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     Mon. May. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: GLD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Nov. 18, 2004 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR Gold Shares)

GLD latest price $119.3600 (-0.84%) ($119.2900 - $121.1200) on Mon. May. 17, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.97% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $119.3600(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GLD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GLD advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GLD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  TIP(32%)    LQD(29%)    IGOV(25%)    PCY(22%)    TLT(21%)  
Factors Impacting GLD price  GLD will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
  PEJ(-1%)    XLY(1%)    SPY(3%)    XLK(4%)    QQQ(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $120.47(-0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average  $118.77(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average  $116.31(2.62%)
To recent high  -1.7%
To recent low  12.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. GLD price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7   Average positive next day return: 1.32%(29%)   Average negative next day return: -1.21%(71%)
Sample size 7   Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(71%)   Average negative next three day return: -3.14%(29%)
Sample size 7   Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(43%)   Average negative next weekly return: -3.08%(57%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20100617

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
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1May_17_2010110.63116.31118.77120.47 120.82 120.46119.36(-0.84%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   25   -10   -15   145   27.9    73%0.0866.20.97%00.969NAN
2May_14_2010110.54115.91118.43120.11 120.79 120.88120.37(-0.16%)UDOpenLong750.1   54   20   18   161   34.65    76%0.1160.11%01.478NAN
3May_13_2010110.42115.45117.93119.69 119.94 121.17120.56(-0.69%)UDOpenLong750.3   83   80   52   175   22.34    76%0.1456.91.01%01.676NAN
4May_12_2010110.27115.08117.31119.28 119.19 120.71121.4(0.61%)UTHoldLong650.7   169   90   152   219   32.7    76%0.1559.11.01%02.282NAN
5May_11_2010110.11114.64116.58118.02 118.1 118.72120.66(2.63%)UTHoldLong651   131   40   114   180   36.73    78%0.1354.81.01%02.478NAN
 
6May_10_2010109.97114.21115.94116.86 116.68 117.66117.57(-0.59%)UDOpenLong750.3   57   50   31   135   28.43    75%0.0854.30.98%01.676NAN
7May_7_2010109.88113.97115.47116.49 116.18 117.48118.27(-0.19%)UDOpenLong750.9   130   70   117   169   34.28    75%0.158.40.98%02.280NAN
8May_6_2010109.77113.71114.95115.91 115.68 115.69118.49(2.95%)UTHoldLong651.5   87   -10   68   143   50.54    75%0.06680.99%02.881NAN
9May_5_2010109.7113.4114.27115.07 115.25 114.89115.09(0.19%)N/AN/A00   -9   -20   -37   75   21.62    72%0.0582.90.93%01.355NAN
10May_4_2010109.64113.26114114.91 115.21 115.66114.87(-0.74%)UDOpenLong75-0   32   40   13   88   21.52    60%0.0494.10.93%01.257NAN
 
11May_3_2010109.6113.07113.67114.86 114.9 115.62115.73(0.32%)UTOpenLong750.6   74   40   67   95   13.57    60%0.06100.81.06%01.963NAN
12Apr_30_2010109.53112.83113.21114.27 114.33 114.75115.36(0.95%)UTOpenLong750.9   54   30   51   63   13.41    63%0.05106.31.08%0259NAN
13Apr_29_2010109.48112.57112.79113.83 113.7 114.18114.28(-0.03%)UDOpenLong750.4   34   30   34   35   10.38    63%0.031141.09%01.452NAN
14Apr_28_2010109.45112.31112.7113.34 113.22 113.9114.31(-0.28%)UDOpenLong750.7   51   40   56   35   26.9    63%0.04100.81.09%01.557NAN
15Apr_27_2010109.41112.01112.55112.94 112.56 113.21114.63(1.67%)UTOpenLong751.1   44   30   51   24   25.06    63%0.0180.11.09%01.759NAN
 
16Apr_26_2010109.4111.71112.33112.31 112.18 112.54112.75(-0.39%)UDOpenLong750.3   35   20   43   11   8.34    61%-0.0171.31.08%00.759NAN
17Apr_23_2010109.41111.51112.34111.99 111.89 111.91113.19(1.21%)UTOpenLong750.7   15   -0   19   2   12.51    61%-0.0563.41.07%0162NAN
18Apr_22_2010109.46111.21112.36111.6 111.59 111.83111.84(-0.42%)DTOpenShort-750.1   -9   10   -10   -6   9.61    59%-0.0742.51.07%00.361NAN
19Apr_21_2010109.54110.95112.45111.96 111.65 111.87112.31(0.76%)UTOpenLong750.2   17   10   13   30   6.84    56%-0.0535.51.07%00.669NAN
20Apr_20_2010109.59110.76112.47112.11 111.95 111.35111.46(0.28%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -3   -40   -18   43   7.02    51%-0.0532.81.08%00.371NAN
 
21Apr_19_2010109.64110.58112.45112.35 112.33 111.43111.15(-0.08%)CRSmallShort-20-0.5   -41   -60   -68   39   8    51%-0.04341.12%00.264NAN
22Apr_16_2010109.68110.45112.46112.72 112.76 112.56111.24(-2.12%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -19   -10   -48   69   24.58    51%0.02391.12%00.365NAN
23Apr_15_2010109.66110.4112.4113.2 113.16 113.23113.65(0.55%)UTHoldLong650.2   42   0   14   127   10.96    55%-0.0348.61.1%01.484NAN
24Apr_14_2010109.69110.18111.94113 113.19 112.97113.03(0.3%)UTHoldLong650   33   -10   -0   131   10.57    55%-0.0251.71.1%01.384NAN
25Apr_13_2010109.71110.03111.46112.9 113.04 113.1112.69(-0.28%)UDOpenLong65-0.1   28   10   -5   128   11.26    55%54.71.1%01.368NAN
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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