Trading Signals: DLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DLR: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: DLR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Oct. 29, 2004 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Digital Realty Trust Inc.)
DLR latest price $28.6500 (1.96%) ($27.9000 - $31.0300) on Fri. Aug. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Overbought
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.98 (3.69% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.9% (StdDev 1.66%)
Daily Moving Force   1.7%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.66%
Latest Price   $28.6500(1.96%)
Forecasted Low Price   28.54(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price   29.51(3%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(2.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   2.2% (28.03)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   6%
Hourly Trend 2% [$28.45(0.56), $28.03(0.46)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   8
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   DLR advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DLR advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DLR advance at 0% a week (56% probability)
IWM(58%)    SPY(57%)    XLY(57%)    QQQ(53%)    EEM(52%)
Factors Impacting DLR price   DLR will advance at least -0% in a week (14% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-11%)    DRIV(-8%)    IDRV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   A pullback is expected soon.

Valuation to SPY -2

Relative Volatility 2.8 (options are extremely expensive)

Market Trend Strength   0.9% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Next Hour Price   $28.65(0%)
Support Level   $26.55
5 Day Moving Average   $27.92(2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.23(5.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.55(7.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.2%
Market Cap   $7.69b

Option Sentiment

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust, which provides data center, colocation and interconnection solutions. The company was founded on March 9, 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DLR price fluctuates within 3.69% (three month std-dev: 1.66% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DLR price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060904

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Aug_4_2006	26.55 (0.7%)	27.23 (1%)	27.92 (1.1%)	28.03	28.45(0%)	28.65(1.96%)	27.9-31.03	1.9(2.1)	0	1.7%	0.9%	0%	0.66%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.6%)	8	79	2.2	0	0	Overbought	28.06(-2.07%)	27.06-29.55	0.32	0%-25.2%
2	Aug_3_2006	26.39 (0.8%)	26.96 (1%)	27.63 (1.3%)	27.57	27.89(0%)	28.1(0.32%)	27.45-28.25	1.8(2)	0	1.1%	0.7%	0%	0.6%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	8	77	2	0	0	Breakout	28.51(1.47%)	27.78-28.82	0.07	0%-22.8%
3	Aug_2_2006	26.26 (0.8%)	26.75 (1%)	27.28 (1.2%)	27.28	27.6(0%)	28.01(1.74%)	27.56-28.2	2.1(2.3)	0	1.2%	0.5%	-0.5%	0.54%	Growing Uptrend	Range(-0.5%)	8	77	1.8	0	0	Overbought	27.46(-1.97%)	26.71-28.58	0.12	0%-22.4%
4	Aug_1_2006	26.14 (0.9%)	26.62 (1%)	26.96 (0.9%)	26.94	27.25(0%)	27.53(0.73%)	26.83-27.76	1.9(2.1)	0	1%	0.5%	0%	0.5%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	8	67	1.5	0	0	Breakout	27.77(0.86%)	27.27-27.98	0.17	-0.9%-20.3%
5	Jul_31_2006	26.01 (0.8%)	26.49 (1%)	26.72 (1.1%)	26.68	26.96(0%)	27.33(0.48%)	26.71-27.38	1.8(2.1)	0	1.1%	0.7%	0%	0.46%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	8	68	1.5	0	0	Breakout	27.54(0.76%)	27.1-27.73	0.12	-1.6%-19.4%

6	Jul_28_2006	25.88 (0.7%)	26.29 (0.8%)	26.43 (0.9%)	26.42	26.63(0%)	27.2(3.26%)	26.34-27.2	1.9(2.2)	0	0.8%	0.6%	0%	0.36%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	7	67	1.4	0	0	Breakout	27.35(0.56%)	26.96-27.52	0.15	-3.5%-18.8%
7	Jul_27_2006	25.75 (0.7%)	26.11 (0.6%)	26.19 (0.2%)	26.23	26.4(0%)	26.34(-0.23%)	26.25-26.9	0.9(1.1)	0	0.6%	0.4%	0%	0.28%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	6	61	1.4	0	0	Growing Uptrend	26.48(0.53%)	26.24-26.54	0.1	-6.6%-15.1%
8	Jul_26_2006	25.68 (0.7%)	26.01 (0.5%)	26.14 (-0.4%)	26.11	26.2(0%)	26.4(0.3%)	25.93-26.7	1.1(1.2)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.24%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	5	58	1.4	0	0	Uptrend	26.48(0.32%)	26.27-26.58	0.16	-6.4%-15.3%
9	Jul_25_2006	25.59 (0.8%)	25.94 (0.5%)	26.24 (0.1%)	26.18	26.06(0%)	26.32(1.7%)	25.84-26.4	1.1(1.2)	0	-0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.28%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	4	56	1.4	0	0	Uptrend	26.43(0.42%)	26.18-26.54	0.38	-8.3%-15%
10	Jul_24_2006	25.5 (0.8%)	25.86 (0.6%)	26.22 (0.4%)	26.33	26.01(0%)	25.88(-0.46%)	25.75-26.37	0.5(0.6)	0	-0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.32%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	4	63	1.5	0	0	Uptrend	26.04(0.6%)	25.82-26.13	0.22	-10.4%-13.1%

