| DLR latest price $25.5100 (-0.97%) ($25.5000 - $25.8400) on Fri. Jul. 7, 2006. |
|
|
| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
| |
Trend Pattern | Growing Uptrend |
Trend Narrative | After Top |
Average Daily Price Swing | $0.76 (3.1% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 1.55% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | 0.4% (StdDev 1.55%) |
Daily Moving Force | 0.6% |
Correction Force | Weak (0%) |
Trend | 0.32% |
Trend Strength | 2.1% |
RSI | 64 |
Momentum | 2 |
Latest Price | $25.5100(-0.97%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 25.41(-0.4%) |
Forecasted High Price | 25.99(1.9%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Higher(1.5%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction | 0.5% (25.39) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 2.8% |
Hourly Trend | 0.5% [$25.72(0.13), $25.39(0.24)] |
Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
Complacency | 9 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | DLR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | DLR advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support DLR advance at -0% a week (56% probability) IWM(58%) SPY(57%) XLY(57%) QQQ(53%) EEM(52%) |
Factors Impacting DLR price | DLR will advance at least 0% in a week (17% probabilities). TLT(-19%) SHY(-15%) TIP(-10%) REMX(1%) XOP(3%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Not Available |
| |
Valuation to SPY | -2.2 |
| |
Relative Volatility | 1.9 (options are extremely expensive) |
| |
Market Trend Strength | 0.4% (StdDev 1.55%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | -0.5% |
| |
|
|