Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 29, 2020

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $223.2600 (2.55%) ($223.2600 - $223.2600) on Wed. Jan. 29, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $223.2600(2.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(75%)    VUG(75%)    IVW(74%)    IWF(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-54%)    VIXM(-52%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-12%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $218.74(2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $220.08(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $217.4(2.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $636.291b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.09%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.21%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2020	197.24	217.4	220.08	218.74	218.48	220.48	223.26(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	180	60	212	83	29.25	76%	0.2	71	1.11%	1.6	1.4	65	-0.7
2	Jan_28_2020	196.85	216.48	219.63	218.34	217.61	216.36	217.71(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-37	-8	12.81	74%	0.15	58	1.08%	0.6	0.3	62	-0.7
3	Jan_27_2020	196.55	216.04	220.05	219.08	218.5	216.48	215.02(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-132	-70	-167	-28	13.36	73%	0.15	56.6	1.07%	-1.2	-0.2	59	-1.9
4	Jan_24_2020	196.26	215.72	220.44	220.48	220.09	218.85	217.94(-0.83%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-78	-40	-116	37	12.02	77%	0.14	65.1	1.05%	-1.6	0.4	73	0
5	Jan_23_2020	195.98	215.12	220.53	221.26	221.11	220.53	219.77(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-18	-20	-56	96	10.37	79%	0.17	72.5	1.05%	-1.4	0.8	74	1.2

6	Jan_22_2020	195.64	214.45	220.14	221.54	221.63	221.34	221.29(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	27	-10	-12	144	12.2	69%	0.2	79.9	1.06%	-0	1.1	83	1.1
7	Jan_21_2020	195.24	213.7	219.37	221.09	221.6	221.69	221.38(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	10	4	151	14.25	71%	0.2	85.2	1.19%	0.2	1.2	84	1.4
8	Jan_17_2020	194.86	212.92	218.55	221.21	221.02	221.92	222(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	30	23	167	15.9	66%	0.2	93.3	1.24%	0.2	1.4	73	1.9
9	Jan_16_2020	194.48	211.96	217.26	220.41	221.01	221.51	221.84(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	110	20	84	188	9.98	66%	0.22	94.5	1.24%	1.1	1.6	73	2.2
10	Jan_15_2020	194.06	210.79	216.05	219.71	220.06	220.13	221.18(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	10	11	163	9.98	69%	0.21	92	1.24%	0.2	1.7	75	2

11	Jan_14_2020	193.65	209.63	214.51	218.52	219.34	220.5	219.07(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	78	50	50	160	13.09	69%	0.21	82.7	1.29%	-0.8	1.5	71	2.3
12	Jan_13_2020	193.25	208.4	213.08	217.33	218.39	219.99	221.94(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	146	70	135	180	14.45	71%	0.24	71.3	1.28%	1.5	2.1	76	2.5
13	Jan_10_2020	192.79	207.12	211.63	215.49	216.18	218.19	218.04(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	112	70	99	149	12.11	71%	0.2	61.6	1.29%	0.5	1.7	74	1.4
14	Jan_9_2020	192.41	206.29	210.55	213.61	214.85	216.79	218.33(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	169	80	170	166	12.51	71%	0.19	57.1	1.29%	1.7	1.9	78	1.4
15	Jan_8_2020	192.05	205.37	209.19	211.87	212.43	214.18	215.24(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	106	70	97	132	13.44	70%	0.17	57.6	1.28%	1.3	1.8	80	0.7

16	Jan_7_2020	191.72	204.63	208.22	209.89	211.03	212.92	213.12(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	145	80	145	144	14.9	70%	0.15	53.6	1.29%	1	1.7	79	0.6
17	Jan_6_2020	191.44	203.99	207.49	208.14	209.08	210.68	212.72(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	121	70	115	137	17.08	70%	0.16	47	1.29%	2.2	1.9	82	0.6
18	Jan_3_2020	191.14	203.3	206.78	207.21	206.99	209.14	208.63(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	70	69	130	11.19	71%	0.14	43.3	1.28%	0.7	1.3	72	0.5
19	Jan_2_2020	190.87	202.8	206.21	207.03	206.86	207.49	209.64(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	125	20	118	147	12.07	71%	0.18	43.6	1.32%	2.1	1.7	60	1.3
20	Dec_31_2019	190.53	202.23	205.1	206.13	206.38	204.85	205.33(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-23	-50	-53	66	8.95	69%	0.11	39.1	1.3%	-0.5	0.8	57	0.9

21	Dec_30_2019	190.33	201.95	204.43	206.28	206.33	206.23	204.37(-1.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-44	-0	-76	53	10.52	69%	0.09	42.6	1.32%	-1.7	0.6	55	0.4
22	Dec_27_2019	190.16	201.81	203.5	206.65	206.76	207.9	208.08(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	40	70	106	10.26	70%	0.1	51.3	1.29%	0.4	1.7	62	0.9
23	Dec_26_2019	189.97	201.47	202.36	206.25	206.3	206.44	207.73(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	10	48	87	9.34	70%	0.15	56.7	1.31%	0.4	1.7	64	1.2
24	Dec_24_2019	189.69	201.01	201.76	205.27	205.88	205.62	205.16(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	0	4	65	6.04	64%	0.13	55.3	1.32%	-2.4	1.3	62	1.3
25	Dec_23_2019	189.45	200.73	201.29	203.87	205.29	206.15	206.08(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	50	55	71	12.58	62%		49.3	1.37%	0.2	1.8	64	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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