11	Jul_21_2006	25.43 (0.7%)	25.83 (0.6%)	26.12 (0.5%)	26.27	26.3(0%)	26(-0.31%)	25.76-26.17	0.8(0.9)	0	-0.4%	0.2%	0%	0.32%	Uptrend Correction	Range(-0%)	5	66	1.6	0	0	Uptrend	26.18(0.68%)	25.9-26.29	0.11	-10.9%-13.6%
12	Jul_20_2006	25.36 (0.7%)	25.78 (0.6%)	26 (0.6%)	26.11	26.64(0%)	26.08(-3.16%)	26.01-27.32	1(1.1)	0	1.2%	0.2%	0%	0.34%	Uptrend Dip	Higher(3%)	5	66	1.6	0	0	After Top	26.15(0.26%)	25.67-26.54	0.08	-11%-13.9%
13	Jul_19_2006	25.28 (0.8%)	25.75 (0.6%)	25.85 (0.9%)	25.8	26.23(0%)	26.93(2.67%)	26.35-27.13	2.3(2.5)	0	1.8%	0.5%	-1.4%	0.34%	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-2.1%)	5	77	1.6	0	0	Breakout	27.08(0.55%)	26.62-27.28	0.18	-8.1%-17.6%
14	Jul_18_2006	25.13 (0.8%)	25.62 (0.7%)	25.61 (0.6%)	25.51	25.57(0%)	26.23(3.35%)	25.24-26.38	1.7(1.9)	0	0.6%	0.5%	0%	0.34%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	5	75	1.5	0	0	Uptrend	26.38(0.57%)	26.04-26.53	0.22	-10.5%-14.6%
15	Jul_17_2006	25.05 (0.9%)	25.49 (0.7%)	25.47 (-0.1%)	25.42	25.38(0%)	25.38(0.04%)	25.21-25.58	0.5(0.6)	0	-0.2%	0.2%	0%	0.32%	Correction	Range(0%)	4	67	1.3	0	0	Uptrend	25.51(0.52%)	25.33-25.59	0.34	-13.4%-10.9%

16	Jul_14_2006	25.01 (1%)	25.43 (0.8%)	25.5 (-0.1%)	25.45	25.45(0%)	25.37(0.2%)	25.24-25.62	0.5(0.7)	0	-0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.36%	Correction	Range(0.2%)	5	71	1.4	0	0	Uptrend	25.52(0.59%)	25.32-25.61	0.19	-13.4%-10.8%
17	Jul_13_2006	24.91 (0.8%)	25.37 (0.8%)	25.53 (-0.4%)	25.51	25.45(0%)	25.32(-1.67%)	25.15-25.91	0.5(0.7)	0	-0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.38%	Correction	Higher(1%)	6	66	1.6	0	0	Uptrend	25.5(0.71%)	25.26-25.6	0.2	-13.6%-10.6%
18	Jul_12_2006	24.8 (0.6%)	25.33 (0.7%)	25.62 (-0%)	25.54	25.46(0%)	25.75(0.78%)	24.58-25.75	1.1(1.3)	0	-0.3%	0.5%	0%	0.42%	Correction	Range(0.2%)	7	74	2	0	0	Uptrend	26(0.96%)	25.57-26.18	0.36	-12.1%-12.5%
19	Jul_11_2006	24.67 (0.5%)	25.21 (0.8%)	25.63 (0.5%)	25.64	25.57(0%)	25.55(0.12%)	25.27-25.7	1(1.1)	0	%	0.4%	0%	0.44%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	8	78	2.1	0	0	Uptrend	25.85(1.17%)	25.38-26.05	0.1	-12.8%-11.6%
20	Jul_10_2006	24.58 (0.4%)	25.12 (0.7%)	25.5 (0.7%)	25.61	25.63(0%)	25.52(0.04%)	25.26-26.26	1.1(1.2)	0	0.2%	0.4%	0%	0.4%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.6%)	9	64	2	0	0	Growing Uptrend	25.84(1.27%)	25.36-25.97	0.11	-12.9%-11.5%

21	Jul_7_2006	24.5 (0.3%)	25 (0.6%)	25.33 (0.6%)	25.39	25.72(0%)	25.51(-0.97%)	25.5-25.84	1.2(1.3)	0	0.6%	0.4%	0%	0.32%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.5%)	9	64	2	0	0	After Top	25.56(0.21%)	24.98-26.04	0.06	-12.9%-11.4%
22	Jul_6_2006	24.42 (0.2%)	24.9 (0.7%)	25.19 (0.8%)	25.15	25.59(0%)	25.76(-0.27%)	25.47-26.14	1.7(1.8)	0	1.5%	0.5%	0%	0.32%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.1%)	8	79	1.9	0	0	After Top	25.71(-0.2%)	25.01-26.28	0.13	-12.1%-12.5%
23	Jul_5_2006	24.33 (0.1%)	24.77 (0.8%)	24.99 (1%)	24.91	25.07(0%)	25.83(3.9%)	24.82-25.96	2.1(2.3)	0	1.1%	0.6%	0%	0.32%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	7	83	1.8	0	0	Breakout	25.97(0.53%)	25.55-26.15	0.43	-11.8%-12.8%
24	Jul_3_2006	24.28 (-0%)	24.59 (0.9%)	24.74 (0.2%)	24.76	24.72(0%)	24.86(0.69%)	24.59-24.89	1(1)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.3%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	7	76	1.6	0	0	N/A	24.87(0.04%)	24.5-25.17	0.1	-15.2%-8.6%
25	Jun_30_2006	24.27 (-0%)	24.56 (1%)	24.69 (0.3%)	24.72	24.75(0%)	24.69(-0.4%)	24.4-24.8	0.7(0.7)	0	%	0%	0%	0.32%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	8	58	1.6	0	0	N/A	24.79(0.39%)	24.47-25.04	0.5	-15.7%-7.9%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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