Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $31.9300 (-0.28%) ($31.8100 - $32.2100) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Downtrend Reversal
Trend Narrative   Uptrend Consolidation
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.45 (1.4% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 2.36%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.8%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   0.14%
Latest Price   $31.9300(-0.28%)
Forecasted Low Price   31.48(-1.4%)
Forecasted High Price   32.12(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement   Lower(-1.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   1.4% ((32.38))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   2.9%
Hourly Trend -0.9% [$32.18(-0.28), $32.38(-0.2)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   4
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   EEM declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM decline at-0.5% a week (93% probability)
VWO(98%)    FXI(90%)    EWY(89%)    SPY(85%)    VGK(84%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will advance at least -0% in a week (27% probabilities).
TLT(-36%)    SHY(-29%)    TIP(-15%)    XLB(-5%)    XBI(-5%)
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 0

Relative Volatility -2.2 (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Next Hour Price   $31.93(0%)
5 Day Moving Average   $32.39(-1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.46(-1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.21(-0.87%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 2.36% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. EEM price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060924

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Aug_24_2006	32.21 (0.7%)	32.46 (0.5%)	32.39 (-0.7%)	32.38	32.18(0%)	31.93(-0.28%)	31.81-32.21	-0.6(-0.6)	0	-0.8%	-0.1%	0%	0.14%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.8%)	4	51	0.6	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	32(0.23%)	32.02-31.96	19.82	-3.5%-16.9%
2	Aug_23_2006	32.2 (0.9%)	32.46 (0.8%)	32.63 (-0.6%)	32.58	32.46(0%)	32.02(-1.81%)	31.98-32.68	-0.4(-0.4)	0	-0.5%	0%	0%	0.24%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.4%)	5	54	0.6	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	32.09(0.22%)	32.09-32.08	16.61	-3.3%-17.2%
3	Aug_22_2006	32.17 (0.9%)	32.5 (1%)	32.83 (-0.1%)	32.76	32.57(0%)	32.61(-0.03%)	32.41-32.78	0.7(0.8)	0	-0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.3%	Correction	Range(-0.1%)	6	62	0.7	0	0	Uptrend	32.68(0.21%)	32.53-32.74	13.21	-1.5%-19.4%
4	Aug_21_2006	32.11 (1.1%)	32.42 (1%)	32.86 (0.4%)	32.76	32.69(0%)	32.62(-0.52%)	32.43-32.62	0.8(1)	0	-0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.34%	Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	6	68	0.7	0	0	Growing Uptrend	32.73(0.35%)	32.54-32.78	8.21	-1.5%-19.4%
5	Aug_18_2006	32.04 (0.9%)	32.34 (0.7%)	32.72 (0.6%)	32.86	32.95(0%)	32.79(-0.94%)	32.52-33.03	1(1.1)	0	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.32%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1%)	7	59	0.9	0	0	Growing Uptrend	32.93(0.42%)	32.65-33	15.37	-0.9%-20%

6	Aug_17_2006	31.91 (0.9%)	32.25 (0.4%)	32.53 (0.6%)	32.67	33.03(0%)	33.1(0.15%)	32.9-33.33	1.5(1.7)	0	0.7%	0.4%	0%	0.26%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	7	58	0.9	0	0	Uptrend	33.16(0.19%)	32.88-33.28	14.2	0%-21.2%
7	Aug_16_2006	31.78 (0.9%)	32.12 (0.4%)	32.35 (0.7%)	32.39	32.78(0%)	33.05(0.98%)	32.83-33.14	1.8(1.9)	0	1.1%	0.3%	0%	0.22%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	7	65	0.8	0	0	Uptrend	33.07(0.07%)	32.81-33.19	16.95	-3.1%-21%
8	Aug_15_2006	31.69 (0.8%)	32 (0.3%)	32.12 (0.6%)	32.14	32.31(0%)	32.73(2.44%)	32.28-32.75	1.3(1.4)	0	0.7%	0.4%	0%	0.2%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	6	67	0.9	0	0	Growing Uptrend	32.81(0.25%)	32.54-32.88	15.63	-4%-19.8%
9	Aug_14_2006	31.54 (0.5%)	32 (0.1%)	31.93 (0.1%)	32.05	32.01(0%)	31.95(0.41%)	31.84-32.36	0.5(0.5)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	5	59	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	31.99(0.11%)	31.86-32.04	13.23	-6.3%-16.9%
10	Aug_11_2006	31.41 (0.4%)	31.88 (0.2%)	31.89 (-0.1%)	32.02	31.97(0%)	31.82(-1.21%)	31.78-32.11	0.5(0.5)	0	-0.2%	-0%	0%	0.14%	N/A	Range(0.4%)	6	59	1.2	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	31.7(-0.39%)	31.64-31.88	10.01	-10.9%-16.5%

