Trading Signals: DLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLR: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 6, 2007

Trading Signals: DLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 29, 2004 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Digital Realty Trust Inc.)
DLR latest price $35.3100 (3.37%) ($33.0600 - $35.4600) on Mon. Aug. 6, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Rebound
Trend Narrative   Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing   $2.18 (6.02% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.2% (StdDev 1.9%)
Daily Moving Force   0.9%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Trend   -0.8%
Latest Price   $35.3100(3.37%)
Forecasted Low Price   35.1(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   35.73(1.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.7%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   -1.1%
Hourly Trend 1% [$34.46(0.36), $33.95(0.26)]
Complacency   2
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   DLR advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLR declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLR decline at-0.1% a week (57% probability)
IWM(59%)    SPY(58%)    XLY(58%)    QQQ(54%)    EEM(53%)
Factors Impacting DLR price   DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (37% probabilities).
EDOC(-57%)    TLT(-19%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-11%)    SILJ(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Buy the rebound

Valuation to SPY -2.1

Relative Volatility 1.5 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Next Hour Price   $35.31(0%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.71(-13.03%)
Resistance Level   $36.22
5 Day Moving Average   $34.1(3.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.58(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.22(-2.51%)
To recent high   -17%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $9.477b

Option Sentiment

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust, which provides data center, colocation and interconnection solutions. The company was founded on March 9, 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DLR price fluctuates within 6.02% (three month std-dev: 1.9% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DLR price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070906

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Aug_6_2007	36.22 (-0.6%)	34.58 (-0.7%)	34.1 (1%)	33.95	34.46(0%)	35.31(3.37%)	33.06-35.46	-0.4(-0.4)	0	0.9%	-0.2%	0%	-0.8%	Rebound	Range(0.7%)	2	35	3.2	0	0	Downtrend Consolidation	34.56(-2.11%)	35.74-34.18	0.71	-17%-6.5%
2	Aug_3_2007	36.45 (-0.6%)	34.57 (-0.9%)	33.77 (0%)	33.69	34.1(0%)	34.16(-1.27%)	33.64-34.59	-0.9(-1)	0	1.1%	-0.8%	0%	-0.98%	Rebound	Range(0.9%)	1	27	3.4	0	0	Downtrend	32.68(-4.33%)	31.89-34.54	0.9	-19.7%-3%
3	Aug_2_2007	36.76 (-0.6%)	34.82 (-1%)	33.76 (-0.3%)	33.6	33.44(0%)	34.6(3.9%)	33.3-34.69	-0.8(-0.9)	0	0.1%	-0.8%	0%	-1.08%	Downtrend Pop	Range(-0.7%)	0	25	3.4	0	0	Downtrend	32.94(-4.8%)	32.09-34.93	0.8	-18.6%-4.4%
4	Aug_1_2007	37.01 (-0.5%)	35.12 (-1%)	33.87 (-1.7%)	33.68	33.28(0%)	33.3(0.45%)	32.04-33.37	-1.4(-1.6)	0	-1.6%	-1.1%	0%	-1.1%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2.7%)	0	16	3.5	0	0	Downtrend	31.64(-4.99%)	30.7-33.82	1.57	-21.7%-0.5%
5	Jul_31_2007	37.33 (-0.5%)	35.56 (-1%)	34.44 (-1.9%)	34.27	33.75(0%)	33.15(-1.4%)	33.1-34.36	-1.7(-1.9)	0	-1.5%	-1.3%	0%	-1%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2.1%)	0	21	3.2	0	0	Growing Downtrend	31.95(-3.63%)	30.93-33.78	1.34	-22%-0%

