Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ IGOV: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: IGOV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 29, 2009 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(iShares International Treasury Bond ETF)
IGOV latest price $49.8900 (0.12%) ($49.6700 - $49.9500) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.55 (1.11% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 0.51%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0%
Trend   0.08%
Trend Strength   0.6%
Trend Clarity   0.09(0.1/0.55/49.36)
RSI   59
Momentum   2.2
Latest Price   $49.8900(0.12%)
Forecasted Low Price   49.84(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price   49.99(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   0.7%
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   IGOV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   IGOV advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support IGOV advance at -0% a week (63% probability)
BWX(45%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(33%)    TIP(31%)    TLT(29%)
Factors Impacting IGOV price   IGOV will advance at least -0% in a week (28% probabilities).
UUP(-42%)    TBT(-27%)    XLF(-13%)    JETS(-13%)    IYT(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 2.3

Relative Volatility 0.6 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.1% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Next Hour Price   $49.89(0%)
Support Level   $49.36
5 Day Moving Average   $49.8(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.67(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.36(1.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. IGOV price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.51% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. IGOV price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jun_23_2016	49.36 (0.2%)	49.67 (0%)	49.8 (0.1%)		(0%)	49.89(0.12%)	49.67-49.95	1(1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.08%	0.6%	59	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.99(0.21%)	49.79-50.08	0.15	0%-4.3%
2	Jun_22_2016	49.28 (0.2%)	49.64 (0%)	49.76 (0.1%)		(0%)	49.83(0.4%)	49.66-49.9	1(0.9)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.1%	0.7%	73	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.98(0.31%)	49.73-50.09	0.21	-0.1%-4.2%
3	Jun_21_2016	49.2 (0.2%)	49.64 (0.2%)	49.71 (0.1%)		(0%)	49.63(-0.52%)	49.55-49.77	1(0.7)	0	%	0%	0%	0%	0.12%	0.9%	70	2.4	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.82(0.38%)	49.55-49.93	0.38	-0.5%-3.8%
4	Jun_20_2016	49.14 (0.2%)	49.63 (0.2%)	49.64 (0.1%)		(0%)	49.89(0.28%)	49.79-49.95	1.1(1.2)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.14%	1%	78	2.4	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	50.08(0.39%)	49.75-50.23	0.3	0%-4.3%
5	Jun_17_2016	49.07 (0.2%)	49.58 (0.2%)	49.58 (0.1%)		(0%)	49.75(0.14%)	49.59-49.75	1.1(1.1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.16%	1%	77	2.4	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.98(0.47%)	49.61-50.15	0.1	-0%-4%

6	Jun_16_2016	49 (0%)	49.55 (0.2%)	49.52 (0%)		(0%)	49.68(0.2%)	49.37-49.68	1.1(1.1)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.18%	1.1%	68	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.9(0.44%)	49.56-50.04	0.11	-0.2%-3.9%
7	Jun_15_2016	48.93 (0%)	49.44 (0.2%)	49.51 (-0.1%)		(0%)	49.58(0.55%)	49.33-49.74	1.1(1.1)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.18%	1.1%	70	2.2	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.8(0.45%)	49.47-49.94	0.11	-0.4%-5%
8	Jun_14_2016	48.88 (0%)	49.34 (0.2%)	49.55 (-0.1%)		(0%)	49.31(-0.52%)	49.29-49.56	1.3(0.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.2%	0.9%	69	2.2	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	After Top	49.51(0.4%)	49.05-49.88	0.09	-0.9%-4.5%
9	Jun_13_2016	48.86 (0%)	49.25 (0.2%)	49.6 (0%)		(0%)	49.57(0.26%)	49.44-49.58	1.5(1.2)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.2%	0.8%	68	2.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	49.81(0.49%)	49.44-49.97	0.09	-0.4%-5%
10	Jun_10_2016	48.82 (0%)	49.12 (0.2%)	49.58 (-0%)		(0%)	49.44(-0.42%)	49.36-49.61	1.7(1.1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.2%	0.6%	68	2	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.3%)	0	0	0	After Top	49.57(0.26%)	49.07-49.97	0.11	-0.6%-4.7%

