May_26_2016	100.49 (-0%)	100.58 (0%)	101.21 (0.5%)	101.35	102.1(0%)	102.06(-0.16%)	101.95-102.44	1.1(2)	0	0.5%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.06%	0.1%	62	1	N/A	Higher(0.7%)	4	1.1	0	Uptrend Reversal	102.32(0.25%)	102.1-102.47	1.25	-0.4%-10.1%

21	May_25_2016	100.45 (-0%)	100.41 (0%)	100.72 (0.5%)	100.86	101.51(0%)	102.22(0.88%)	101.66-102.45	0.5(2.1)	0	0.7%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.02%	-0%	64	1.1	Breakout	Higher(0.8%)	4	1.1	0	Uptrend Reversal	102.5(0.27%)	102.26-102.65	1.73	-0.2%-10.3%
22	May_24_2016	100.44 (-0%)	100.22 (0%)	100.25 (0.3%)	100.2	100.61(0%)	101.33(1.19%)	100.64-101.5	-0.2(1.1)	0	0.4%	0%	0%	0%	-0%	-0.2%	61	1	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	4	1.1	0	Rebound	100.87(-0.45%)	101.33-100.68	1.29	-1.1%-9.6%
23	May_23_2016	100.45 (-0%)	100.17 (-0%)	99.94 (-0.1%)	99.89	100.2(0%)	100.14(-0.18%)	100.02-100.39	-0.7(-0.4)	0	0.2%	0%	0%	0%	-0.02%	-0.3%	47	1	Rebound	Range(0.3%)	4	1.1	0	Rebound	100.28(0.14%)	100.06-100.38	1.23	-2.2%-8.7%
24	May_20_2016	100.51 (-0%)	100.14 (-0%)	100 (0.2%)	99.85	99.8(0%)	100.32(0.71%)	99.98-100.58	-0.8(-0.2)	0	0.1%	0%	0%	0%	-0.04%	-0.4%	40	1	N/A	Range(0.1%)	3	1.1	0	After Bottom	100.33(0.01%)	100.2-100.44	2.52	-2.1%-8.9%
25	May_19_2016	100.56 (-0%)	100.1 (-0%)	99.85 (-0.2%)	99.82	99.59(0%)	99.61(-0.22%)	98.81-99.76	-1.1(-1.1)	0	-0.2%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.06%	-0.5%	42	1	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	3	1.1	0	Downtrend	99.55(-0.06%)	99.45-99.79	2.69	-2.8%-8.4%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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