| DLR latest price $55.8600 (0.74%) ($55.7700 - $56.3300) on Mon. Mar. 21, 2011. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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Trend Pattern | Downtrend Consolidation |
Trend Narrative | After Bottom |
Average Daily Price Swing | $0.97 (1.71% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 1.27% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | -0.2% (StdDev 1.27%) |
Daily Moving Force | 0.1% |
Rebound Strength | None(0%) |
Trend | -0.24% |
Latest Price | $55.8600(0.74%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 55.64(-0.4%) |
Forecasted High Price | 56.03(0.3%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Range(-0.1%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound | 0.1% ((55.9)) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 1% |
Hourly Trend | -0.1% [$55.78(-0.06), $55.9(0.16)] |
Complacency | 2 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR advance at 0% a week (49% probability) XLU(52%) XLP(51%) SPY(50%) XLK(45%) JNK(44%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (8% probabilities). TLT(-12%) XRT(-5%) XLC(-5%) IVW(-4%) CNCR(-4%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Not Available |
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Valuation to SPY | 0.2 |
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Relative Volatility | -0.7 (options are cheap) |
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Market Trend Strength | -0.2% (StdDev 1.27%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | -0.1% |
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