| DLR latest price $59.8500 (-0.15%) ($59.5000 - $60.4500) on Wed. May. 12, 2010. |
|
|
| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
| |
Trend Pattern | Growing Uptrend Downtrend Pop |
Trend Narrative | N/A |
Average Daily Price Swing | $1.79 (3.08% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 1.77% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | 0.3% (StdDev 1.77%) |
Daily Moving Force | 0.9% |
Correction Force | Weak (0%) |
Trend | -0.02% |
Trend Strength | 1.1% |
RSI | 55 |
Momentum | 1.7 |
Latest Price | $59.8500(-0.15%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 59.61(-0.4%) |
Forecasted High Price | 60.87(1.7%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Range(-0.3%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction | 1.9% (58.72) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 2.8% |
Hourly Trend | 0.8% [$59.79(0.46), $58.72(0.84)] |
Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
Complacency | 5 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR advance at 0% a week (49% probability) XLU(52%) XLP(51%) SPY(50%) XLK(46%) XLY(46%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will decline at least -1.6% in a week (-108% probabilities). TLT(-14%) TIP(-1%) SHY(3%) GLD(6%) IGOV(9%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Not Available |
| |
Valuation to SPY | 1.2 |
| |
Relative Volatility | 1.1 (options are expensive) |
| |
Market Trend Strength | -1.3% (StdDev 1.77%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | 0% |
| |
|
|