6	Jul_30_2007	37.64 (-0.4%)	36.07 (-1%)	35.11 (-1%)	34.98	34.07(0%)	33.62(-1.52%)	33.27-34.35	-1.8(-2.1)	0	-1.7%	-1.1%	0%	-0.84%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2%)	0	25	2.9	0	0	Downtrend	32.64(-2.92%)	31.96-34.23	0.95	-20.9%-0%
7	Jul_27_2007	37.87 (-0.4%)	36.56 (-1.1%)	35.47 (-1.5%)	35.47	34.78(0%)	34.14(-2.87%)	33.73-35.05	-1.9(-2.2)	0	-2.3%	-1.2%	0%	-0.82%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-2.1%)	1	22	2.5	0	0	Growing Downtrend	33.41(-2.13%)	32.74-34.68	1.87	-19.7%-0%
8	Jul_26_2007	38.11 (-0.3%)	37.1 (-1.2%)	36 (-1.5%)	35.91	35.89(0%)	35.15(-2.74%)	34.68-35.9	-1.7(-2)	0	-1.1%	-1%	0%	-0.72%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.7%)	2	23	2.2	0	0	Growing Downtrend	34.54(-1.73%)	33.99-35.59	0.96	-17.3%-0%
9	Jul_25_2007	38.29 (-0.3%)	37.53 (-1.1%)	36.54 (-0.9%)	36.38	36.16(0%)	36.14(-1.04%)	35.72-37.1	-1.5(-1.6)	0	-0.2%	-0.6%	0%	-0.6%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.3%)	2	31	2	0	0	Downtrend	35.64(-1.39%)	35.27-36.48	1.15	-15%-2%
10	Jul_24_2007	38.38 (-0.2%)	37.8 (-1.1%)	36.87 (-0.9%)	36.77	35.93(0%)	36.52(3.11%)	34.65-37.08	-1.4(-1.5)	0	-1.5%	-0.4%	0%	-0.56%	Downtrend Pop	Lower(-1.9%)	2	36	1.8	0	0	Downtrend	36.09(-1.18%)	35.77-36.84	1.94	-14.1%-3.1%

11	Jul_23_2007	38.42 (-0.3%)	38.01 (-1.1%)	37.2 (-1.6%)	37.22	36.61(0%)	35.42(-3.67%)	35.02-36.98	-2.2(-2.5)	0	-2.2%	-1%	1.3%	-0.52%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	2	30	1.8	0	0	Growing Downtrend	35.09(-0.94%)	34.71-35.88	1.2	-16.7%-0%
12	Jul_20_2007	38.57 (-0.2%)	38.5 (-0.8%)	37.82 (-1.4%)	37.85	37.61(0%)	36.77(-2.88%)	36.23-37.87	-1.6(-1.9)	0	-0.9%	-0.7%	0%	-0.32%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.2%)	3	48	1.5	0	0	Growing Downtrend	36.58(-0.53%)	36.35-37.05	0.68	-13.5%-0%
13	Jul_19_2007	38.57 (-0.2%)	38.87 (-0.3%)	38.36 (-0.8%)	38.3	37.82(0%)	37.86(0.26%)	37.81-38.51	-0.7(-0.8)	0	-0.8%	-0.4%	0%	-0.14%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.2%)	4	48	1.5	0	0	Downtrend	37.77(-0.24%)	37.68-37.97	0.45	-11%-2%
14	Jul_18_2007	38.62 (-0.2%)	39.06 (-0%)	38.68 (-0.5%)	38.62	38.09(0%)	37.76(-1.07%)	36.87-37.94	-0.8(-0.9)	0	-1.3%	-0.3%	0%	-0.04%	N/A	Lower(-1.1%)	5	48	1.5	0	0	Range Bound	37.83(0.19%)	38.03-37.67	0.56	-11.2%-1.8%
15	Jul_17_2007	38.68 (-0.2%)	39.23 (0.3%)	38.88 (-0.2%)	39.03	38.79(0%)	38.17(-0.91%)	38.13-39.44	-0.5(-0.6)	0	-0.5%	-0.2%	0%	0.06%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.2%)	6	56	1.4	0	0	N/A	38.35(0.46%)	38.24-38.44	0.35	-10.2%-2.9%

