Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 22, 2023

Trading Signals: ETSY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Dec. 22, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Etsy Inc.)
ETSY latest price $85.5850 (0.68%) ($85.5850 - $85.5850) on Fri. Dec. 22, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.91% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $85.5850(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ETSY advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ETSY advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ETSY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLC(69%)    TBT(58%)    EWI(57%)    EWP(52%)    EWY(51%)
Factors Impacting ETSY price   ETSY will decline at least -1.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-56%)    TIP(-46%)    BND(-43%)    VXX(-42%)    UUP(-65%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.455% (StdDev 2.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.23(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.5(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.85(4.56%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   40.9%
Market Cap   $75.864b

$. ETSY price fluctuates within 5.07% (three month std-dev: 2.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 49 Average positive next day return: 1.82%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.48%(43%) Sample size 49 Average positive next three day return: 3.88%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -3.34%(61%) Sample size 49 Average positive next weekly return: 5.77%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.56%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2023	70.95	81.85	84.5	85.23	85.45	85.3	85.59(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-0	23	66	0.77	67%	0.04	82.8	2.91%	0	0.9	55	1.4
2	Dec_21_2023	70.92	81.19	83.98	84.23	85.14	84.61	85.01(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10	-3	38	1.53	67%	-0.15	78.8	2.92%	-0.7	0.9	55	0.6
3	Dec_20_2023	71.03	80.54	83.41	83.89	84.03	85.6	84.21(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	140	2	43	2.45	67%	-0.2	70.2	2.92%	-1.4	0.8	65	0.3
4	Dec_19_2023	71.17	79.89	82.98	83.85	83.8	85.67	86.99(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	67	150	65	74	5.02	69%	-0.21	67.9	2.9%	1	1.5	66	0.7
5	Dec_18_2023	71.32	79.14	82.4	83.62	83.07	82.46	84.35(4.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-70	4	62	4.09	68%	-0.21	76.8	2.89%	1.3	1.1	67	0.8

6	Dec_15_2023	71.47	78.55	82.24	83.73	83.43	81.94	80.57(-3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-140	-41	70	4.5	66%	-0.22	87.8	2.86%	-1.2	0.4	65	0.8
7	Dec_14_2023	71.63	78.06	82.43	83.65	84.52	83.68	83.31(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-40	-6	113	5.38	70%	-0.18	91.5	2.83%	-0.6	1	73	1.6
8	Dec_13_2023	71.76	77.49	81.75	82.78	83.74	84.93	84.04(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	130	13	121	12.32	70%	-0.15	95.2	2.86%	-0.6	1.3	76	1.4
9	Dec_12_2023	71.87	76.71	81.11	81.88	82.46	85.36	85.81(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	93	270	73	152	2.85	70%	-0.15	92.8	2.85%	0.9	1.7	80	1.6
10	Dec_11_2023	71.98	75.59	80.07	81.05	80.89	82.55	84.91(5.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	85	140	64	149	4.72	67%	-0.17	84.1	2.85%	1.5	1.7	74	1.4

11	Dec_8_2023	72.1	74.52	78.97	80.67	80.07	79.56	80.19(1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-70	-5	125	2.64	65%	-0.18	79.6	2.81%	0.2	1	68	1.2
12	Dec_7_2023	72.23	73.63	78.18	81.09	80.77	79.23	78.94(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-150	-28	131	2.61	61%	-0.25	77.4	2.83%	-1.3	0.9	71	1
13	Dec_6_2023	72.41	72.9	77.48	80.51	81.61	80.58	79.57(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-50	-17	125	3.49	61%	-0.19	75.9	2.9%	-2.3	1.1	66	1.2
14	Dec_5_2023	72.55	72.16	76.63	80.08	80.75	82.32	81.63(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	160	16	143	3.35	61%	-0.15	76.7	2.88%	0.2	1.5	76	1.3
15	Dec_4_2023	72.66	71.22	75.65	78.85	79.7	82.65	83.01(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	119	290	97	184	3.98	61%	-0.14	74.6	2.88%	1.2	1.9	83	1.4

16	Dec_1_2023	72.76	70.29	74.55	77.02	77.81	79.17	82.29(8.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	107	150	83	177	4.27	61%	-0.15	75.4	2.9%	2.2	2.2	82	1.3
17	Nov_30_2023	72.87	69.23	73.27	74.94	75.71	76.75	76.05(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	130	26	156	2.72	57%	-0.22	70	2.71%	-0.3	1.4	80	1.4
18	Nov_29_2023	73.03	68.47	72.83	74	74.66	76.46	77.44(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	94	200	64	183	4.21	57%	-0.22	62.6	2.7%	1.3	1.8	75	1.3
19	Nov_28_2023	73.19	67.69	71.91	72.64	73.14	74.67	75.47(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	170	54	169	2.91	57%	-0.14	56.3	2.7%	1	1.7	71	1.5
20	Nov_27_2023	73.29	66.97	70.71	71.96	71.93	72.86	73.87(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	90	30	153	4.02	57%	-0.12	51.9	2.68%	1	1.5	72	1.3

21	Nov_24_2023	73.38	66.39	69.69	71.71	71.58	71.62	71.85(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	45	-0	13	142	0.89	55%	-0.31	50.9	2.66%	0	1.3	63	1.4
22	Nov_22_2023	73.61	65.91	68.75	71.36	71.78	71.01	71.39(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-60	-8	132	1.58	55%	-0.03	48	2.66%	0	1.4	68	1.2
23	Nov_21_2023	73.63	65.47	68.02	71.45	71.46	71.55	70.63(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	10	-17	147	2.22	55%	-0.2	45.8	2.65%	-1	1.3	69	1.3
24	Nov_20_2023	73.78	65.15	67.43	70.99	71.77	72.55	72.05(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	86	110	54	180	2.77	55%	-0.18	38.4	2.64%	0.4	1.9	67	1.4
25	Nov_17_2023	73.91	64.72	66.52	69.2	70.74	71.36	72.63(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	130	55	153	3.06	55%		24.1	2.65%	0.8	2.4	69	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD