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     Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: IWD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Mon. Apr. 19, 2021)

(iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF)

IWD latest price $104.0500 (1.54%) ($103.2700 - $104.0700) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  N/A
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.77 (0.75% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.64% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.64%)
Daily Moving Force  0.5%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  0%
Trend   -0.02%
Trend Strength  -0.3%
Trend Clarity  0.13(0.1/0.77/102.56)
RSI   60
Momentum  1.2
Latest Price  $104.0500(1.54%)
Forecasted Low Price  103.84(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  104.88(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.7%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  1.1% (102.92)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.1%
Hourly Trend   0.5% [$103.22(0.56), $102.92(0.52)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  4
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  IWD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IWD declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IWD advance at 0.1% a week (98% probability)
  IVE(99%)    VYM(98%)    SDY(96%)    SPY(95%)    VT(94%)  
Factors Impacting IWD price  IWD will advance at least -0% in a week (34% probabilities).
  TLT(-43%)    VIXM(-40%)    UUP(-25%)    TIP(-10%)    IPO(-9%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.3
 
Relative Volatility   -1.2 (options are cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $104.05(0%)
Support Level  $102.56
5 Day Moving Average  $102.65(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $102.23(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average  $102.56(1.45%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  6.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IWD price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.64%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IWD price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160723

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Jun_23_2016102.56 (0%)102.23 (-0%)102.65 (0.5%) 102.92 103.22(0%)104.05(1.54%)103.27-104.070.5(1.9)0 0.5%0.1%0%0%-0.02%-0.3%601.2 N/A  Higher(0.6%)41.30N/A 103.72(-0.32%)103.23-104.111.82   0%-6.7% 
2Jun_22_2016102.46 (0%)102.15 (-0%)102.16 (0.2%) 102.4 102.66(0%)102.47(-0.2%)102.43-103.21-0.1(0)0 0.2%-0.1%0%0%-0.04%-0.3%461.1 N/A Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)41.20Downtrend 102.44(-0.03%)102.44-102.451.5   -1.4%-5.1% 
3Jun_21_2016102.41 (0%)102.27 (-0.2%)101.94 (0.3%) 101.98 102.62(0%)102.68(0.32%)102.19-102.96-0.2(0.4)0 0.4%-0%0%0%-0.04%-0.1%501.1 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.4%)41.20N/A 102.58(-0.1%)102.52-102.630.84   -1.2%-5.3% 
4Jun_20_2016102.29 (0%)102.34 (-0.2%)101.69 (0.1%) 101.72 102.13(0%)102.35(0.65%)102.27-103.15-0.3(0.1)0 0.5%-0%0%0%-0.06%0.1%501.3 Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.5%)41.20Downtrend 102.28(-0.07%)102.26-102.333.2   -1.5%-5% 
5Jun_17_2016102.2 (0%)102.42 (-0.2%)101.59 (-0.2%) 101.42 101.34(0%)101.69(0.08%)101.19-101.9-0.4(-0.5)0 -0.1%-0%0%0%-0.06%0.2%441.5 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)41.20Correction 101.04(-0.64%)100.91-101.542.21   -2.1%-4.3% 
 
6Jun_16_2016102.11 (0%)102.51 (-0%)101.76 (-0.4%) 101.55 101.32(0%)101.61(0.25%)100.18-101.67-0.3(-0.4)0 -0.3%-0.1%0%0%-0.04%0.4%481.7 N/A  Lower(-0.4%)51.10Correction 100.86(-0.74%)100.71-101.442.81   -2.2%-4.2% 
7Jun_15_2016102.04 (0%)102.65 (-0%)102.16 (-0.5%) 101.95 101.5(0%)101.36(-0.1%)101.24-102.090(-0.6)0 -0.4%-0.1%0%0%0%0.6%451.9 N/A  Lower(-0.5%)51.10Correction 100.76(-0.59%)100.63-101.32.04   -2.4%-4% 
8Jun_14_2016101.97 (0.2%)102.79 (0%)102.66 (-0.4%) 102.42 101.78(0%)101.46(-0.36%)100.88-101.910.5(-0.4)0 -0.6%-0.1%0%0%0.06%0.8%541.9 Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-0.5%)61.10Uptrend Consolidation 101.59(0.13%)101.59-101.591.46   -2.3%-4.1% 
9Jun_13_2016101.94 (0.2%)102.9 (0.2%)103.08 (-0.3%) 103.01 102.39(0%)101.83(-0.69%)101.76-102.810.9(-0.1)0 -0.5%-0%0%0%0.14%0.9%662 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)71.10Uptrend Consolidation 101.91(0.08%)101.83-102.141.88   -2%-4.5% 
10Jun_10_2016101.83 (0.2%)102.99 (0.2%)103.36 (0%) 103.35 103.06(0%)102.54(-1.02%)102.23-103.041.3(0.5)0 -0.3%0.1%0%0%0.18%1.1%692.1 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.3%)81.10Uptrend 103.06(0.51%)102.43-103.341.95   -1.3%-6.4% 
 
