| DLR latest price $47.5400 (1.08%) ($46.7800 - $47.7400) on Thu. Nov. 21, 2013. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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Trend Pattern | Growing Downtrend |
Trend Narrative | N/A |
Average Daily Price Swing | $4.2 (8.61% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 2.56% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | -0.1% (StdDev 2.56%) |
Daily Moving Force | -0.2% |
Rebound Strength | None(0%) |
Trend | -0.24% |
Latest Price | $47.5400(1.08%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 47.11(-0.9%) |
Forecasted High Price | 47.83(0.6%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Range(-0.3%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound | 0.1% ((47.6)) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 0.2% |
Hourly Trend | -0.5% [$47.25(-0.23), $47.6(-0.04)] |
Complacency | 5 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR advance at 0% a week (48% probability) XLU(53%) XLP(52%) SPY(48%) XLK(45%) JNK(42%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (7% probabilities). TLT(-8%) EDOC(-8%) VT(-6%) XLRE(-5%) TBT(-4%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Not Available |
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Valuation to SPY | -2 |
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Relative Volatility | 0.6 (options are expensive) |
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Market Trend Strength | -0.1% (StdDev 2.56%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | 0.9% |
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