Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 13, 2020

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $189.7400 (0.03%) ($189.2000 - $193.2400) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $189.7400(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(63%)    DIA(61%)    IWF(61%)    IWD(60%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-37%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $187.76(-1.04%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $190.25
5 Day Moving Average   $188.99(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $189.25(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $190.25(-0.27%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $68.304b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.27%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.21%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2020	177.93	190.25	189.25	188.99	189.05	189.66	189.74(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	18	7	0.86	62%	-0.11	-59.6	2.42%	0.6	-0.2	45	0
2	Jul_10_2020	178.13	190.33	188.74	189.45	188.97	188.72	189.69(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-20	-8	-7	0.8	62%	-0.12	-74.9	2.43%	0.8	-0.2	49	1.2
3	Jul_9_2020	178.35	190.31	188.74	189.83	190	188.43	187.81(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-60	-27	-23	1	62%	-0.15	-88.9	2.45%	-0.2	-0.8	37	0.8
4	Jul_8_2020	178.61	190.9	188.47	190.14	190.8	189.23	188.61(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-50	-53	-40	1.47	62%	-0.13	-76.7	2.45%	-1.5	-0.6	40	0.9
5	Jul_7_2020	178.84	191.47	188.98	190.15	191.2	191.56	189.12(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	30	-4	-23	1.67	62%	0.06	-70.9	2.45%	-1.8	-0.5	39	0.7

6	Jul_6_2020	178.74	192.2	189.26	189.46	190.38	192.37	192.02(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	46	90	61	-1	1.49	66%	-0.33	-60.2	2.45%	-0.1	-0	51	1.1
7	Jul_2_2020	179.34	192.8	189.05	187.88	188.5	190.85	191.61(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	51	100	71	-10	0.85	66%	-0.13	-54.2	2.5%	1.2	-0.2	50	0.8
8	Jul_1_2020	179.58	193.24	189.4	186.95	187.07	188.38	189.33(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	38	50	56	-15	0.83	66%	-0.12	-50	2.53%	1.1	-0.6	51	0.6
9	Jun_30_2020	179.79	193.91	189.93	186.63	186.2	186.15	188.68(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10	-7	-47	1.31	66%	-0.11	-44	2.61%	1.3	-0.8	37	0.3
10	Jun_29_2020	179.99	194.6	190.64	187.76	187.07	185.76	185.65(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-60	-40	-58	0.89	66%	-0.13	-28.7	2.62%	-0.3	-1.4	33	-0.2

11	Jun_26_2020	180.23	195.36	191.28	189.08	189.25	186.25	184.14(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-110	-57	-69	1.49	56%	-0.16	-8.7	2.77%	-0.9	-1.8	27	-0.9
12	Jun_25_2020	180.51	196.09	192.09	190.31	190.55	188.38	186.95(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-98	-80	-100	-92	2.11	61%	-0.08	12.3	2.79%	-1	-1.6	29	-0.3
13	Jun_24_2020	180.65	196.44	192.41	192.15	192.75	192.24	187.75(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10	-26	-62	1.82	67%	-0.07	34.7	2.89%	-1.8	-1.7	36	-0.7
14	Jun_23_2020	180.78	196.8	193.66	193.64	193.93	192.72	194.31(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-40	-15	-50	1.26	66%	-0.01	58.9	3.06%	0.3	-0.5	39	-0
15	Jun_22_2020	180.8	196.47	194.22	194.02	194.43	193.27	192.26(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-40	-41	-60	1.47	66%	-0.02	67.4	3.12%	-1.2	-0.8	37	-0.2

16	Jun_19_2020	180.83	195.89	195.4	193.86	195.61	195.13	190.3(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	10	6	-39	2.42	63%	-0.05	60.5	3.16%	-1.9	-0.8	39	-0.8
17	Jun_18_2020	180.92	195.39	196.86	194.07	194.16	195.58	196.15(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	50	6	-32	0.91	63%	-0.01	62.8	3.13%	-0.3	0.1	50	-0.7
18	Jun_17_2020	180.94	194.65	197.32	192.68	193.11	196.1	195.19(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	41	120	58	-12	1.07	63%	-0.01	62.9	3.13%	0.4	0.1	56	-0.9
19	Jun_16_2020	180.96	193.72	198.1	193.73	192.34	192.74	196.2(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	-10	28	-11	0.8	52%	-0.01	63	3.15%	1.1	0.3	55	-1
20	Jun_15_2020	180.97	192.88	198.73	194.63	193.47	190.13	191.44(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-140	-60	-27	0.82	52%	-0.08	67.1	3.58%	0.1	-0.1	60	-1.3

21	Jun_12_2020	181.11	191.91	199.71	197.31	196.65	191.94	191.38(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-180	-98	-14	1.86	52%	-0.1	66.3	3.76%	-0.8	-0	68	-1.4
22	Jun_11_2020	181.29	190.69	200.45	200.07	199.85	196.81	189.2(-5.6%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-59	-110	-85	18	1.25	48%	-0.13	62.8	3.93%	-2.1	-0.1	67	-2.6
23	Jun_10_2020	181.53	189.52	200.99	202.46	202.68	201.35	200.43(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-40	-23	63	0.79	53%	-0.1	60.3	3.99%	-0.8	0.8	78	0.9
24	Jun_9_2020	181.71	187.96	200.38	203.02	202.99	202.89	200.72(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-0	-18	83	1.06	50%	0.11	60.2	4.04%	-1.9	0.9	81	1
25	Jun_8_2020	181.51	186.43	199.08	203.41	203.44	204.02	204.84(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	20	17	105	1.21	50%		59.6	4.14%	0.6	1.3	79	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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