11Jun_9_2016101.74 (0.2%)102.95 (0.2%)103.35 (0.1%) 103.45 103.62(0%)103.6(-0.28%)103.16-103.731.5(1.3)0 0.1%0.1%0%0%0.22%1.2%822.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)91.10After Top 103.94(0.33%)102.6-105.041.15   -0.3%-7.5% 
12Jun_8_2016101.58 (0.2%)102.81 (0.2%)103.21 (0.3%) 103.17 103.65(0%)103.89(0.32%)103.53-104.011.6(1.7)0 0.3%0.2%0%0%0.24%1.2%822.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)91.10Uptrend 104.51(0.6%)103.46-104.962.17   0%-8.4% 
13Jun_7_2016101.42 (0.2%)102.56 (0.2%)102.95 (0.2%) 102.87 103.28(0%)103.56(0.33%)103.34-103.861.6(1.7)0 0.4%0.3%0%0%0.26%1.1%811.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)91.10Growing Uptrend 104.22(0.64%)103.2-104.472.22   0%-8% 
14Jun_6_2016101.23 (0.2%)102.23 (0.2%)102.71 (0.1%) 102.54 102.7(0%)103.22(0.72%)102.76-103.421.6(1.6)0 0.2%0.2%0%0%0.22%1%701.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)91.10Uptrend 103.67(0.44%)102.85-104.032.04   0%-7.7% 
15Jun_3_2016101.06 (0.2%)101.94 (0.2%)102.57 (0.1%) 102.4 102.45(0%)102.48(-0.39%)101.83-102.711.7(1.2)0 0.1%0.2%0%0%0.22%0.9%721.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)81.10Uptrend 102.89(0.4%)102.22-103.181.36   -0.4%-6.9% 
 
16Jun_2_2016100.92 (0%)101.67 (0.2%)102.49 (0.1%) 102.38 102.38(0%)102.88(0.27%)102.1-102.891.9(1.7)0 0.1%0.3%0%0%0.2%0.7%641.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)71.10Uptrend 103.22(0.33%)102.53-103.511.37   0%-7.5% 
17Jun_1_2016100.76 (0%)101.37 (0.2%)102.36 (0.3%) 102.29 102.35(0%)102.6(0.22%)101.61-102.671.9(1.7)0 0.1%0.2%0%0%0.18%0.6%631.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)71.10Growing Uptrend 102.97(0.36%)102.28-103.141.39   0%-8.2% 
18May_31_2016100.64 (0%)101.09 (0.2%)102.1 (0.4%) 102.24 102.38(0%)102.37(-0.16%)102.01-102.881.9(1.8)0 0.3%0.2%0%0%0.14%0.4%571.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)61.10Growing Uptrend 102.63(0.25%)102.08-102.762.57   -0.2%-7% 
19May_27_2016100.59 (0%)100.89 (0.2%)101.66 (0.4%) 101.87 102.23(0%)102.53(0.46%)102.02-102.531.5(2.2)0 0.3%0.2%0%0%0.1%0.3%651.2 Breakout  Higher(0.5%)51.10Approaching Top 102.29(-0.23%)101.51-102.940.98   0%-10.6% 
20May_26_2016100.49 (-0%)100.58 (0%)101.21 (0.5%) 101.35 102.1(0%)102.06(-0.16%)101.95-102.441.1(2)0 0.5%0.1%0%0%0.06%0.1%621 N/A  Higher(0.7%)41.10Uptrend Reversal 102.32(0.25%)102.1-102.471.25   -0.4%-10.1% 
 
21May_25_2016100.45 (-0%)100.41 (0%)100.72 (0.5%) 100.86 101.51(0%)102.22(0.88%)101.66-102.450.5(2.1)0 0.7%0.1%0%0%0.02%-0%641.1 Breakout  Higher(0.8%)41.10Uptrend Reversal 102.5(0.27%)102.26-102.651.73   -0.2%-10.3% 
22May_24_2016100.44 (-0%)100.22 (0%)100.25 (0.3%) 100.2 100.61(0%)101.33(1.19%)100.64-101.5-0.2(1.1)0 0.4%0%0%0%-0%-0.2%611 N/A  Higher(0.4%)41.10Rebound 100.87(-0.45%)101.33-100.681.29   -1.1%-9.6% 
23May_23_2016100.45 (-0%)100.17 (-0%)99.94 (-0.1%) 99.89 100.2(0%)100.14(-0.18%)100.02-100.39-0.7(-0.4)0 0.2%0%0%0%-0.02%-0.3%471 Rebound  Range(0.3%)41.10Rebound 100.28(0.14%)100.06-100.381.23   -2.2%-8.7% 
24May_20_2016100.51 (-0%)100.14 (-0%)100 (0.2%) 99.85 99.8(0%)100.32(0.71%)99.98-100.58-0.8(-0.2)0 0.1%0%0%0%-0.04%-0.4%401 N/A  Range(0.1%)31.10After Bottom 100.33(0.01%)100.2-100.442.52   -2.1%-8.9% 
25May_19_2016100.56 (-0%)100.1 (-0%)99.85 (-0.2%) 99.82 99.59(0%)99.61(-0.22%)98.81-99.76-1.1(-1.1)0 -0.2%-0%0%0%-0.06%-0.5%421 N/A  Range(-0.1%)31.10Downtrend 99.55(-0.06%)99.45-99.792.69   -2.8%-8.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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BBV
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Next
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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millions
To High-Low
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