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     Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: IPO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Jan. 19, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Renaissance IPO ETF)

IPO latest price $20.2657 (-0.1%) ($20.1500 - $20.3079) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.97% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $20.2657(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  IPO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  IPO advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support IPO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  DIA(7%)    UUP(6%)    VIXM(4%)    IGOV(3%)    IYT(3%)  
Factors Impacting IPO price  IPO will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
  XLK(-8%)    XLP(-7%)    VUG(-7%)    SPY(-7%)    SMH(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $20.18(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average  $20.08(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average  $19.77(2.51%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  10.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. IPO price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26   Average positive next day return: 0.95%(38%)   Average negative next day return: -1.16%(62%)
Sample size 26   Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(46%)   Average negative next three day return: -2.38%(54%)
Sample size 26   Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(38%)   Average negative next weekly return: -3.19%(62%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160707

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
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BBVRSIVIXCD
1Jun_7_201618.819.7720.0820.18 20.15 20.1920.27(-0.1%)UDOpenLong750.3   33   10   6   112   0    64%0.0552.70.97%01.482INF
2Jun_6_201618.7919.7220.0220.17 20.15 20.1920.29(1.22%)UTHoldLong650.3   34   -10   5   119   0.01    64%0.1145.20.97%01.677INF
3Jun_3_201618.7719.6819.9520.12 20.15 20.1120.04(-0.6%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   32   -10   1   125   0    61%0.0536.90.97%01.178INF
4Jun_2_201618.7619.6519.8920.09 20.13 20.1120.16(0%)UTHoldLong500.2   41   20   11   129   0    61%0.0523.30.97%01.680INF
5Jun_1_201618.7519.6119.8120.01 20.05 20.1620.16(-0.2%)UDOpenLong750.5   37   40   11   116   0    61%0.116.50.98%01.867INF
 
6May_31_201618.7319.5819.7319.96 19.97 20.0920.2(0.7%)UTOpenLong750.9   42   40   21   104   0    61%0.11-5.80.98%02.362INF
7May_27_201618.7119.5719.6519.85 19.89 19.9420.06(1.03%)UTOpenLong750.8   34   20   17   85   0    61%0.05-18.81%01.965INF
8May_26_201618.719.5619.5619.76 19.8 19.9419.86(0.3%)UTOpenLong750.4   24   20   12   61   0    59%0.05-31.51%01.161INF
9May_25_201618.6919.5719.519.66 19.73 19.8419.8(-0.43%)UDOpenLong750.5   23   50   17   40   0    59%0.11-36.71.02%00.759INF
10May_24_201618.6719.5919.4619.58 19.59 19.7519.88(1.12%)UTOpenLong750.9   23   60   21   30   0    59%0.05-43.61.02%00.961INF
 
11May_23_201618.6619.619.4319.47 19.47 19.6119.66(0.28%)UTOpenLong750.6   13   50   15   8   0    56%0.05-50.31.02%00.248INF
12May_20_201618.6519.6219.419.42 19.42 19.4319.6(1.26%)N/AN/A00.5   7   0   15   -17   0    56%0.05-50.81.06%0-0.137INF
13May_19_201618.6419.6419.419.33 19.37 19.3419.36(-0.15%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -12   -0   1   -52   0    52%0.05-51.31.06%0-0.732INF
14May_18_201618.6319.6919.3819.3 19.37 19.3419.39(0.33%)DPOpenShort-750.2   -22   30   -2   -81   0    52%0.05-49.51.06%0-0.828INF
15May_17_201618.6219.7319.3919.32 19.35 19.419.33(-0.48%)DTOpenShort-750   -26   20   -2   -98   0    60%0.05-43.91.07%0-128INF
 
16May_16_201618.6119.7719.4219.38 19.37 19.319.42(1.35%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -23   -30   1   -96   0.01    68%0.05-34.41.13%0-0.934INF
17May_13_201618.619.819.4819.37 19.4 19.2919.16(-0.31%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -33   -40   -12   -97   0.01    66%0-28.31.23%0-1.726INF
18May_12_201618.619.8419.5619.43 19.43 19.4519.22(-1.34%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -29   10   -7   -95   0.01    69%0.05-17.51.24%0-1.825INF
19May_11_201618.5919.8819.6619.47 19.45 19.5219.48(-0.72%)DPOpenShort-650   -17   20   5   -83   0    65%0.05-3.81.25%0-1.330INF
20May_10_201618.5819.8819.7319.46 19.43 19.4219.62(1.2%)DPOpenShort-650.5   -21   -10   1   -85   0    65%0.111.91.31%0-0.930INF
 
21May_9_201618.5619.8819.7819.47 19.42 19.3719.39(-0.14%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -34   -30   -15   -91   0.03    65%0.058.41.32%0-1.531INF
22May_6_201618.5519.8819.8519.6 19.53 19.4419.42(-0.12%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -26   -40   -12   -68   0    56%0.0518.71.43%0-1.436INF
23May_5_201618.5419.919.9419.71 19.68 19.4719.44(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.7   -28   -80   -19   -53   0    50%0.0524.31.44%0-1.339INF
24May_4_201618.5319.8920.0219.88 19.79 19.6219.44(-1.17%)DTOpenShort-75-1.2   -26   -70   -24   -30   0    54%0.0536.51.5%0-1.339INF
25May_3_201618.5219.920.1120.04 19.99 19.8919.67(-1.84%)N/AN/A0-0.9   -8   -40   -10   -0   0    50%48.51.52%0-0.647INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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