16	Jul_16_2007	38.73 (-0.2%)	39.34 (0.5%)	38.95 (-0.8%)	38.99	39.14(0%)	38.52(-2.43%)	38.52-39.65	-0.2(-0.2)	0	-0.4%	0%	0%	0.14%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(0.8%)	7	61	1.4	0	0	N/A	38.62(0.27%)	38.59-38.65	0.42	-9.4%-3.8%
17	Jul_13_2007	38.73 (-0.1%)	39.29 (0.7%)	39.28 (-0.5%)	39.05	39.27(0%)	39.48(0.08%)	38.85-39.48	0.7(0.7)	0	0.3%	0.2%	0%	0.22%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.5%)	7	60	1.5	0	0	N/A	39.44(-0.09%)	39.05-39.77	0.41	-7.1%-6.4%
18	Jul_12_2007	38.73 (-0%)	39.19 (0.9%)	39.47 (-0.2%)	39.28	38.84(0%)	39.45(1.73%)	38.77-39.56	0.6(0.7)	0	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	0.3%	Correction	Range(0.1%)	7	62	1.5	0	0	N/A	39.52(0.19%)	39.09-39.88	0.43	-7.2%-6.3%
19	Jul_11_2007	38.79 (-0.1%)	39.1 (1%)	39.53 (-0.3%)	39.46	38.82(0%)	38.78(0.67%)	37.91-38.78	-0.1(-0)	0	-1.5%	0.2%	0%	0.34%	Confirmed Correction	Lower(-1.3%)	8	57	1.5	0	0	N/A	39.09(0.8%)	38.85-39.28	0.44	-8.8%-4.5%
20	Jul_10_2007	38.82 (-0.1%)	39 (1%)	39.64 (-0.3%)	39.8	39.73(0%)	38.52(-4.06%)	38.44-40	-0.4(-0.3)	0	-0.6%	0.2%	0%	0.32%	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(1.6%)	8	48	1.6	0	0	N/A	38.89(0.97%)	38.74-39.03	0.43	-9.4%-3.8%

21	Jul_9_2007	38.89 (-0.1%)	38.88 (0.9%)	39.77 (1.3%)	39.88	40.1(0%)	40.15(-0.72%)	39.67-40.62	1.1(1.3)	0	0.9%	0.4%	0%	0.3%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	8	56	1.7	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	40.48(0.82%)	40.2-40.67	0.31	-5.6%-8.2%
22	Jul_6_2007	38.88 (-0.3%)	38.65 (0.4%)	39.27 (1%)	39.45	39.87(0%)	40.44(1.68%)	39.02-40.54	1.3(1.5)	0	0.8%	0.6%	0%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	7	50	1.7	0	0	Uptrend Reversal	40.78(0.83%)	40.49-40.97	0.41	-4.9%-9%
23	Jul_5_2007	38.83 (-0.4%)	38.34 (0%)	38.88 (0.7%)	39.01	39.67(0%)	39.77(1.17%)	39.54-40.31	0.8(1)	0	1.2%	0.4%	0%	-0.06%	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.6%)	6	50	1.6	0	0	Rebound	39.34(-1.08%)	39.72-39.18	0.91	-6.5%-7.2%
24	Jul_3_2007	38.86 (-0.5%)	38.13 (-0.3%)	38.62 (0.9%)	38.72	39.02(0%)	39.31(0.38%)	39.15-39.99	0.4(0.4)	0	1.4%	0.1%	0%	-0.2%	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.5%)	5	45	1.8	0	0	Rebound	39.02(-0.74%)	39.1-38.99	0.31	-7.5%-6%
25	Jul_2_2007	38.92 (-0.4%)	38.06 (-0.5%)	38.28 (1.1%)	38.28	38.35(0%)	39.16(3.93%)	37.85-39.22	0.2(0.2)	0	0.3%	0%	0%	-0.28%	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.3%)	4	48	2	0	0	After Bottom	38.87(-0.74%)	38.63-39.07	0.64	-7.9%-5.6%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

Click to see actual return for next trading day.