Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ICPT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 27, 2023

Trading Signals: ICPT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 25, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Intercept Pharmaceuticals)
ICPT latest price $18.5600 (-0.78%) ($18.5500 - $18.5600) on Wed. Sep. 27, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.13% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $18.5600(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ICPT advances 12.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ICPT advances 11.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ICPT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(10%)    TBT(40%)    ACES(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLP(-34%)
Factors Impacting ICPT price   ICPT will decline at least -5.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
ICLN(-58%)    IDRV(-17%)    KWEB(-20%)    MCHI(5%)    OIH(29%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.065% (StdDev 10.13%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.81(34.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.63(46.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.89(56.1%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   85.6%
Market Cap   $41.16b

$. ICPT price fluctuates within 19.34% (three month std-dev: 10.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.21%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.53%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.32%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.2%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.9%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20231027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2023	11.38	11.89	12.63	13.81	14.55	18.63	18.56(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.1	61	2120	51	90	7.97	86%	0.26	39.8	10.13%	0.6	2.9	86	-1.6
2	Sep_26_2023	11.35	11.48	11.89	12.26	12.62	14.57	18.71(79.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.8	53	1170	54	51	35.82	86%	0.18	26.6	10.13%	1.4	4.2	84	-3
3	Sep_25_2023	11.33	11.05	11.11	10.73	10.65	10.47	10.44(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-140	-20	-41	0.63	56%	-0.53	10.5	2.51%	-0.3	-1.6	53	-1.5
4	Sep_22_2023	11.39	11.05	11.22	10.92	10.81	10.67	10.51(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-120	-16	-14	0.88	56%	-0.52	29.6	2.55%	-0.6	-1.5	44	-1
5	Sep_21_2023	11.45	11.07	11.22	11.07	11.02	10.83	10.84(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-130	-14	12	0.33	62%	-0.43	44.6	2.53%	-0.8	-0.6	52	-0.9

6	Sep_20_2023	11.5	11.07	11.3	11.22	11.13	10.94	10.83(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-140	-19	23	0.5	62%	-0.43	52.9	2.59%	-1.6	-0.5	51	-0
7	Sep_19_2023	11.55	11.04	11.32	11.4	11.31	11.21	11.06(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-90	-14	48	0.6	62%	-0.6	70.8	2.64%	-1.9	0	54	0.9
8	Sep_18_2023	11.62	11.01	11.27	11.55	11.48	11.32	11.37(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-120	-4	62	0.6	67%	-0.51	79.7	2.64%	-0.4	0.8	57	1
9	Sep_15_2023	11.68	10.96	11.25	11.56	11.59	11.41	11.28(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-100	-4	74	0.51	67%	-0.43	80.8	2.64%	-1.7	0.7	58	1
10	Sep_14_2023	11.73	10.9	11.21	11.55	11.63	11.64	11.56(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	30	9	90	0.47	67%	-0.59	73.1	2.66%	-1.4	1.3	68	1.5

11	Sep_13_2023	11.8	10.83	11.15	11.38	11.55	11.78	11.74(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	180	17	86	0.41	67%	-0.59	63.5	2.68%	-0.1	1.9	71	1.3
12	Sep_12_2023	11.87	10.75	11.06	11.22	11.29	11.62	11.81(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	220	26	76	0.66	67%	-0.59	55.4	2.71%	1	2.4	63	1
13	Sep_11_2023	11.94	10.66	10.96	10.95	11.07	11.33	11.42(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	200	12	53	0.7	63%	-0.67	40.8	2.68%	0.9	1.9	64	1.3
14	Sep_8_2023	12.02	10.61	10.89	10.91	10.84	10.96	11.23(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	60	8	53	0.92	63%	-0.66	37.5	2.71%	1.6	1.7	61	1.3
15	Sep_7_2023	12.1	10.55	10.8	10.83	10.83	10.81	10.7(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-2	49	1.34	65%	-0.74	24.8	2.64%	-0.3	0.4	62	1.2

16	Sep_6_2023	12.19	10.52	10.77	10.88	10.86	10.71	10.93(4.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-100	-2	57	0.62	65%	-0.73	18.9	2.76%	0.3	1.2	64	1.4
17	Sep_5_2023	12.28	10.51	10.74	10.87	10.85	10.85	10.5(-6.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	9	-10	-10	64	0.7	59%	-1.05	19.8	2.71%	-2	-0	56	1.7
18	Sep_1_2023	12.41	10.5	10.73	10.96	10.95	11.01	11.2(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	40	10	93	0.46	79%	-0.48	22.5	2.61%	1.7	2.1	70	2.3
19	Aug_31_2023	12.47	10.5	10.65	10.87	10.88	10.85	10.84(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-20	7	83	0.52	75%	-0.48	18.6	2.59%	-1	1.2	57	2.3
20	Aug_30_2023	12.53	10.47	10.57	10.76	10.87	10.89	10.92(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	40	10	69	0.66	75%	-0.4	16.2	2.61%	-0.7	1.5	63	2.2

21	Aug_29_2023	12.58	10.46	10.49	10.63	10.73	10.92	10.9(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	150	6	51	0.39	75%	-0.4	11.6	2.68%	0.1	1.5	63	1.7
22	Aug_28_2023	12.63	10.44	10.42	10.59	10.56	10.85	10.94(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	180	15	43	0.64	75%	-0.08	8.6	2.7%	1.1	1.8	53	1.5
23	Aug_25_2023	12.64	10.44	10.33	10.47	10.47	10.54	10.76(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	50	10	22	0.32	82%	-0.24	4.2	2.77%	1.8	1.3	55	0.2
24	Aug_24_2023	12.67	10.44	10.29	10.41	10.37	10.28	10.31(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-70	2	4	0.68	78%	-0.24	2	2.83%	-0.7	-0.4	43	-0.6
25	Aug_23_2023	12.7	10.42	10.28	10.34	10.4	10.4	10.27(-3.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2	20	2	-15	0.91	78%		-12.4	2.85%	-1	-0.6	43	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD