| DLR latest price $30.5500 (-6.75%) ($28.4200 - $34.0800) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2008. |
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| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
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Trend Pattern | Growing Downtrend |
Trend Narrative | Downtrend |
Average Daily Price Swing | $5 (12.89% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 5% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | -2% (StdDev 5%) |
Daily Moving Force | -3.7% |
Rebound Strength | None(0%) |
Trend | -1.38% |
Latest Price | $30.5500(-6.75%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 29.45(-3.6%) |
Forecasted High Price | 30.95(1.3%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Range(-2.3%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound | 10.2% ((33.66)) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 20% |
Hourly Trend | -5.1% [$32.44(-1.65), $33.66(-0.78)] |
Complacency | 4 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR declines -6.8% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR decline at-0.3% a week (56% probability) IWM(58%) XLY(58%) SPY(57%) QQQ(53%) EEM(52%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (13% probabilities). TLT(-19%) XLC(-11%) SHY(-11%) TIP(-7%) VXX(-5%) |
Trading Plan | Not Available |
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Valuation to SPY | -1.2 |
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Relative Volatility | 1.7 (options are expensive) |
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Market Trend Strength | -2.3% (StdDev 5%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | -7.9% |
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