Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 18, 2024

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Thu. Apr. 18, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)
GLD latest price $220.3400 (0.34%) ($219.3120 - $221.4600) on Thu. Apr. 18, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $220.3400(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   GLD advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   GLD advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(59%)    IWN(58%)    IWO(58%)    XBI(57%)    SMH(55%)
Factors Impacting GLD price   GLD will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-47%)    VXX(-25%)    TLT(-21%)    XLE(15%)    VIXM(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $219.8(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $218.48(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $212.47(3.7%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. GLD price fluctuates within 3.42% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.65%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.37%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.9%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.53%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2024	194.73	212.47	218.48	219.8	220.04	220.42	220.34(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	20	9	182	6.48	73%	0.16	68.7	0.77%	-0.3	1.1	76	-1.6
2	Apr_17_2024	194.41	211.56	217.64	219.69	219.88	220.39	219.59(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	119	20	78	241	11.51	70%	0.16	69.3	0.77%	-0.3	1.1	78	-2
3	Apr_16_2024	194.09	210.58	216.98	218.89	219.34	219.66	221.22(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	120	20	72	262	10.73	68%	0.19	65.7	0.78%	1	1.4	82	-2.2
4	Apr_15_2024	193.73	209.51	215.95	218.18	218.17	219.36	220.95(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	100	40	42	272	13.2	68%	0.19	64	0.79%	0.9	1.6	83	-3
5	Apr_12_2024	193.36	208.43	214.65	217.29	217.9	219.03	216.89(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	219	40	176	346	30.88	67%	0.12	61.9	0.77%	-0.6	1.2	81	-2.8

6	Apr_11_2024	193.12	207.59	213.59	216.94	216.9	216.98	219.8(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	139	0	76	327	11.39	70%	0.19	62.3	0.75%	2.2	1.8	82	1
7	Apr_10_2024	192.75	206.62	211.94	215.28	215.85	216.78	215.61(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	108	40	44	301	13.29	68%	0.17	62.7	0.72%	-1.1	1.4	79	-0.4
8	Apr_9_2024	192.43	205.81	210.6	214.71	214.89	216.83	217.67(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	256	70	216	375	13.06	71%	0.19	65	0.71%	1	1.9	87	-0.3
9	Apr_8_2024	192.07	204.97	208.93	213.35	213.37	214.93	216.48(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	261	50	228	360	10.31	71%	0.18	71.5	0.71%	1.3	2.1	85	-0.3
10	Apr_5_2024	191.72	204.18	207.31	211.62	211.83	212.95	215.14(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	201	40	167	301	13.36	71%	0.17	80.4	0.72%	1.4	2.3	85	-1.1

11	Apr_4_2024	191.39	203.37	205.94	209.74	210.33	211.8	211.52(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	203	60	177	282	12.29	68%	0.17	93.6	0.69%	0.8	2	79	-0.4
12	Apr_3_2024	191.07	202.71	204.97	208.05	208.59	210.72	212.74(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	273	80	267	289	11.4	68%	0.17	104.3	0.68%	1.5	2.7	78	0.4
13	Apr_2_2024	190.75	201.9	203.63	205.83	206.37	208.85	210.89(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	276	90	287	243	13.38	67%	0.17	120.3	0.69%	1.6	2.9	79	0.3
14	Apr_1_2024	190.43	201.14	202.49	203.85	204.42	206.46	207.82(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	264	80	288	193	13.66	65%	0.21	139.7	0.67%	1.2	2.6	64	0.7
15	Mar_28_2024	190.04	200.39	201.64	202.36	202.77	203.89	205.72(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	157	40	174	104	9.19	63%	0.14	96.5	0.66%	1.5	1.5	61	1.1

16	Mar_27_2024	189.78	199.6	201.06	201.61	201.71	202.39	203.1(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	30	61	43	6.03	60%	0.11	81.9	0.65%	1.3	0.9	60	1.6
17	Mar_26_2024	189.57	198.9	200.84	201.43	201.68	201.65	201.64(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	63	0	67	51	5.75	58%	0.1	73	0.65%	0.6	0.6	61	1.4
18	Mar_25_2024	189.38	198.25	200.66	201.06	201.36	201.04	200.99(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-17	-10	-28	15	4.03	58%	0.09	66.4	0.65%	-0.3	0.6	64	1.8
19	Mar_22_2024	189.21	197.65	200.74	200.87	200.93	201.7	200.35(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	13	51	6.89	58%	0.09	64.1	0.66%	-0.8	0.5	66	1.8
20	Mar_21_2024	189.04	197.09	200.87	200.74	200.69	201.69	201.97(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	150	30	153	142	7.39	61%	0.1	62.7	0.65%	1.1	0.9	78	1.9

21	Mar_20_2024	188.85	196.39	200.66	200.41	200.03	200.16	202.18(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	69	-0	46	137	9.35	61%	0.1	62.5	0.65%	3.6	1	83	1.6
22	Mar_19_2024	188.66	195.66	200.32	200.22	199.87	199.69	199.8(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-33	152	4.65	58%	0.08	64	0.64%	-0.3	0.7	82	1.6
23	Mar_18_2024	188.51	195.06	200.1	200.21	200.22	199.9	200.03(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	35	-10	-20	198	7.19	58%	0.08	65	0.65%	0.4	0.9	84	1.3
24	Mar_15_2024	188.36	194.39	199.74	200.61	200.26	200.05	199.71(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-66	229	4.55	55%	0.09	64.9	0.65%	-1	0.9	82	1.2
25	Mar_14_2024	188.2	193.7	199.12	200.99	200.75	200.54	200.35(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	64	-10	-10	284	6.86	55%		64.2	0.66%	-0.3	1.1	82	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD