| DLR latest price $38.8200 (12.03%) ($35.0900 - $38.9500) on Thu. Apr. 9, 2009. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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Trend Pattern | Growing Uptrend |
Trend Narrative | Overbought |
Average Daily Price Swing | $2.33 (6.92% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 5.94% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | 1.4% (StdDev 5.94%) |
Daily Moving Force | 1.8% |
Correction Force | Weak (0%) |
Trend | 1.2% |
Latest Price | $38.8200(12.03%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 38.24(-1.5%) |
Forecasted High Price | 40.64(4.7%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Higher(3.4%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction | 7.8% (36.01) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 13.7% |
Hourly Trend | 2.8% [$35.78(1.01), $36.01(0.02)] |
Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
Complacency | 6 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR advance at 0.2% a week (52% probability) SPY(56%) XLY(53%) IWM(52%) EEM(50%) QQQ(50%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (16% probabilities). EDOC(-23%) TLT(-16%) MCHI(-8%) INDA(-8%) XLRE(-4%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | A pullback is expected soon. |
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Valuation to SPY | 0.4 |
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Relative Volatility | 0.6 (options are expensive) |
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Market Trend Strength | 1.6% (StdDev 5.94%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | 10.6% |
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