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     Thu. Dec. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: GBTC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 31, 2017 - Tue. Feb. 14, 2023)

(Grayscale Bitcoin Trust)

GBTC latest price $24.0000 (2.61%) ($23.5300 - $24.1200) on Thu. Dec. 3, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.83% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $24.0000(2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  GBTC advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  GBTC advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support GBTC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  BLOK(63%)    IWC(30%)    LIT(30%)    IDRV(29%)    ARKG(28%)  
Factors Impacting GBTC price  GBTC will decline at least -2.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
  UUP(-24%)    VXX(-19%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-7%)    XLRE(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.415% (StdDev 4.83%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $22.63(6.05%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.05(8.84%)
20 Day Moving Average  $20.17(18.99%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  126.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 
Acts as Open-End Investment Fund/Unit Trust

$. GBTC price fluctuates within 11.85% (three month std-dev: 4.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23   Average positive next day return: 4.39%(39%)   Average negative next day return: -3.65%(61%)
Sample size 23   Average positive next three day return: 5.67%(39%)   Average negative next three day return: -5.96%(61%)
Sample size 23   Average positive next weekly return: 6.7%(43%)   Average negative next weekly return: -9.55%(57%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210103

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Dec_3_202014.0720.1722.0522.63 23.35 23.6824(2.61%)UTOpenLong750.6   48   190   23   121   9.49    69%1.08824.83%01.6710.9
2Dec_2_202013.9219.7621.6122 22.01 23.3923.39(-1.47%)UDOpenLong750.6   34   440   10   106   8.53    67%1.0277.24.99%01.5721
3Dec_1_202013.7819.3721.2821.8 21.58 23.0123.74(2.36%)UTHoldLong650.8   56   430   30   132   16.04    67%1.0374.55.03%01.8761
4Nov_30_202013.6418.9520.7921.48 21.49 20.6223.19(23.14%)UTOpenLong750.8   43   -280   13   131   20.67    67%1.0477.14.99%01.9711.1
5Nov_27_202013.518.5520.2621.09 21.28 20.1518.84(-9.73%)UDOpenLong65-1   5   -340   -37   129   21.93    61%0.9794.15%00.1591.1
 
6Nov_25_202013.3818.3820.2421.34 21.89 22.3720.87(-6.69%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   52   230   9   179   17.52    63%0.8379.63.95%01.1691.3
7Nov_24_202013.2718.0919.9221.09 21.45 22.4222.36(1.04%)UTHoldLong650.6   71   370   29   197   17.48    67%0.9179.63.92%01.9811.1
8Nov_23_202013.1517.7419.3420.65 20.72 21.4222.13(4.19%)UTHoldLong650.7   73   250   32   195   15.28    67%0.6984.23.92%02821.1
9Nov_20_202013.0617.3418.8220 20.21 20.4921.24(5.67%)UTHoldLong650.6   66   130   28   180   14.49    65%0.9386.33.94%02801.2
10Nov_19_202012.9416.9918.4319.34 19.61 20.0220.1(2.34%)UTHoldLong650.4   53   190   15   167   10.53    61%0.8688.83.9%01.7791.3
 
11Nov_18_202012.8316.7118.1418.97 19.13 19.9219.64(-2.58%)UDOpenLong750.4   62   310   25   173   19.98    61%0.7994.33.95%01.7781.3
12Nov_17_202012.7316.4417.7618.55 18.6 19.220.16(6.89%)UTHoldLong650.9   70   230   37   169   16.48    64%0.87953.95%02.2831.6
13Nov_16_202012.6216.0917.2817.82 17.95 18.3318.86(5.01%)UTOpenLong750.6   43   170   17   122   11.71    62%0.7290.14.05%01.7701.6
14Nov_13_202012.5315.7916.9517.47 17.48 1817.96(-1.54%)UDOpenLong750.3   36   210   10   115   8.93    61%0.6484.24.02%01.3741.5
15Nov_12_202012.4515.5216.6917.38 17.18 17.5718.24(4.08%)UTHoldLong650.5   42   120   14   126   9.92    61%0.6584.34.01%01.6761.1
 
16Nov_11_202012.3715.2316.3917.19 17.08 16.9617.53(6.15%)UTOpenLong750.2   40   -70   12   125   9.92    55%0.5783.84.01%01.4711.8
17Nov_10_202012.314.9616.1216.86 17.03 16.7916.51(-3.39%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   30   -70   3   110   6.33    55%0.4982.84.1%01691.7
18Nov_9_202012.2414.7616.0416.64 16.79 17.217.09(-2.57%)UDOpenLong750.3   40   200   11   126   15.01    55%0.4984.54.11%01.4791.4
19Nov_6_202012.1814.5315.7716.32 16.46 17.2717.54(1.56%)UTHoldLong650.7   52   370   27   128   10.27    51%0.5883.24.28%01.8851.7
20Nov_5_202012.1114.2415.4515.89 15.94 16.3817.27(8.82%)UTHoldLong650.9   49   200   23   125   14.95    53%0.5883.14.3%02851
 
21Nov_4_202012.0413.9715.1715.49 15.5 15.6615.87(2.92%)UTHoldLong650.3   38   70   9   124   7.99    49%0.4281.84.21%01.3820.8
22Nov_3_202011.9913.7215.0115.3 15.34 15.515.42(-0.58%)UDOpenLong750.1   35   80   2   135   6.49    49%0.4276.64.2%01.182-0.6
23Nov_2_202011.9413.514.8115.35 15.19 15.3315.51(0.85%)UTHoldLong650.1   46   30   9   155   6.15    49%0.3477.54.22%01.380-1.4
24Oct_30_202011.913.2914.5515.12 15.17 15.1715.38(0.79%)UTOpenLong750.2   44   10   9   147   6.95    51%0.4274.24.26%01.374-1.7
25Oct_29_202011.8513.0614.2714.92 14.98 15.0615.26(2.35%)UTHoldLong650.2   40   50   4   146   7.72    51%70.54.26%01.479-1.4
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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