Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 12, 2019

Trading Signals: FB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Wed. Jun. 8, 2022)

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FB latest price $204.8700 (1.81%) ($199.1600 - $205.3000) on Fri. Jul. 12, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $204.8700(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FB advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FB advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IFRA(39%)    IGOV(8%)    VIXM(6%)    VXX(6%)    TLT(4%)
Factors Impacting FB price   FB will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
INDA(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    VYM(-15%)    XLV(-14%)    XLF(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $200.76(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $198.07(3.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.52(5.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.9%
Market Cap   $583.88b

Facebook, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications for people to connect through mobile devices, personal computers, and other surfaces. It enables users to share opinions, ideas, photos, videos, and other activities online. Its products include Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Oculus. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

$. FB price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.3%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.78%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2019	179.86	193.52	198.07	200.76	200.71	202.17	204.87(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	50	48	110	15.29	55%	0.26	110.8	1.89%	0	2	72	1.7
2	Jul_11_2019	179.4	192.17	196.53	199.07	198.98	201.72	201.23(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	99	100	94	115	13.61	55%	0.22	105.1	1.88%	0	1.5	71	1.6
3	Jul_10_2019	179.01	190.89	195.19	198.25	197.45	199.26	202.73(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	113	50	111	117	20.44	55%	0.24	98	1.88%	0	1.8	76	1.6
4	Jul_9_2019	178.59	189.66	193.77	196.71	196.04	196.25	199.21(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-0	36	75	14.53	55%	0.12	101.2	1.87%	0	1.5	70	1.2
5	Jul_8_2019	178.38	188.45	193.05	195.47	195.23	195.64	195.76(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	3	57	9.71	55%	0.19	100	1.87%	0	1.1	64	1.3

6	Jul_5_2019	178.04	187.37	192.57	194.92	194.87	195.84	196.4(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	30	52	88	11.16	55%	0.26	89.8	1.87%	0	1.2	76	1.9
7	Jul_3_2019	177.57	186.01	191.84	193.54	193.8	194.83	197.17(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	40	62	99	7.51	55%	0.19	64	1.86%	0	1.3	81	2.1
8	Jul_2_2019	177.24	184.58	190.84	191.62	192.22	193.89	195(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	70	58	101	6.89	58%	0.17	49.3	1.86%	0	1.2	81	2.3
9	Jul_1_2019	176.94	183.23	190.17	190.39	190.93	192.77	193(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	82	80	72	111	10.59	58%	0.15	35.1	1.89%	0	1	72	2.1
10	Jun_28_2019	176.68	181.82	189.75	190.31	190.16	190.54	193.02(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	10	37	122	10.5	58%	0.15	27.9	1.88%	0	1.2	75	1.3

11	Jun_27_2019	176.41	180.99	188.62	189.93	190.4	189.1	189.5(1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-40	-21	112	8.17	58%	0.11	26.3	1.87%	0	1	74	1.1
12	Jun_26_2019	176.21	180.6	187.52	189.89	190.59	189.78	187.6(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-20	-54	116	8.79	58%	0.1	25.8	1.88%	0	0.8	78	0.9
13	Jun_25_2019	176.04	180.27	186.38	189.86	190.83	191.69	188.84(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	50	24	164	12.38	58%	0.11	24.8	1.87%	0	1	80	0.7
14	Jun_24_2019	175.84	179.97	185.35	189.8	189.83	191.4	192.57(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	86	60	49	197	10.6	61%	0.15	25.7	1.86%	0	1.5	87	1.3
15	Jun_21_2019	175.57	179.31	183.59	189.09	189.45	189.96	191.15(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	108	20	70	223	12.37	61%	0.14	22.8	1.86%	0	1.5	88	1.2

16	Jun_20_2019	175.32	178.72	181.81	187.13	188.65	188.27	189.31(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	70	10	32	185	10.72	61%	0.23	13.3	1.86%	0	1.4	60	1.8
17	Jun_19_2019	174.92	178.42	179.75	184.76	186.44	188.93	187.44(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	120	53	146	16.25	61%	0.25	3.8	1.88%	0	1.3	52	2.1
18	Jun_18_2019	174.48	178.2	177.83	182.29	183.85	189.04	188.52(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	195	220	206	161	28.9	57%	0.24	-3.3	1.88%	0	1.5	54	1.6
19	Jun_17_2019	174.06	177.83	175.69	180.21	180.18	183.96	189.04(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	166	150	187	104	22.47	57%	0.23	-11.4	1.93%	0	1.7	52	1.6
20	Jun_14_2019	173.66	177.54	173.14	177.36	178.02	178.67	181.33(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	40	92	10	12.6	53%	0.21	-26.6	1.89%	0	0.6	49	1.5

21	Jun_13_2019	173.29	177.75	172.59	175.77	176.62	176.4	177.49(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	5	-47	9.08	50%	0.2	-33.2	1.89%	0	-0	46	-3.7
22	Jun_12_2019	172.95	178.15	172.98	173.93	175.4	177.37	175.05(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	29	100	55	-50	13.67	50%	0.16	-41.8	1.88%	0	-0.4	39	1.1
23	Jun_11_2019	172.67	178.44	173.58	172.55	173.4	176.83	178.12(1.88%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	104	150	149	-32	11.98	50%	0.03	-53.6	1.87%	0	-0	42	1
24	Jun_10_2019	172.62	178.6	174.04	170.43	170.62	173.43	174.83(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	98	120	148	-53	11.14	48%	0.15	-69.9	1.86%	0	-0.5	41	1
25	Jun_7_2019	172.36	179.25	174.59	168.27	168.07	169.97	173.34(2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	19	80	64	-116	12.46	48%		-80.4	1.86%	0	-0.8	37	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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