11	Jun_9_2016	48.79 (0%)	49.04 (0.2%)	49.59 (0.5%)		(0%)	49.65(-0.22%)	49.6-49.72	1.9(1.7)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.2%	0.5%	73	2	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	Growing Uptrend	49.96(0.62%)	49.5-50.07	0.07	-0.2%-5.7%
12	Jun_8_2016	48.77 (0%)	48.9 (0.2%)	49.35 (0.5%)		(0%)	49.76(0.32%)	49.68-49.84	1.6(2)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0%	0.16%	0.3%	76	1.9	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	Growing Uptrend	49.99(0.47%)	49.59-50.09	0.09	0%-6%
13	Jun_7_2016	48.72 (-0%)	48.74 (0.2%)	49.11 (0.6%)		(0%)	49.6(0.32%)	49.32-49.63	1.2(2)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.1%	0.1%	59	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.3%)	0	0	0	Breakout	49.7(0.2%)	49.45-49.8	0.24	0%-5.6%
14	Jun_6_2016	48.68 (-0%)	48.62 (0%)	48.84 (0.5%)		(0%)	49.44(-0.12%)	49.3-49.52	0.6(1.9)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.04%	-0.1%	56	1.5	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	49.57(0.26%)	49.46-49.64	0.07	-0.3%-5.3%
15	Jun_3_2016	48.66 (-0%)	48.51 (0%)	48.6 (0.4%)		(0%)	49.5(2.13%)	49.26-49.5	-0(2.2)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	-0.02%	-0.3%	57	1.4	Breakout	Higher(0.3%)	0	0	0	Rebound	49.09(-0.83%)	49.48-48.92	0.19	-0.2%-5.5%

16	Jun_2_2016	48.64 (-0.2%)	48.38 (-0%)	48.41 (0.1%)		(0%)	48.47(-0.12%)	48.45-48.63	-0.8(-0.5)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.08%	-0.6%	36	1.5	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Rebound	48.54(0.14%)	48.36-48.61	0.42	-2.3%-4.1%
17	Jun_1_2016	48.69 (-0%)	48.36 (-0.2%)	48.38 (0.1%)		(0%)	48.53(0.56%)	48.26-48.56	-0.9(-0.4)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.1%	-0.7%	32	1.6	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	After Bottom	48.47(-0.12%)	48.29-48.62	0.24	-2.1%-4.2%
18	May_31_2016	48.74 (-0%)	48.38 (-0.2%)	48.32 (-0.1%)		(0%)	48.26(0.04%)	48.16-48.31	-1.1(-1.1)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.12%	-0.7%	38	1.8	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	48.15(-0.23%)	48.06-48.35	0.2	-2.7%-3.7%
19	May_27_2016	48.81 (-0%)	48.44 (-0.2%)	48.36 (-0.1%)		(0%)	48.24(-0.66%)	48.2-48.46	-1.1(-1.2)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.1%	-0.8%	35	1.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	48.14(-0.2%)	48.06-48.34	0.12	-2.7%-3.6%
20	May_26_2016	48.87 (-0%)	48.5 (-0.2%)	48.39 (0.1%)		(0%)	48.56(0.5%)	48.45-48.61	-1.1(-0.7)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.1%	-0.7%	35	1.8	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	48.47(-0.19%)	48.41-48.61	0.08	-2.1%-4.3%

21	May_25_2016	48.89 (-0%)	48.54 (-0.2%)	48.33 (0%)		(0%)	48.32(0.19%)	48.17-48.39	-1.3(-1.3)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.12%	-0.7%	29	1.8	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	After Bottom	48.37(0.1%)	48.02-48.65	0.17	-2.6%-3.8%
22	May_24_2016	48.9 (-0%)	48.63 (-0.2%)	48.32 (-0.3%)		(0%)	48.23(-0.41%)	48.15-48.29	-1.3(-1.5)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.14%	-0.6%	23	1.8	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	48.09(-0.28%)	47.99-48.35	0.11	-2.7%-3.6%
23	May_23_2016	48.9 (-0%)	48.7 (-0.2%)	48.44 (-0.2%)		(0%)	48.43(0.06%)	48.3-48.51	-1.1(-1.1)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.14%	-0.4%	24	1.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	After Bottom	48.41(-0.04%)	48.06-48.7	0.2	-2.3%-4%
24	May_20_2016	48.9 (-0%)	48.75 (-0.2%)	48.53 (-0.2%)		(0%)	48.4(0.23%)	48.22-48.44	-1(-1.1)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.14%	-0.3%	23	1.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	48.25(-0.31%)	48.15-48.49	0.05	-2.4%-4%
25	May_19_2016	48.91 (-0%)	48.84 (-0.2%)	48.63 (-0.3%)		(0%)	48.29(0.04%)	48.2-48.36	-0.8(-1.4)	0	-0.1%	-0.2%	0%	0%	-0.12%	-0.1%	27	1.8	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-0.3%)	0	0	0	Growing Downtrend	48.16(-0.26%)	48.05-48.39	0.07	-2.6%-3.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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