11	Aug_10_2006	31.31 (0.3%)	31.93 (0.4%)	31.92 (0.2%)	32.01	32.09(0%)	32.21(1%)	31.79-32.21	0.9(0.9)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.22%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	7	76	1.2	0	0	Uptrend	32.3(0.27%)	32.04-32.41	16.81	-12.1%-17.9%
12	Aug_9_2006	31.18 (0.2%)	31.88 (0.5%)	31.86 (-0%)	32.05	32.07(0%)	31.89(0.38%)	31.86-32.5	0.7(0.7)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	7	65	1.2	0	0	Uptrend	31.98(0.29%)	31.74-32.08	16.47	-13.9%-16.7%
13	Aug_8_2006	31.12 (0.2%)	31.82 (0.5%)	31.87 (0.2%)	31.96	31.93(0%)	31.77(0%)	31.75-32.38	0.7(0.7)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.24%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	7	53	1.2	0	0	Uptrend	31.86(0.29%)	31.63-31.96	21.19	-14.2%-16.3%
14	Aug_7_2006	31.1 (0.2%)	31.78 (0.6%)	31.82 (-0.2%)	31.95	32.03(0%)	31.77(-0.63%)	31.67-32.19	0.7(0.7)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.3%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	8	66	1.2	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	31.59(-0.57%)	31.49-31.9	10.21	-14.2%-16.3%
15	Aug_4_2006	31.07 (0.2%)	31.74 (0.9%)	31.87 (-0.2%)	31.9	31.98(0%)	31.97(0.22%)	31.78-32.59	0.8(1)	0	0.2%	0.5%	0%	0.4%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	7	69	1.2	0	0	Uptrend	32.12(0.48%)	31.83-32.25	13.25	-13.7%-17%

16	Aug_3_2006	31.01 (0.2%)	31.55 (1%)	31.94 (0.1%)	31.85	31.87(0%)	31.9(-0.09%)	31.57-32.01	0.9(1)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.46%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	7	65	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	32.08(0.56%)	31.74-32.22	20.23	-13.9%-16.8%
17	Aug_2_2006	30.99 (0.3%)	31.42 (1.2%)	31.9 (0.4%)	31.92	31.81(0%)	31.93(1.3%)	31.76-32.2	1(1.1)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.5%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	7	65	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	32.13(0.62%)	31.75-32.29	11.77	-13.8%-16.9%
18	Aug_1_2006	30.94 (0.4%)	31.36 (1.2%)	31.76 (0.1%)	31.86	31.84(0%)	31.52(-1.59%)	31.37-31.92	0.5(0.7)	0	-0.2%	0.4%	0%	0.52%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(1%)	8	54	1.1	0	0	Uptrend Dip	32.05(1.69%)	31.34-32.23	12.91	-14.9%-15.4%
19	Jul_31_2006	30.95 (0.5%)	31.18 (1%)	31.73 (0.5%)	31.73	32.03(0%)	32.03(-0.96%)	31.82-32.15	1(1.2)	0	0.5%	0.7%	0%	0.48%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	8	52	1.1	0	0	Growing Uptrend	32.29(0.81%)	31.85-32.4	12.06	-13.5%-17.2%
20	Jul_28_2006	30.91 (0.6%)	30.91 (0.7%)	31.58 (1.5%)	31.54	31.89(0%)	32.34(2.15%)	31.7-32.42	1.4(1.7)	0	1.3%	0.7%	0%	0.38%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2%)	7	54	1.1	0	0	Uptrend	32.49(0.45%)	32.09-32.65	19.53	-12.7%-18.4%

21	Jul_27_2006	30.85 (0.6%)	30.64 (0.3%)	31.1 (0.8%)	31.26	31.44(0%)	31.66(1.38%)	31.45-32.18	0.8(1)	0	0.9%	0.6%	0%	0.18%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	6	53	1	0	0	Uptrend	31.74(0.25%)	31.54-31.82	26.69	-14.5%-15.9%
22	Jul_26_2006	30.74 (0.5%)	30.42 (-0.1%)	30.87 (-0.1%)	30.9	31.19(0%)	31.23(-0.45%)	30.93-31.36	0.5(0.6)	0	0.2%	0.3%	0%	0.04%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	5	47	1.1	0	0	N/A	31.15(-0.25%)	30.98-31.29	21.14	-15.7%-14.3%
23	Jul_25_2006	30.62 (0.4%)	30.36 (-0.1%)	30.91 (1.2%)	30.85	31.09(0%)	31.37(0.29%)	30.94-31.55	0.8(0.8)	0	1.1%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.2%)	4	52	1.2	0	0	N/A	31.25(-0.37%)	30.94-31.51	24.09	-15.3%-14.8%
24	Jul_24_2006	30.51 (0.4%)	30.34 (-0.4%)	30.56 (1.4%)	30.69	30.62(0%)	31.28(4.48%)	30.42-31.42	0.8(0.8)	0	0.7%	0.1%	0%	-0.1%	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.8%)	3	46	1.2	0	0	N/A	31.08(-0.64%)	30.83-31.28	29.59	-15.5%-14.5%
25	Jul_21_2006	30.41 (0.2%)	30.32 (-0.6%)	30.14 (0.2%)	30.32	30.61(0%)	29.94(-1.93%)	29.8-30.77	-0.4(-0.5)	0	%	-0.2%	0%	-0.24%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0.8%)	3	44	1.3	0	0	Downtrend	29.86(-0.27%)	29.79-30.01	17.35	-19.1%-9.6%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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