Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FEX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: FEX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Jul. 26, 2023)

(First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund)
FEX latest price $49.0200 (8.52%) ($46.7000 - $49.1700) on Thu. Mar. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.51% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $49.0200(8.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   FEX advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FEX declines -11.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FEX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(15%)    GDXJ(15%)    PAVE(14%)    PEJ(13%)    VCIT(13%)
Factors Impacting FEX price   FEX will decline at least -2.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    VXX(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-5%)    UUP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.255% (StdDev 4.51%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.13(-50.78%)
Resistance Level   $52.26
5 Day Moving Average   $44.01(11.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.57(7.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.26(-6.2%)
To recent high   -27%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. FEX price fluctuates within 12.53% (three month std-dev: 4.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 6.72%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.48%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.48%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2020	60.35	52.26	45.57	44.01	44.32	46.58	49.02(8.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	15	380	63	-131	0.34	41%	-0.48	-77.7	4.51%	1.3	-0.5	39	-0.3
2	Mar_24_2020	60.64	53.11	45.87	42.98	42.68	42.8	45.17(10.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-0	13	-186	0.4	36%	-0.52	-78.5	4.33%	1.8	-1.2	32	-0.6
3	Mar_23_2020	60.96	54.19	46.55	42.72	42.48	42.05	40.8(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-84	-90	-32	-238	0.23	28%	-0.62	-71.9	3.95%	1.7	-1.8	27	-0.8
4	Mar_19_2020	61.34	55.47	48.19	44.51	43.21	42.57	43.53(4.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-75	-190	-25	-226	0.47	30%	-0.54	-65.1	3.91%	1.9	-1.6	24	-1.7
5	Mar_18_2020	61.67	56.63	49.87	45.21	44.85	42.91	41.55(-5.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-93	-330	-45	-238	0.2	26%	-0.6	-65.5	3.85%	-0.7	-2	19	-2.4

6	Mar_17_2020	62.04	57.89	51.65	47.32	46.13	43.86	43.87(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-115	-420	-74	-237	0.33	28%	-0.53	-60.9	3.83%	-1.1	-1.9	20	-2.2
7	Mar_16_2020	62.37	58.99	53.22	49.19	48.19	46.79	43.84(-11.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-98	-260	-57	-221	0.15	28%	-0.51	-60.1	3.84%	0.5	-2.2	20	-2.7
8	Mar_13_2020	62.69	60.06	54.66	50.92	50.52	48.4	49.74(5.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-90	-320	-41	-236	0.18	33%	-0.33	-59.8	3.41%	0.9	-1.6	23	-1.9
9	Mar_12_2020	62.9	60.92	56.1	52.46	51.21	49.59	47.05(-9.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-141	-290	-103	-254	0.38	27%	-0.4	-55.8	3.23%	1.1	-2.3	19	-2.6
10	Mar_11_2020	63.15	61.95	58.06	55.25	53.82	52.65	52.12(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-85	-230	-44	-208	0.12	32%	-0.27	-49.8	2.88%	1.3	-1.8	23	-2.2

11	Mar_10_2020	63.32	62.72	59.54	56.66	56.03	52.84	53.18(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-99	-430	-68	-191	0.17	32%	-0.28	-45.3	2.87%	-0.8	-1.8	26	-2
12	Mar_9_2020	63.5	63.4	60.95	57.88	57.53	54.99	52.49(-8.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-122	-330	-103	-177	0.14	32%	-0.33	-42.5	2.89%	1	-2.3	28	-2.7
13	Mar_6_2020	63.71	64.13	62.46	58.89	59.23	59.23	57.48(-5.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	20	-35	-139	0.08	40%	-0.19	-44.4	2.54%	1.3	-1.7	37	-2.3
14	Mar_4_2020	63.83	64.57	63.34	60.28	59.25	60.07	60.97(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	50	-8	-111	0.05	47%	0	-37.8	2.38%	1.6	-1	38	-1.6
15	Mar_3_2020	63.83	64.81	63.89	61.39	60.1	59.24	59.16(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	146	-160	198	-9	0.08	41%	-0.03	-29.7	2.34%	1.4	-1.6	32	-2.3

16	Mar_2_2020	63.85	65.15	64.6	62.97	61.95	58.43	59.32(3.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-1.2	85	-450	117	-10	0.43	41%	-0.14	-20.2	2.39%	-0.7	-1.9	31	-1.9
17	Feb_28_2020	63.94	65.48	65.21	51.11	63.89	60.97	57.54(-10.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.4	98	430	124	19	0.14	34%	0.09	-6.7	2.3%	1.5	-3	28	-2.8
18	Feb_24_2020	63.88	65.9	65.96	66.47	66.29	65.46	64.39(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.9	284	-100	332	141	0.09	57%	0.14	36.5	1.18%	1.5	-1.3	44	-3.1
19	Feb_21_2020	63.79	65.95	66.18	66.79	66.99	66.81	66.53(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	426	-10	491	229	0.02	72%	0.17	56.6	0.99%	1.5	0.6	55	-0.8
20	Feb_18_2020	63.68	65.88	66.16	66.77	66.85	67.12	67.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	463	30	532	254	0.05	72%	0.2	61.8	0.95%	1.4	1.2	59	0.8

21	Feb_14_2020	63.55	65.79	66.11	66.52	66.69	67.17	67.14(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	60	57	66	0.01	72%	0.17	63.9	0.94%	2	1.4	62	0.9
22	Feb_12_2020	63.44	65.66	65.98	66.03	66.37	66.59	67.19(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	40	60	48	0.07	72%	0.17	59	0.94%	2.1	1.7	62	1
23	Feb_10_2020	63.33	65.5	65.85	65.4	65.75	66.22	65.99(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	490	70	577	229	0.04	67%	0.11	50	0.91%	-0.5	0.6	57	0.2
24	Feb_6_2020	63.26	65.39	65.82	65.4	65.25	66.14	66.46(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	488	80	572	236	0.02	67%	0.11	55.2	0.89%	1.8	1.3	60	0.2